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Figure 2.1 Home firm decision tree Firm in Home serve foreign markets / source from abroad? no yes, source from abroad yes, serve foreign market Stay domestic Export or local production? Import or local production? export local production Export local production Multinational activity: horizontal Multinational activity: vertical import Import triggers intra-firm trade Two types of trade: intra-firm and inter-firm Two types of multinational activity: horizontal and vertical Consisting of trade in final goods, services, and intermediate goods Multinational = firm owning and controlling value adding activities in two or more countries Fig. 2.2 Horizontal and vertical multinational activity Country B Country A Multinational (producer) FDI Horizontal multinational (market seeking) Foreign subsidiary (producer) Finished products Finished products Market A Market B Finished products Components Vertical multinational (efficiency seeking) FDI Multinational (producer, marketer) Finished products Foreign subsidiary (assembler) Figure 2.3 US export shares in 2010 US export shares (%), 2010 Africa, 2.2 Canada+Mexico, 32.2 OPEC, 4.3 Other, 6.1 S+C America, 10.8 European Union, 18.8 Pacific Rim, 25.5 Source: US census Bureau, own calculations Figure 2.4 A country’s balance of payments The balance of payments Current account Goods Trade balance Services Income Current transfers Capital and financial account Capital account Financial account Direct investment Portfolio investment Other investment Reserve assets Source: van Marrewijk (2012, p. 411) Figure 2.5 Current account balance; % of GDP, 1980-2012 United States Malaysia Japan 6 20 4 15 2 10 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Philippines 5 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 -2 -4 -5 -6 -10 -8 -15 Netherlands Germany Australia 12 12 10 10 8 6 China 8 6 4 4 2 2 Source: based on data from World Development Indicators online (1980-2010) and The Economist, June 9, 2012, “Trade, exchange rates, budget balances, and interest rates” (2012 estimate). 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 -2 -4 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 -2 -6 -4 -8 -6 Figure 2.6 FDI flows, 2005-2011 b. FDI outflows; US $ bn, 2006-2011 a. FDI inflows; US $ bn, 2006-2011 2000 2000 transition transition 1500 1500 1000 developing 1000 developing 500 500 developed developed 0 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2006 2007 2008 c. FDI flows into developing economies; US $ bn, 2005-2011 450 greenfield 400 M&A 350 Source: based on data from UNCTAD, World Investment Report 2012; developed = developed economies; developing = developing economies; transition = transition economies. 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2009 2010 2011 Figure 2.7 Value added export (VAX) as a share of GDP; 1995 and 2008 (%) Source: based on World input output Database (WIOD), see wiod.org. Value added export (VAX) to GDP ratio; 1995 and 2008 (%) Ireland Czech Republic Hungary Belgium Netherlands Taiwan Australia Sweden China Germany Denmark Finland South Korea Poland Canada Russia Indonesia United Kingdom Italy Austria Portugal Mexico France Spain India Japan Turkey Greece Brazil United States -10 VAX/GDP 1995 change 1995-2008 0 10 20 30 40 50 Figure 2.8 Value added distributon of an Apple iPad, 2011 Value added distribution of an Apple iPad 15% distribution and retail 31% S Korea profits costs of inputs: materials 7% 5% other 24% 5% 2% 2% Apple profits 2% 1% 30% Source: The figure is based on data provided by Linden et al (2009, 2011). See also The Economist January 21, 2012. Unidentified profits Costs of inputs: Non-China labor Non-Apple U.S. profits Taiwan profits Cost of inputs: China labor Japan profits Figure 2.9 Global net capital flows; average for 15 countries, 1870-2010 Net capital flows; current account (% of GDP, abs. value) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1870- 1890- 1914- 1919- 1927- 1932- 1940- 1947- 1960- 1974- 1990- 20011889 1913 1918 1926 1931 1939 1946 1959 1973 1989 2000 2010 Source: see Table 2.11; average includes countries listed in Table 2.11 plus Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, and Sweden. Figure 2.10 Capital outflows; selected countries (% of national savings Capital outflows (% of national savings) 60 United Kingdom capital outflow 50 40 United Kingdom 30 France 20 10 0 1850 -10 Germany 1860 1870 Source: O’Rourke and Williamson (1999). 1880 1890 1900 1910 year Figure 2.11 Evolution of British and American share in foreign assets Foreign assets; UK and USA share of total 0.8 share of assets UK 0.6 USA 0.4 0.2 UK USA 0 1825 1850 Source: see Table 2.14 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 year 2000 Figure 2.12 Net private financial flows to developing economies; $ bn, 19922009 Net private financial flows to emerging and developing economies; $ bn, 1992-2009 200 D Asia 150 C&E Eur D Asia 100 L Am 50 SSA 0 1992 -50 1994 1996 1998 CIS 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 CIS -100 Source: IMF, World Economic Outlook database; D Asia = Developing Asia; L Am = Latin America & Caribbean; C&E Eur = Central & Eastern Europe; CIS = Commonwealth of Independent States; SSA = Sub-Saharan Africa.