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SOFI Introduced Into the IFS Model MPPC 2010 The International Futures Model • Large-scale, long-term, structure-based and agent-classdriven global modeling system. • Contains demographic, economic, energy, agricultural, socio-political, and environmental subsystems • 183 countries interacting in the global system. • Can show how changing the value of a variable in a country affects other measures in that country, other countries, regions, and the world as a whole. • Computes projections for the long term future (to year 2100 • Used in teaching, policy analysis, new method development (RAND RDM) IFS/MP SOFI SOFI vs. Systemic SOFI For the Future • Introduce Trend Impact Analysis (might require a database of future developments) • Enrich the historical database • Country data sharing. • Create sub-indexes (e.g. Security, Health, Wealth, Intellect, Infrastructure, and Moral/Ethical) • Create an annual national SOFI report IFS/MP SOFI • Described in detail in Chapter 2 • Now on line at www.ifs.du.edu/ifs.
