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Chapter 9 Federal Spending McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Chapter Outline • A Primer on the Constitution and Spending Money • Using our Understanding of Opportunity Cost • Using our Understanding of Marginal Analysis • Budgeting for the Future McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. F e d e ra l S p e n d in g / G D P Federal Spending as a Percentage of GDP Federal Spending as a % of GDP 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 McGraw-Hill/Irwin 1947 1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 Year © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. A Primer on the Constitution • “No money shall be drawn from the treasury, but in consequence of appropriations made by law;..” • Both houses of Congress must pass identical bills • President must sign or have veto overridden McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. The Budget Process • President sends Congress a proposed budget • Congress passes its version of the budget (the president does not have to sign or veto) • Congress passes Appropriations Bills • President signs or vetoes Appropriations Bills • Tax Law changes must originate in the House of Representatives McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Shenanigans in the Process • Pork-Barrel spending guided by important committee chairs. • Conference committees meet to settle differences between House and Senate versions of the appropriations bills. • Members of conference committees often add provisions that were not in either bill to help their constituents. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Dealing with Disagreements • When dealing with a disagreement – Congress can give in to the president – The president can give in to the Congress – They can stalemate and shut the government down – They can pass a Continuing Resolution • Continuing Resolution: a bill passed by Congress and signed by the president that allows the government to temporarily spend money in a fashion identical to the previous year McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Using Opportunity Cost • Crowding Out: the opportunity cost of government spending is that private spending is reduced • Money spent on one government program can not be spent on another McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Mandatory vs. Discretionary Spending • Mandatory Spending: those items for which a previously passed law requires the money be spent – Examples (Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, variety of welfare programs, interest on the debt) • Discretionary Spending is on those items for which a previous law does not exist. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Spending in FY2000 Category Spending in Billions Discretionary Defense 300 Foreign Aid 24 Domestic 326 Mandatory McGraw-Hill/Irwin Social Security 430 Medicare 219 Medicaid 118 Welfare and Other Entitlements 123 Interest 206 © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Mandatory vs. Discretionary Mandatory vs Discretionary Spending 70 60 50 40 30 1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 Year Discretionary McGraw-Hill/Irwin 1987 1992 1997 est. 2002 est. Mandatory © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Non Defense Discretionary Category Science and Space Natural Resources and the Environment Agriculture Transportation Education and Training Veterans Justice McGraw-Hill/Irwin 2000 in Billions 20 27 26 51 65 45 29 © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Federal Spending by Category Federal Spending by Category As a % Total Federal Spending 50 40 % 30 20 10 0 1962 1967 1972 1977 1982 Year National Defense Means Tested Entitlements (1) McGraw-Hill/Irwin 1987 1992 1997 est. 2002 est. Social Security Net Interest © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Real Health Spending Real Health Spending R e a l $ (0 0 0 ) 1982=100 200000 150000 100000 50000 0 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 Year Medicaid McGraw-Hill/Irwin Other Health Medicare Total © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. International Comparisons of Defense Spending Country Defense Spending/GDP 1997 United States 3.3 France 3.0 United Kingdom 2.7 Germany 1.6 Japan 1.0 McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Using Marginal Analysis • The question of the size of government – The optimal size of government is where the marginal benefit of the last dollar taken from the private sector and placed in the public sector equals its marginal benefit. • The question of the distribution of government – The optimal distribution of government spending is where the marginal benefit of spending on one program equals the marginal benefit achieved in all other programs. McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved. Budgeting For the Future • Baseline Budgeting: using last year’s budgeted figure to set this year’s budgeted figure • Current Services Budgeting: using an estimate of the costs of providing the same level of services next year as last McGraw-Hill/Irwin © 2002 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.