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7 Measuring Domestic Output and National Income McGraw-Hill/Irwin Copyright © 2012 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Assessing the Economy’s Performance • National Income Accounting • LO1 • Assess health of economy • Track long run course • Formulate policy Gross Domestic Product (GDP): Total market value of all final goods and services produced within a country within a year Gross Domestic Product • Monetary measure • Avoid multiple counting • Market value final goods • Exclude intermediate goods • Value added counted LO1 Gross Domestic Product • Exclude financial transactions • Public transfer payments • Private transfer payments • Stock (and bond) market • LO1 transactions Exclude second hand sales Circular Flow RESOURCE MARKET •Households sell •Businesses buy BUSINESSES • buy resources • sell products HOUSEHOLDS • sell resources • buy products PRODUCT MARKET •Businesses sell •Households buy LO1 Circular Flow Revisited LO2 Two Approaches to GDP • Income approach • Count income derived from • LO2 production Expenditure approach • Count sum of money spent buying the final goods Two Approaches to GDP • GDP, output, and income all refer to the same thing and can be used interchangeably. LO2 Expenditures Approach • Personal consumption expenditures • LO2 (C) • Durable goods • Nondurable goods • Services • Spending on houses is not included Largest component of GDP Expenditures Approach • Gross private domestic investment (Ig) • Machinery, equipment, and tools • All construction • Changes in inventories LO2 Changes in Inventories Changes in inventories represent the difference between what was produced during the year, and what was purchased. LO2 Changes in Inventories • If inventories increase, more was produced than purchased, so the increase in inventories must be added to Ig and GDP. • Vice versa if inventories fell. LO2 Net Investment • Net Investment includes only added capital during the year. • In = Ig – Depreciation • Consumption of Fixed Capital (Depreciation) – amount of capital goods used during the year. LO2 Net Investment • Ig > CFC; therefore In > 0 and economy is growing. • Ig = CFC; therefore In = 0 and economy is stagnant. • Ig < CFC; therefore In < 0 and economy is experiencing negative growth. LO2 • • • LO2 Expenditures Approach Government purchases (G) • Goods and services • Publicly owned capital • Excludes transfer payments Net exports (Xn) • Add exported goods • Subtract imported goods • Xn = exports - imports GDP = C+Ig+G+Xn U.S. Economy 2012 in Billions Receipts Expenditures Approach Allocations Income Approach Personal Consumption (C)$11,150 Compensation Gross Private Domestic Rents 541 Interest 440 Investment (Ig) 2,475 $ 8,612 Government Purchases (G) 3,167 Proprietor’s Income 1,225 Net Exports (Xn) Corporate Profits 2,031 -547 Taxes on Production and Imports 1,123 National Income $13,972 Net Foreign Factor Income (-) Consumption of Fixed 253 2,543 Capital (+) Statistical Discrepancy (+) Gross Domestic Product $ 16,245 Gross Domestic Product -17 $ 16,245 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, www.bea.gov LO2 Comparative GDP LO2 Other National Accounts • Net Domestic Product (NDP) • Measures what has been added to • LO2 the stock of capital and the new output National Income (NI) • Includes all income earned by U.S.-owned resources whether they are located in the United States or abroad Other National Accounts • Personal Income (PI) • Includes all income received • LO2 whether it was earned or unearned Disposable Income (DI) • Income that households receive and able to spend as they desire DI = C + S U.S. Income Relationships 2012 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Less: Consumption of Fixed Capital Equals: Net Domestic Product (NDP) Less: Statistical Discrepancy Plus: Net Foreign Factor Income Equals: National Income (NI) Less: Taxes on Production and Imports Less: Social Security Contributions Less: Corporate Income Taxes Less: Undistributed Corporate Profits Plus: Transfer Payments Equals: Personal Income (PI) Less: Personal Taxes Equals: Disposable Income (DI) LO2 $ 16,245 2,543 $ 13,702 -17 253 $ 13,972 1,066 951 435 542 2,766 $ 13,744 1,498 $ 12,246 Nominal vs. Real GDP • Nominal GDP • Uses current prices • Real GDP • Adjusted for inflation • Use base year’s prices LO3 GDP Price Index • Use price index to determine real GDP Price Index In Given Year Real GDP LO3 Price Good in Specific Year =Price of Good In Base Year x 100 = Nominal GDP Price Index (in hundredths) Shortcomings of GDP • Nonmarket activities • Leisure • Improved product quality • The underground economy • GDP and the environment • Composition and distribution of the • LO4 output Noneconomic sources of well-being Underground Economy LO4