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Business Cycles The Business Cycle Boom/Peak Contraction & Recession Expansion & Recovery Depression Recovery The business cycle is the cycle of expansion and contraction in the economy. Long-run trend of output Peak Real GDP Trough Time An expansion is a sustained rise in the real ouput of an economy A contraction is a sustained fall in the real output of an economy A peak is the point in the business cycle at which real output is at its highest A trough is the point in the business cycle at which real output is at its lowest When actual output exceeds potential output, the resulting inflationary gap is the difference between the real output (point a) and potential output (point b). Real output then falls below its potential level. In this case, the recessionary gap is the amount by which real output falls short of its potential (the difference between point c and d). Peak Real GDP a c Inflationary Gap d b Trough Time Long-run trend of output (potential) Recessionary Gap Assignment Using your text, summarize the following: – the role of expectations on a contraction and expansion – the effects of a contraction/expansion – recession/depression