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Fig. 1 The Two-Way Relationship Between Output and the Price Level Aggregate Demand Curve Price Level Real GDP Aggregate Supply Curve Fig. 2 Deriving the Aggregate Demand Curve Price Level 140 K J 100 AD 6 10 Real GDP ($ Trillions) Fig. 3 A Spending Shock Shifts the AD Curve Price Level 100 H E AD1 10 15 AD2 Real GDP ($ Trillions) Fig. 4a Effects of Key Changes on the Aggregate Demand Curve (a) Price Level Price level ↑ moves us leftward along the AD curve P3 Price level ↓ moves us rightward along the AD curve P1 P2 AD Q3 Q1 Q2 Real GDP Fig. 4b Effects of Key Changes on the Aggregate Demand Curve (b) Price Level Entire AD curve shifts rightward if: • a, IP, G, or NX increases • Net taxes decrease • The money supply increases AD2 AD1 Real GDP Fig. 4c Effects of Key Changes on the Aggregate Demand Curve (c) Price Level Entire AD curve shifts leftward if: • a, IP, G, or NX decreases decreases • Net taxes increase • The money supply decreases AD1 AD2 Real GDP Fig. 5 The Aggregate Supply Curve Price Level AS 130 B 100 80 Starting at point A, an increase in output raises unit costs. Firms raise prices, and the overall price level rises. A C Starting at point A, a decrease in output lowers unit costs. Firms cut prices, and the overall price level falls. 6 10 13.5 Real GDP ($ Trillions) Fig. 6 Shifts of the Aggregate Supply Curve AS2 Price Level 140 100 AS1 L A 10 When unit costs rise at any given real GDP, the AS curve shifts upward–e.g., an increase in world oil prices or bad weather for farm production. Real GDP ($ Trillions) Fig. 7a Effects of Key Changes on the Aggregate Supply Curve (a) Price Level AS Real GDP ↑ moves us rightward along the AS curve P3 Real GDP ↓ moves us leftward along the AS curve P1 P2 Q2 Q1 Q3 Real GDP Fig. 7b Effects of Key Changes on the Aggregate Supply Curve (b) Price Level AS2 AS1 Entire AS curve shifts upward if unit costs ↑ for any reason besides an increase in real GDP Real GDP Fig. 7c Effects of Key Changes on the Aggregate Supply Curve (c) Price Level AS1 AS2 Entire AS curve shifts downward if unit costs ↓ for any reason besides an decrease in real GDP Real GDP Fig. 8 Short-Run Macroeconomic Equilibrium AS Price Level B 140 E 100 F AD 6 10 14 Real GDP ($ Trillions) Fig. 9 The Effect of a Demand Shock AS Price Level 130 115 100 H J E AD1 10 13.5 12.5 AD2 Real GDP($ Trillions) Fig. 10 The Long-Run Adjustment Process Price Level AS2 AS1 P4 K J P3 P2 P1 H E AD2 AD1 YFE Y3 Y2 Real GDP Fig. 11 Long-Run Adjustment After Negative Demand Shock Price Level AS1 AS2 P1 P2 E N P3 M AD1 AD2 Y2 YFE Real GDP Fig. 12 The Long-Run Adjustment Process Price Level Long-Run AS Curve K E M AD1 AD2 AD3 YFE Real GDP Fig. 13 The Effect of Supply Shocks Price Level Long-Run AS Curve AS2 AS1 R AS3 P2 P1 E T P2 AD Y2 YFE Y3 Real GDP Fig. 14a An AD and AS Analysis of Two Recessions 1. In 1990, a supply shock from (a)higher oil prices shifted the AS curve leftward . . . Price Level AS1991 AS1990 R P2 E P1 2. causing output to fall . . . AD1990 3. and the price level to rise. Y2 YFE Real GDP Fig. 14b An AD and AS Analysis of Two Recessions 4. In 2001, a demand shock from (b) factors caused the AD several curve to shift leftward . . . Price Level AS2000 P2 E R P1 5. causing output to fall . . . AD2000 6. and the price level to fall. AD2001 Y2 YFE Real GDP Fig. 15a/b GDP and the Price Level in Two Recessions The 1990-91 Recession (b) Real GDP ($ Trillions) (a) 6.75 CPI 140 6.72 135 6.69 6.66 130 6.63 125 6.60 120 1989:3 1990:2 1991:1 Year and Quarter 1989:3 1990:2 1991:1 Year and Quarter Fig. 15c/d GDP and the Price Level in Two Recessions The 2001 Recession (d) Real GDP ($ Trillions) (c) 9.35 CPI 178 9.30 176 9.25 9.20 174 9.15 172 9.10 2000:1 2001:1 Year and Quarter 2000:1 2001:1 Year and Quarter Fig. 16 The Average Expansion Versus Two Recent Jobless Expansions Employment 1.04 Index (Trough = 1) 1.03 After Average Recession 1.02 After 2001 Recession 1.01 1.00 After 1991 Recession 0.99 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 +6 +8 +10 +12 Months Before and After the Trough