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Statistical challenges due to the
economic and financial crisis
Nils Bernstein
Chairman, Board of Governors
Danmarks Nationalbank
World trade
Index, 2000 = 100
220
200
180
160
140
120
100
2003
2004
World t rade
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Emerging M arket s
Source: OECD and Plaan Bureau
23-05-2017
DANMARKS NATIONALBANK
2
Net lending/net borrowing
Per cent of GDP
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4
2000
2001
2002
Non-f inancial corporat ions
General government
Rest of t he w orld
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
Financial corporat ions
Households
Source: Danmarks Nationalbank
23-05-2017
DANMARKS NATIONALBANK
3
Deposit deficits in Danish banks
Billion D.kr.
100
0
-100
-200
-300
-400
-500
-600
-700
2003
Large banks
2004
2005
2006
M edium sized banks
2007
2008
Small banks
2009
2010
Tot al
Source: Danmarks Nationalbank
23-05-2017
DANMARKS NATIONALBANK
4
Sovereign spreads
Per cent
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
-1
2007
Belgium
2008
Greece
Ireland
2009
Net herlands
2010
Port ugal
Denmark
Source: Danmarks Nationalbank
23-05-2017
DANMARKS NATIONALBANK
5
Dankort payments and retail sales
Per cent , year-on-year
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
-12
-14
2001
2002
2003
Volume index f or ret ail sales
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Est imat e based on Dankort payment s
Source: Statistics Demnark and PBS
23-05-2017
DANMARKS NATIONALBANK
6
Quarterly GDP
2000 = 100
120
115
110
105
100
95
2000
2001
Denmark
23-05-2017
2002
2003
Euro area
2004
2005
2006
USA
DANMARKS NATIONALBANK
2007
2008
2009
2010
Source. Statistics Denmark and OECD
7