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Mercers’ School Memorial Professor of Commerce Michael Mainelli “New Learning” Goldilocks Government and the Market: Not Too Little, Not Too Much, But Just Right Barnard’s Inn Hall Holborn London EC1N 2HH © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk Tel: +44 (0)20 7831 0575 Fax: +44 (0)20 7831 5208 Email : [email protected] Outline Magic beancounters Public, private or inbetween? Contracting with the people Global contracting The Government Optimeter The Competition Optimeter The Community Optimeter Do you really, really believe in smaller government – the Bear-est recipe? © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk “Get a detailed grip on the big picture.” Chao Kli Ning Magic Beancounters © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk Public, Private Or In-Between? © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk Government In The Economy 60.0 Total general government revenue % of GDP 50.0 Total general government expenditure % of GDP 40.0 30.0 General government final consumption expenditure % of GDP Social security transfers % of GDP 20.0 10.0 0.0 France © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk Germany United Kingdom United States General Government Expenditure As % GDP 1901 to 1998 70 60 % GDP 50 40 30 20 10 © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk [Source: Office of National Statistics] 97 19 91 19 85 19 79 19 73 19 67 19 61 19 55 19 49 19 43 19 37 19 31 19 25 19 19 19 13 19 07 19 19 01 0 Federal Spending As % of GNP/GDP 1799 to 1997 © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk [Vedder and Galloway, 1998] Contracting With The People © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk Global Contracting © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk The Government Optimeter © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk The Competition Optimeter © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk The Community Optimeter © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk A Lack Of Locality Thousands 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 France © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk Germany Spain USA United Kingdom Italy Local Administrative Units Average Population Of Lowest Executive Tier [Jenkins, Big Bang Localism, 2004] Do You Really, Really Believe In Smaller Government – The Bear-est Recipe? Giving communities real power Re-mapping political positions on more than one dimension Developing better metrics of government, competition and community © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk Discussion Is a single measure of optimal government scale impossible? 2. Can more local democracy help keep overall government slim? 3. What other forces can help control the scale of government? 1. © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk “Get a big picture grip on the details.” Chao Kli Ning Goldilocks Government and the Market Thank you! © Gresham College 2006 www.gresham.ac.uk