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The Future of Healthcare in Europe 13 May 2011 Mary Ward House In cooperation with the Finnish Institute in London Supported by the Embassy of Finland and the Embassy of Denmark Increasing gap between total health spending and GDP growth 4,000 Total spend on health 3,000 2,000 GDP 1,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 OECD Countries indexed at 1970 = 100 A widening gap due to: • • • • • An ageing population Changing definition of health Consumer expectation Medical innovation Disease pattern shifts Supply and demand factors • Demography • Economic − Recession − Tax earner : beneficiary ratio • Technological capacity − Affordability v Productivity gains • Public expectation Today’s programme • Session 1: The Health Challenge: An overview • Keynote: Professor Sir Michael Marmot • Session 2: Technology Drivers: Problems and Solutions • Keynote: Professor Michael Hübel • Session 3: Economic models • Session 4: Responding to the challenge: determining health policy • Concluding remarks: Professor Albert Weale