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Kym Peake, Deputy Secretary, Skills Victoria “Welcome to Gaining the Edge” VTA State Conference – 4 May 2011 1 Introduction Introduction The productivity challenge The participation and attainment challenge Victoria – leaders in education and training Outcomes – reimagining the tertiary education landscape Equity – extending opportunities to more Victorians Innovation – resetting our relationships Conclusion 2 Australia’s labour productivity growth rate has slumped over the past decade Labour productivity growth % pa (5-year rolling averages) 3.5 ‘Selected sectors’ 3.0 2.5 ‘Market’ sector 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 80 85 90 95 00 05 10 Note: ‘Selected sectors’ are agriculture, forestry & fishing; mining; manufacturing; electricity, gas, water & waste services; construction; wholesale trade; retail trade; accommodation & food services; transport, postal & warehousing; information, media & telecommunications; financial & insurance services; and arts & recreation services. ‘Market sector’ comprises these sectors plus rental, hiring & real estate services; professional, scientific & technical services; administrative & support services; and other services. Data are for financial years ended 30 June. Sources: ABS; Grattan Institute. 3 Long-term productivity growth requires systemic solutions for ALL sectors, not just picking winners or relying on the mining sector Contribution to GDP in 2009 Government actions • Reducing regulation Contribution to GDP Financial services Mining Other Manufacturing Education and training Construction Professional services Retail trade Wholesale trade Transport Health Public administration • Introducing tax reform • Targeting infrastructure investment • Increasing take-up of technology • Improving innovation • Tackling labour shortages Source: ABD Cat. No. 5206.0 4 Increased workforce participation is part of the solution for improved economic growth and higher living standards Australian workforce participation rates are middle ranking internationally… … and OECD Participation Rates 2009 People 15 and over (%) Workforce Participation in Australia 2000-2011 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 75 70 % 65 60 y rk e Tu ic o M ex ce SA Fr an us t U ra lia K U A C an a da en Sw ed nd 55 la Ic e have increased slightly over the past decade Source: OECD Online Employment Statistics, accessed May 2011 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Year Source: ABS; Labour Force Statistics 2011. 5 Victoria is well placed to respond to the social and economic imperatives to meet the demand for skills Victoria is a top performer in Year 12 completions, attainment of Certificate III and above, and higher education qualifications Year 12 attainment levels by jurisdiction, 2010 (%) Cert III and above attainment levels by jurisdiction, 2010 (%) 85 60 80 55 75 50 70 45 65 40 60 35 55 50 30 ACT VIC NSW QLD WA NT Source: ABS; Education and Work Statistics 2010 SA TAS ACT VIC NSW QLD WA NT SA TAS Source: ABS, Education and Work Statistics 2010 6 The Victorian Training Guarantee appears to be resulting in strong enrolment growth supported by an increase in training providers Demand has increased with growing enrolments under the VTG Supply of training has increased 220,295 enrolments 173,943 enrolments 2008: Pre introduction of the skills reform (‘baseline’ data) 181,536 enrolments 2009: VTG implemented for ‘Skills Deepening’ enrolments (Diploma level and above) from 1 July 2010: VTG extended to eligible 15 to 24 year olds for all qualification levels (‘Youth Compact’ enrolments) and to retrenched workers aged 25 years or over Relative to 2008, there has been a 27% increase in enrolments now covered by the VTG: • 24% increase in Skills Deepening enrolments; • 28% increase in Youth Compact enrolments An additional 350 private providers have been contracted to deliver Government subsidised training since the introduction of the VTG (with a total of more than 520 contracted public and private providers) 7 What should the tertiary landscape look like in the future? There are a range of directions that tertiary education could take… How can government remove barriers and encourage creative approaches? Incrementalist • More partnerships between VET and higher education institutions to offer better pathways • Making it easier for students to simultaneously enrol in VET and higher education institutions • More practical and workplace learning opportunities within higher education Lower degree of change Diverse Integrated • VET providers offering degrees - including "2 plus 2" diploma/degree programs • End to structural and institutional divisions between VET and higher education • Universities offering double enrolment in a degree and certificate qualification • A single entitlement funding model • More "mixed institutions" specialising in particular fields - e.g. polytechnics • The rise of the "omniinstitution" • Teaching-only institutions offering undergraduate degrees Higher degree of change 8 We all need to work together to do more for Victorians from equity groups and disadvantaged cohorts Government funded enrolment by Indigenous students Government funded enrolment by students with a disability 7000 30000 6000 25000 5000 20000 4000 15000 3000 10000 2000 5000 1000 0 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Enrolments for these groups are growing but not as strongly as for the general population. This is important because we know that 83% of Australians with a Cert. III or higher have a job at any given time compared with 57% of those without a qualification at this level 9 Skills Victoria will work with tertiary providers, businesses, schools, industry and learners to identify opportunities for innovation Skills Victoria (Government) Opportunities for innovative pathways ACE VET HEI Individuals Opportunities for innovation in curriculum Schools Business Industry Opportunities for innovations in curriculum and pedagogy to meet needs of the knowledge economy Opportunities for research and innovation in workforce training and development Government subsidised training market 10