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State and Local Government Employees Average Annual Wage as Percent of Private Average Annual Wage Government wages increasing much faster than private wages Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics State and Local Government Jobs as Percent of Total Michigan Employment Michigan's private sector has to support greater share of public sector, complicated by local privatization efforts Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Michigan Public vs. Private Average Hourly Compensation This comparison shows the inequity between public-sector and private-sector employees for overall compensation $14.90 $8.24 $25.02 Government Classified $18.89 Private Sector Source: Calculations based on data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Michigan Civil Service Commission Per-capita personal income growth, 2000-2010 Extremes do well, 6 RTW states PCPI Wyoming* 63.4% Louisiana* 63.1% North Dakota* 58.4% Montana 50.5% New Mexico 48.7% Oklahoma* 48.0% West Virginia 47.2% South Dakota* 47.1% Arkansas* 46.8% Alaska 44.7% Michigan - 49th 21.1% Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis *RTW States Employment growth, 2000-2010 7 of 10 top states are RTW Wyoming* 18.1% North Dakota* 14.6% Alaska 14.3% Utah* 9.8% Texas* 9.7% Montana 9.4% Nevada* 8.6% Idaho* 7.7% New Mexico 7.6% South Dakota* 6.6% Michigan - 50th -17.4% Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics *RTW States Population change, 2000 to 2010 9 of 10 top states are RTW Nevada* 33.8% Arizona* 23.7% Utah* 23.2% Idaho* 20.6% Texas* 20.0% North Carolina* 18.0% Georgia* 17.7% Florida* 17.2% Colorado 16.2% South Carolina* 15.0% Michigan - 50th -0.7% Source: U.S. Census Bureau *RTW States Average of three growth metrics 6 of the top 10 are RTW, the bottom 10 are all non-RTW Rank Rank Wyoming* 1 Rhode Island 41 Alaska 2 California 42 New Mexico 3 Wisconsin 43 Montana 4 Connecticut 44 Texas* 4 Massachusetts 45 Utah* 6 New Jersey 46 North Dakota* 7 Indiana 47 South Dakota* 8 Illinois 48 Arizona* 9 Ohio 49 Hawaii 10 Michigan 50 *RTW States Source: Author's calculations Growth of Population Aged 25-34 From 2000 to 2010 RTW: Winning at young people Source: U.S. Census Bureau Payroll Employment Growth Since Recession Began -0.8% -6.6% -10.8% Total Government Local Government Private 4.2% State Government Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Per-capita Gross Domestic Product What Lansing's bureaucrats and politicians have done to Michigan — Will they pay, or will it be us? US MI Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Annual Employment Growth Michigan and non-RTW states underperform each year Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Cumulative Employment Growth RTW states grew 6 percentage points more than non-RTW and 17 percentage points over Michigan since 2001 RTW non-RTW MI Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Cumulative Gross Domestic Product Growth Over time, RTW outperforms non-RTW while Michigan lost GDP RTW non-RTW MI Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Annual Gross Domestic Product Growth RTW states outperform most years Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Michigan Four-Quarter Percent Change in FHFA State-Level House Price Indexes Michigan's real estate bust Source: Federal Housing Finance Agency MI Manufacturing Jobs Since 2000, Michigan has lost half its manufacturing jobs. Losses stemmed in 2010 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Unemployment Rate After the worst record of unemployment, Michigan's rate is falling fast MI US Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Labor Force Over time, RTW outperforms non-RTW while Michigan lost GDP US MI Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Trends Michigan's level of employment is back to where we were in 1989 US MI Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Employment Losses Michigan hit harder than US in recent recession, improving quicker, but has not caught back up US MI Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Michigan Per Capita Personal Income as Percent of US Michigan is now a poor state and has been below the national average since 1996 Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis Michigan’s Outbound Migration Source: United Van Lines Home Permits in Michigan Source: U.S. Census Bureau. U6 Unemployment Expanded definition of unemployment shows Michigan more responsive to recession MI US Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics State and Local Government Private Sector Payroll Employment Growth Since Recession Began -0.8% -6.6% -10.8% Total Government Local Government Private 4.2% State Government Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics Average Costs for Health Insurance Family Premiums, 2009 Source: Mackinac Center, Kaiser Family Foundation