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Chapter 14 Nonparametric Statistics Introduction: Distribution-Free Tests Distribution-free tests – statistical tests that don’t rely on assumptions about the probability distribution of the sampled population Nonparametrics – branch of inferential statistics devoted to distribution-free tests Rank statistics (Rank tests) – nonparametric statistics based on the ranks of measurements 2 Single Population Inferences The Sign test is used to make inferences about the central tendency of a single population Test is based on the median η Test involves hypothesizing a value for the population median, then testing to see if the distribution of sample values around the hypothesized median value reaches significance 3 Single Population Inferences Sign Test for a Population Median η One-Tailed Test H0:η1 = η0 Ha :η1 < η0 {or Ha: η1> η0] Test Statistic S = Number of sample measurements greater than η0 [or S = number of measurements less than η0] Two-Tailed Test H0: η1 = η0 Ha: η1 η0 S = Larger of S1 and S2, where S1 is the number of measurements less than η0 and S2 is the number of measurements greater than η0 Observed Significance Level p-value = P(x ≥ S) p-value = 2P(x ≥ S) Where x has a binomial distribution with parameters n and p = .5 Rejection region: Reject H0 if p-value ≤ .05 Conditions required for sign test – sample must be randomly selected from a continuous probability distribution 4 Single Population Inferences Large-Sample Sign Test for a Population Median η One-Tailed Test H0:η1 = η0 Ha :η1 < η0 {or Ha: η1> η0] Test Statistic Two-Tailed Test H0: η1 = η0 Ha: η1 η0 z S .5 .5n .5 n Observed Significance Level p-value = P(x ≥ S) p-value = 2P(x ≥ S) Where x has a binomial distribution with parameters n and p = .5 Rejection region: z z Rejection region: z z / 2 Conditions required for sign test – sample must be randomly selected from a continuous probability distribution 5 Comparing Two Populations: Independent Samples The Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test is used when two independent random samples are being used to compare two populations, and the ttest is not appropriate It tests the hypothesis that the probability distributions associated with the two populations are equivalent 6 Comparing Two Populations: Independent Samples Rank Data from both samples from smallest to largest If populations are the same, ranks should be randomly mixed between the samples Percentage Cost of Living Change, as Predicted by Government and University Economists Government Economist (1) Prediction Rank 3.1 4 4.8 7 2.3 2 5.6 8 0.0 1 2.9 3 University Economist (2) Prediction Rank 4.4 6 5.8 9 3.9 5 8.7 11 6.3 10 10.5 12 10.8 13 Test statistic is based on the rank sums – the totals of the ranks for each of the samples. T1 is the sum for sample 1, T2 is the sum for sample 2 7 Comparing Two Populations: Independent Samples Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test: Independent Samples One-Tailed Test H0:D1 and D2 are identical Ha :D1 is shifted to the right of D2 {or Ha: D1 is shifted to the left of D2] Test Statistic T1, if n1<n2; T2, if n2 < n1 (Either rank sum can be used if n1 = n2 ) Two-Tailed Test H0:D1 and D2 are identical Ha :D1 is shifted either to the left or to the right of D2 T1, if n1<n2; T2, if n2 < n1 (Either rank sum can be used if n1 = n2 ) We will denote this rank sum as T Rejection region: T ≤ TL or T ≥ TU Rejection region: T1: T1 ≥ TU [or T1 ≤ TL] T1: T1 ≤ TL [or T1 ≥ TU] Where TL and TU are obtained from table Required Conditions: Random, independent samples Probability distributions samples drawn from are continuous 8 Comparing Two Populations: Independent Samples Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test for Large Samples(n1 and n2 ≥ 10) One-Tailed Test H0:D1 and D2 are identical Ha :D1 is shifted to the right of D2 {or Ha: D1 is shifted to the left of D2] Test Statistic Test statistic : z Rejection region: z>z(or z<-z) Two-Tailed Test H0:D1 and D2 are identical Ha :D1 is shifted either to the left or to the right of D2 n1 (n1 n2 1) 2 n1n2 (n1 n2 1) 12 T1 Rejection region: |z|>z/2 9 Comparing Two Populations: Paired Differences Experiment Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test: An alternative test to the paired difference of means procedure Analysis is of the differences between ranks Softness