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GDP & PRODUCTIVITY? CHAPTER 12 Notes Koehn, Davis & Adamo 2010 How do your parents know whether or not you are doing well in school? WELL, THE USA NEEDS Progress Reports TO TRACK IT’S PROGRESS TOO. WE MUST TRACK Report Cards OUR COUNTRY TO SEE IF Test Grades WE ARE GROWING Teacher feedback BETTER EACH YEAR. WE Behavior (Suspensions, School…etc) TRACK OURSaturday COUNTRY EVERY THREE MONTHS (CALLED QUARTERS) BY MEASURING OUR GDP. Gross Domestic Product is The total value of all FINAL goods and services produced in the United States WHICH IS A FINAL PRODUCT? !!!REMEMBER!!! GDP only figures in values of FINAL products GDP is only a measurement of money earned from sales INSIDE the US. GDP is calculated QUARTLY…ever 3 months!! THE FOUR PARTS OF GDP •(C) CONSUMPTION •(I) INVESTMENT •(G) GOVERNMEN PURCHASES •(NX) NET EXPORTS Y = C + I + G + NX EXPLANATION OF GDP COMPONENTS CONSUMPTION EXAMPLES is total spending by households Your family buying on g&sGROCERIES, A NEW CAR, CLOTHING INVESTMENT is total spending on goods that EXAMPLES will be used in the future to COMPUTERS, HAMMERS, produceDRILLS, more goods…USUALLY SAWS BOUGHT BY A BUSINESS GOVERNMENT PURCHASE EXAMPLES is all spending on the g&s TANKS, GUNS,byPLANES, purchased govt PROPERTY at the federal, state, and local levels EXAMPLES NET EXPORTS selling–cars to Germany, NXFord = exports imports, Exports APPLEforeign selling computers to represent spending on the economy’sFrance g&s HEY! DON’T INCLUDE… Be sure not to include TRANSFER PAYMENTS when calculation GOVERNMENT PURCHASES. TRANSFER PAYMENTS included things like WELFARE, SOCIAL SECURITY, UNEMPLOYMENT CHECKS, DISABILITY, FOOD STAMPS…. These are not PURCHASES, they are just distributions of money to people that need it. People who receive these payments will buy stuff. Their purchases will be tracked under CONSUMPTION. The Goal of GDP The United States hopes to sell more products and services each year. More sales means companies are earning more profits. More profits earned means more jobs for people. Hopefully our GDP is higher each quarter. PRODUCTIVITY NOW… What are some things that help YOU be a more PRODUCTIVE person? Computer Calculator Planner Smart Phone Text messaging Email Responsible parents who teach you the right way to do things A wise man once said…. So…the BIG question is…WHY ARE SOME COUNTRIES POOR AND WHY ARE SOME RICH? “If you give a man a fish, he can eat for a day. If you teach a man how to fish, he can eat for a lifetime.” WE WILL FIND OUT RIGHT NOW. A COUNTRY’S SUCCESS DEPENDS ON ITS ABILITY TO PRODUCE GOODS AND SERVICES…IF IT CAN’T, PEOPLE CAN NOT BE EMPLOYED AND WILL HAVE A LOWER QUALITY OF LIFE. IF A COUNTRY HAS NOTHING TO OFFER, LESS COUNTRIES CARE TO HELP THEM OUT. A typical family with all their possessions in the U.K., an advanced economy Real GDP per capita: Life expectancy: Adult literacy: $32,000 78 years 99% A typical family with all their possessions in Mexico, a middle income country Real GDP per capita: Life expectancy: Adult literacy: $10,200 74 years 92% A typical family with all their possessions in Mali, a poor country Real GDP per capita: Life expectancy: Adult literacy: $1,000 41 years 46% Incomes and Growth Around the World FACT 1: There are vast differences in living standards around the world. GDP per Growth rate, capita, 2005 1960-2005 China Singapore Japan Spain India Israel United States Canada Colombia New Zealand Philippines Argentina Saudi Arabia Rwanda Haiti $6,572 29,921 30,821 26,125 3,486 25,670 41,854 32,886 7,769 22,511 4,920 14,421 14,729 1,333 1,836 5.8% 5.4% 3.8% 3.2% 2.7% 2.7% 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% –1.2% Incomes and Growth Around the World FACT 2: There is also