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Firm Size, Finance and Growth Thorsten Beck Asli Demirguc-Kunt Luc Laeven Ross Levine Motivation What are the channels through which finance affects growth? What is the effect of finance on firms of different sizes? Rajan/Zingales: access to external finance Large firms depend more on financial markets and banks and benefit therefore more Financial development lowers fixed costs of financial intermediation, thus helps small firms relatively more Does financial development ease the growth constraints of small firms? Related literature Rajan and Zingales (1998): industries more dependent on external finance grow faster in countries with better developed financial systems Gusio, Sapienza and Zingales (2004): Small firms benefit more from regional financial development than large firms across regions in Italy Beck, Demirguc-Kunt and Maksimovic (2005): financial development helps alleviate growthconstraining effect of financing obstacles more for small than for large firms Technological firm size Industries have technological firm size distribution, thus a technologically determined share of small firms Since observed size distribution is distorted by policy and institutional factors, we need data from a country with relatively low frictions U.S. census data from 1992 Small firm share = Share of an industry’s work force in firms with less than 20 employees No significant correlation with external dependence (-0.04) Firm size across industries ISIC 3411 314 353 311 342 390 331 Average Industry name Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard Tobacco manufactures Petroleum refineries Food manufacturing Printing, publishing and allied industries Other Manufacturing Industries Manufacture of wood and wood and cork products, except furniture S20 0.14 0.30 0.36 3.82 16.32 16.95 21.37 5.85 Methodology Growth Country i,k j j j l Industry l Sharei , k l ( Small Firm Share k * FDi ) i ,k Growth = average annual growth of real value added of industry k in country i, averaged over 1980-90 FD = Claims of financial institutions on private sector relative to GDP Share = Initial share of industry i in 1980 in total manufacturing Sample: 36 industries across 44 countries OLS and IV Financial development, small firm share and growth Share in value added Private Credit * Small firm share OLS -1.012*** (0.253) 0.409** (0.172) OLS -1.095*** (0.253) 0.445** (0.173) 0.144*** (0.039) IV -1.086*** (0.253) 0.567** (0.220) 0.101*** (0.037) 1242 0.26 1242 0.28 1242 0.27 Private Credit * External dependence Observations R-squared Financial development, small firm share and growth - economic significance Small Firm Share: Private Credit: 25th percentile: Spinning 75th percentile: Furniture 25th percentile: India 75th percentile: Canada Furniture grows 1.4% faster than spinning in Canada than in India Average growth rate = 3.4% Robustness tests Additional industry characteristics: Additional country characteristics: significant up to 100 employees Alternative data sources on small firm share: GDP per capita, Openness, Human capital accumulation Alternative small firm cut-offs Asset composition (Claessens and Laeven, 2003) Growth opportunities (Fisman and Love, 2004) US Census 1997 UK Census data 1997 Alternative dependent variables: Growth over 1980-1999 Alternative indicators of financial development Share in value added Private credit 1980-89 * Small firms share Private credit 1980-89 * External financial dependence Liquid liabilities * Small firms share Liquid liabilities * External financial dependence Market turnover * Small firms share Market turnover * External financial dependence Legal efficiency * Small firms share Legal efficiency * External financial dependence Law and order * Small firms share Law and order * External financial dependence Accounting standards * Small firms share Accounting standards * External financial dependence -1.127*** (0.255) 0.444*** (0.161) 0.097*** -1.043*** (0.251) -1.020*** (0.257) -0.794*** (0.195) -0.827*** (0.210) -0.669*** (0.209) 0.399** (0.184) 0.085*** (0.032) 0.018 (0.234) 0.074** (0.036) 0.053*** (0.020) 0.009*** (0.003) 0.053*** (0.020) 0.007*** (0.002) 0.363 (0.244) 0.158*** (0.034) Conclusions Industries that rely more on small firms grow faster in countries with better developed financial intermediaries Additional channel through which finance affects growth: alleviating small firms’ growth constraints Financial development has cross-industry distributional ramifications Financial development is an SME-friendly policy