Ratings of Paper Judge 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Product A B 6 4 8 5 4 5 9 8 4 1 7 9 6 2 5 3 6 7 8 2 Difference (A-B) 2 3 -1 1 3 -2 4 2 -1 6 Absolute Value of Difference Rank of Absolute Value 2 5 3 7.5 1 2 1 2 3 7.5 2 5 4 9 2 5 1 2 6 10 T+ = Sum of positive ranks = 46 T- = Sum of negative ranks = 9 Any differences of 0 are eliminated, and n is reduced accordingly 10 Comparing Two Populations: Paired Differences Experiment Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test for a Paired Difference Experiment Let D1 and D2 represent the probability distributions for populations 1 and 2, respectively One-Tailed Test H0:D1 and D2 are identical Ha :D1 is shifted to the right of D2 [or Ha: D1 is shifted to the left of D2] Test Statistic T-, the rank sum of the negative distances (or T+, the rank sum of the positive distances) Rejection region: T-: ≤ T0 [or T+: ≤ T0] Where T0 is from table Two-Tailed Test H0:D1 and D2 are identical Ha :D1 is shifted either to the left or to the right of D2 T, the smaller of T+ or T- Rejection region: T ≤ T0 Required Conditions Sample of differences is randomly selected Probability distribution from which sample is drawn is continuous 11 Comparing Three or More Populations: Completely Randomized Design Kruskal-Wallis H-Test An alternative to the completely randomized ANOVA Based on comparison of rank sums Number of Available Beds Hospital 1 Beds 6 38 3 17 11 30 15 16 25 5 R1 = 120 Rank 5 27 2 13 8 21 11 12 17 4 Hospital 2 Beds 34 28 42 13 40 31 9 32 39 27 Rank 25 19 30 9.5 29 22 7 23 28 18 R2 = 210.5 Hospital 3 Beds 13 35 19 4 29 0 7 33 18 24 Rank 9.5 26 15 3 20 1 6 24 14 16 R3 = 134.5 12 Comparing Three or More Populations: Completely Randomized Design Kruskal-Wallis H-Test for Comparing k Probability Distributions H0: The k probability distributions are identical Ha: At least two of the k probability distributions differ in location R 2j 12 Test statistic: H n 3(n 1) n n 1 j Where Nj = Number of measurements in sample j Rj = Rank sum for sample j, where the rank of each measurement is computed according to its relative magnitude in the totality of data for the p samples n = Total Sample Size = n1 +n2 + ….+ nk Rejection region: H 2 with (k-1) degrees of freedom Required Conditions: •The k samples are random and independent •5 or more measurements per sample •Probability distributions samples drawn from are continuous 13 Comparing Three or More Populations: Randomized Block Design The Friedman Fr Test A nonparametric method for the randomized block design Based on comparison of rank sums Reaction Time for Three Drugs Subject 1 2 3 4 5 6 Drug A 1.21 1.63 1.42 2.43 1.16 1.94 Rank 1 1 1 2 1 1 R1 = 7 Drug B 1.48 1.85 2.06 1.98 1.27 2.44 Rank 2 2 3 1 2 2 R2 = 12 Drug C 1.56 2.01 1.70 2.64 1.48 2.81 Rank 3 3 2 3 3 3 R3 = 17 14 Comparing Three or More Populations: Randomized Block Design The Friedman Fr-test H0: The probability distributions for the p treatments are identical Ha: At least two of the p probability distributions differ in location Test statistic: Fr 12 R2j 3b( p 1) bp p 1 Where b = Number of blocks p = number of treatments Rj = Rank sum of the jth treatment; where the rank of each measurement is computed relative to its position within its own block Rejection region: Fr 2 with (p-1) degrees of freedom Required Conditions: •Random assignment of treatments to units within blocks •Measurements can be ranked within blocks •Probability distributions samples within each block drawn from are continuous 15 Rank Correlation Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient Rs provides a measure of correlation between ranks Brake Rankings of New Car Models: Less than Perfect Agreement Magazine Car Model 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 1 4 1 9 5 2 10 7 3 6 8 2 5 2 10 6 1 9 7 3 4 8 Difference between Rank 1 and Rank 2 D -1 -1 -1 -1 1 1 0 0 2 0 D2 d 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 4 0 2 10 16 Rank Correlation One-Tailed Test H0:p = 0 Ha :p < 0 {or Ha: p> 0] Test Statistic Two-Tailed Test H0: p = 0 Ha: p 0 rs 1 6 di2 n(n 2 1) Where di = ui –vi (difference in ranks of ith observations for samples 1 and 2 Rejection region: rs rs , Rejection region: rs rs, / 2 (or rs rs , when Ha: p> 0) Conditions Required: Sample of experimental units is randomly selected Probability distributions of two variables are continuous 17