great variation in growth rates across countries. GDP per Growth rate, capita, 2005 1960-2005 China Singapore Japan Spain India Israel United States Canada Colombia New Zealand Philippines Argentina Saudi Arabia Rwanda Haiti $6,572 29,921 30,821 26,125 3,486 25,670 41,854 32,886 7,769 22,511 4,920 14,421 14,729 1,333 1,836 5.8% 5.4% 3.8% 3.2% 2.7% 2.7% 2.2% 2.1% 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% –1.2% Productivity Productivity: the average quantity of g&s produced per unit of labor input. Y = GDP = quantity of output produced L = quantity of labor so productivity = Y/L (output per worker) Why Productivity Is So Important When a nation’s workers are very productive, GDP is large and incomes are high. When productivity grows rapidly, so do living standards. What, then, determines productivity and its growth rate? WELL…THERE ARE FOUR THINGS THAT DETERMING PRODUCTIVITY….. 1. Physical Capital Per Worker The amount of equipment and structures used to produce g&s is called [physical] capital, denoted by the letter (K). K/L = capital per worker. Productivity is higher when the average worker has more capital (machines, equipment, etc.). i.e., an increase in K/L causes an increase in Y/L. 2. Human Capital Per Worker Human capital (H): the knowledge and skills workers acquire through education, training, and experience H/L = the average worker’s human capital Productivity is higher when the average worker has more human capital (education, skills, etc.). i.e., an increase in H/L causes an increase in Y/L. 3. Natural Resources Per Worker Natural resources (N): the inputs into production that nature provides, e.g., land, mineral deposits More N allows a country to produce more Y. In per-worker terms, an increase in N/L causes an increase in Y/L. Some countries are rich because they have abundant natural resources (e.g., Saudi Arabia has lots of oil) But countries need not have much N to be rich (e.g., Japan imports the N it needs). 4. Technological Knowledge Technological knowledge: society’s understanding of the best ways to produce g&s Technological progress does not only mean a faster computer, a higher-definition TV, or a smaller cell phone. It means any advance in knowledge that boosts productivity (allows society to get more output from its resources). e.g., Henry Ford and the assembly line. The Production Function So…as you can see, a country’s success depends on its ability to produce goods and services. Countries that are more productive have a better quality of life and the people live longer. Countries that are poor lack (NATURAL RESOURCES, EDUCATION, TOOLS AN D TECHNOLOGY) If you really want to help poor countries, don’t send them money…give them the means to produce Don’t give a man a fish…teach a man how to fish!!! Real versus Nominal GDP Inflation can distort economic variables like GDP, so we have two versions of GDP: One is corrected for inflation, the other is not. Nominal GDP values output using current prices. It is not corrected for inflation. Real GDP values output using the prices of a base year. Real GDP is corrected for inflation. CHAPTER 23 MEASURING A NATION’S INCOME EXAMPLE: Pizza Latte year P Q P Q 2002 $10 400 $2.00 1000 2003 $11 500 $2.50 1100 2004 $12 600 $3.00 1200 Compute nominal GDP in each year: 2002: 2003: 2004: $10 x 400 + $2 x 1000 $11 x 500 + $2.50 x 1100 $12 x 600 + $3 x 1200 Increase: = $6,000 = $8,250 = $10,800 37.5% 30.9% EXAMPLE: Pizza Latte year P Q P Q 2002 400 500 $2.00 $2.50 1000 2003 $10 $11 2004 $12 600 $3.00 1200 Compute real GDP in each year, using 2002 as the base year: 1100 Increase: 2002: $10 x 400 + $2 x 1000 = $6,000 20.0% 2003: $10 x 500 + $2 x 1100 = $7,200 2004: $10 x 600 + $2 x 1200 = $8,400 16.7% CHAPTER 23 MEASURING A NATION’S INCOME