Download Diapositiva 1

Content
1. Economic Activity
2. Financial Indicators
3. External Sector
4. Prognosis
2
Total Gross Domestic Product
Economic Indicators of Mexico
Annual Percentage Change (%)
Variable
Economic Growth
(% annual)
GDP
(billions of nominal dollars)
Growth in Construction
(% annual)
2010
2011 e
5.4
3.9
1,035
1,197
0.0
4.2
4.8
5.0
3.92
3.5
12.6
11.8
GDP in Construction
Annual Percentage Change (%)
Employment in Construction
(millions of jobs)
Inflation
% (dic.-dic.)
Exchange Rate
(Pesos per 1 US dollar, yearly
average)
Source: Mexican Chamber of Construction Industry (CMIC), National Institute of Statistics, Geography and Informatics (INEGI), Ministry of Finance and Public Credit
(SHCP).
e: Estimates
Economic Activity
3
Index of Construction Activity
9.0
Change in Annual Percentage Variation (%)
-0.9
3.3
1.6
0.5
-4.4
5.9
5.0
-1.8
-3.8
-3.0
Jun
Jul
4.4
4.2
1.8
2.1
Mar
Apr
3.8
4.6
May
Jun
-6.0
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Jan
Feb
2011
4.1%
2010
0.0%
Construction Activity
Percentage Variation (%)
Jan.-jun. 11 – Jan.-jun. 10
6
4
2
0
-2
-4
-6
-8
-10
-12
-14
4.1
-2.7
Jan-jun. 11
Jan-jun. 10
Source: Management of Economy and Finance of the CMIC with data from INEGI.
Economic Activity
4
Total Investment
Annual Percentage Variation (%)
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
Construction Investment
Annual Percentage Variation (%)
Source: Management of Economy and Finance, CMIC with data from INEGI.
Economic Activity
5
Prognosis
2011:
(4.6%)
220,687 jobs
generated/
recovered
Jobs in Construction Sector
Annual
Percentage
Variation (%)
Job performance
Period (2000-2011e)
4.0
3.7
3.8
e. Estimate
4.8
3.9
4.1
4.9
4.7
Millions of
Employes
4.8
5.0
4.5
4.2
Wage employment in the Construction Sector
System of National Accounts of Mexico (Base 1993=100)
2009
Var. %
(09/08)
2010
Var. %
(10/09)
2011e
Var. %
(11/10)
Number of jobs in the Construction
Sector:
4,730,028
-4.1
4,797,545
1.4
5,018,716
4.6
Number of jobs
generated / recovered:
-203,181
-----
67,517
-----
221,171
-----
Source: Management of Economy and Finance, CMIC with data from INEGI.
Economic Activity
6
Mexican Stock Exchange
Accummulated Percentage Variation (%)
Performance from May 2008 to June 2011
IPC
13.2
3.6
2007
2008
2009
DJ
-32.1
-7.4
2010
2011
Investment Portfolio
Flows of period, billions of dollars
Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from NYSE and Bank of Mexico
Financial Indicators
7
Exchange Rate
Interest
Rate
Pesos per dollar
%
Country Risk
Points
Country Risk of Mexico has Increased
Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from Bank of Mexico, Banamex and CESL
Financial Indicators
8
Exports and Imports
Billions of dollars
Trade Balance
Billions of dollars
Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from Bank of Mexico.
Financial Indicators
9
Attracting Foreign Exchange:
Billions of Dollars: January - March
Petroleum Revenues
Remittances
2010
2011
%
3.7
3.3
-9.0
Remittances
4.8
5.1
5.5
Petroleum *
8.0
11.5
43.0
16.5 19.9
20.5
Tourism *
TOTAL:
Revenue in the External Sector
Billions of Dollars:
Direct
Foreign
Investment
Foreign Investment
Billions of dollars
Tourism
Billions of dollars
Trend
January - March
2010 2011
%
5.2
4.8
-8.0
* January - March
Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from Bank of Mexico and SHCP.
External Sector
10
Accumulation of Foreign Exchange:
Billions of Dollars:
Balance to June
2010
International
Reserves
2011
International Reserves
Billions of dollars
%
100.3 129.6 29.1
Foreign Debt
Ability to Pay
Share (percentage) of GDP
Billions of Dollars:
Total Foreign
Debt
January - December
2009
2010
%
96.7
153.5 58.7
Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from
Bank of Mexico and SHCP.
External Sector
11
Public Deficit
(In percentage of national GDP and Billions of pesos in real terms)
Billions of
real pesos
of 2011
% of GDP
2.7%
2.3%
1%
0.6%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
0.2%
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
Source: Mexican Chamber of Construction Industry (CMIC), National Institute of Statistics, Geography and Informatics (INEGI) and Ministry of Finance and Public Credit
(SHCP).
Evolution of GDP and GDP Construction
Annual Percentage Variation (%)
Evolution of construction in
GDP during 2011*
Source: Management of Economy and Finance CMIC with data from INEGI and Bank of Mexico.
* Estimated figures at the close of the year.
Note: Starting 2004, the GDP figures are calculated with the new INEGI 2003 base.
Prognosis
13