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The heat is on • • • SwRI scientists draw on planetary and cometary knowledge to understand better why large cities are getting hotter by Daniel Boice, Ph. D. Le cool serenity of the countryside can be an irresistible lure, especially after a week of congested traffic, irritable city dwellers, and unbearable heat. Rural areas, by their nature, have more vegetation and fewer cars and citizens, but how is it they seem cooler? Scientists at Southwest Research Institute are curious about this temperature difference, too, and have begun to develop a computer model to help them understand the special problems associated with urban environments such as air pollution, especially ozone concentration because of its sensitivity to air temperature; 'electric power consumption; airport operation; and overall quality of life issues. To bring the problem closer to home, the project team of Dr. Rosemary Killen, Dr. Walter Huebnel~ and Dr. Daniel Boice selected SwRI's headquarters city, San Antonio, as the prototype for their studies. Several attempts to describe the complex urban environment have been made over the past decades, but a consistent picture of the causes and importance of the many factors that influence urban air has not emerged.1,2 Background It has been known for more than a century that the environment of urban areas worldwide - particularly that of 6 large cities - is warmer than the surrounding rural a~ea. This is known as the Urban Heat Island (UHI) effect, which occurs as a result of anthropogenic, or human, alterations to the environment. Each city is unique, with its own blend of characteristics that influence the UHI, but some similarities have been found. Aside from the obvious difference that cities in general have less vegetative cover than rural areas, there are a number of human activities that contribute to the relative warmth of cities.3 Evaporative cooling is less in cities b~cause buildings, streets, and sidewalks absorb the majority of solar energy input, and there is greater water runoff in cities because pavements are largely nonporous, Both processes can add to higher air temperatures. Waste heat from city buildings, power plants, industry, and vehicles also contributes to higher temperatures. Ironically, one remedy to beat the heat - air-conditioningadds to the environmental problem with waste heat from the machinery that cools the air. Building and street materials tar, asphalt, brick - generally have dark surfaces and thermal properties that cause them to absorb and hold heat during the day and release it during the night. And skyscrapers - symbols of metropolitan prosperity - create canyons that, depend- ing on their geometry, trap solar energy and heat. Within the past decade, the population of San Antonio and its surrounding communities surpassed one million, making it the ninth-largest metropolitan area in the United States, and its growth contilmes. An increase in population with accompanying urban development carries good news and bad news, Development can be a boon to the economy of a city, but unfortunate environmental effects may result because of a loss of vegetative cover; an increase in the number of buildings, paved areas, and car,s; and the generation of more waste heat. Rising temperatures in cities also affect demandside power management of electric utilities. On summer days in San Antonio, each degree above 70°F requires an additional 60 megawatts of power from San Antonio's electric power utility. Most of the additional energy is used for air-conditiOning, which produces waste heat that in turn contributes to the UHI. The UHI effect itself may be an important contributor to the investigation of global warming. Most temperature measurements are made at weather stations located at airports, which are intense heat islands because of their long runways, terminals, large parking lots, and bUildings. A question thus arises Warming Trend of Summer Minimum Temperatures about the significance of these 5 measurements influenced by the Differences in the averUHI in relation to global warming. age daily temperature While studies have been conminima (nighttime) of San ducted of the UHI effect and its Antonio relative to New role in other urban areas, no such Braunfels for the summer months from 1946 to study had been made for San 1990 (dark line). The Antonio. Urban environments difwarming trend due to the fer, so one locale may exhibit a UHI in San Antonio is daytime heat excess while another shown by the red line, may exhibit a nighttime excess, which represents a leastand the day /night temperature squares fit to the data. variation is decreasing. Scientists at SwRI who are experienced in ·1 planetary and cometary atmos1946 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 19701974 1978 1982 1986 1990 pheres undertook such a study Year using internal research funding to augment their existing knowledge experienced relative to the surrounding are found in the maximum temperatures of the Earth's atmosphere and to ascertain in the winter months, which are increasrural area be quantified? Could the magif the UHI effect could be modeled to help ing an average 1.4°F per decade compared nitude of the UHI effect caused by surface investigate important issues that affect the to New Braunfels, and 0.9°F per decade albedo (percent reflected sunlight; white urban environment in general and San materials have a high albedo, while black compared to Poteet. No statistical change Antonio's environment in particular. By have low) of roads, parking lots, and in the winter maximum temperatures comparing similarities and differences between San Antonio and Boerne was buildings be better defined? What is the between the detailed knowledge of the relationship between anthropogenic heat found. Despite many mitigating influEarth's atmosphere with the variety of ences, such as much vegetation and little release and the UHI effect? conditions that exist in the atmospheres of polluting industry, the temperature comTo answer the first question, the planets and comets, scientists can parisons indicate that San Antonio has an researchers obtained and compared daily learn more about both fields of study. temperature records from the National increasing UHI effect. 4 In other words, Climatic Data Center in Asheville, North San Antonio is hot, and it's getting hotter! Approach Carolina, for the years 1946 to 1990 for Using a computer model based on The study sought to address several San Antonio and the small surrounding physical and chemical principles, the questions. Does San Antonio have an thermodynamic effects of passive (such towns of New Braunfels, Boerne, and increasing UHI effect and, if so, can the as building materials) and active (such Poteet. These towns were selected because temperature increase that San Antonio has as vehicle emissions) sources of heat in all are within 25 miles of San Antonio, the urban environment were examined surrounding the city on the northeast (New Braunfels), south (Poteet), and to determine their relative roles in pronorthwest (Boerne). Temperature difducing an urban heat island. Specifically, the role of surface albedo, relative ferences between San Antonio and these surrounding towns were mealightness or darkness of a surface, and sured to cancel out the effects of any the effect of anthropogenic heat release long-term climatic changes that have were examined within the context of occurred in south central Texas over the computer model. the past 45 years. The study showed Model Development minimum temperatures at the San After selecting San Antonio as a site Antonio International Airport (the for study of the UHI effect, the team modlocation of the National Weather Station) are increasing at an average rate ified an existing computer code to of about O.5°F per decade relative to develop a model for solving problems related to the urban atmosphere. In addithe nearby towns. The difference in minimum temperation to studying temperature increase, the tures is most pronounced during the goal is to have a general tool for investisummer months. The average summer gating a variety of important issues facing modern cities: air quality, especially the temperature minimum differences relative to New Braunfels indicated the effects of the UHI on ozone concentration; largest increase, 0.7 ± 0.2°F per decade. changes in the local meteorology (winds, Dr. Daniel Boice is a senior research scientist humidity, clouds) due to a hot "bubble" of In 1947, the minimum temperatures in in the Planetary Science Section, Instrumentaair over the city; relationships of the UHI New Braunfels were on average about tion and Space Research Division. His previto ground and surface water; and long0.4°F warmer than San Antonio. In 1990, ous experience includes numerical simulations range city planning strategies to mitigate summer minimum temperatures were of the dynamics and chemistry in the atmosmore than 3°F cooler in New Braunfels. the negative effects of the UHI. pheres of comets, planets, and cool stars. CurSimilar trends in the minimum summer The Regional Atmospheric Modeling Sysrently he is analyzing the many observations tem (RAMS), a mesoscale meteorological comtemperatures are seen in comparisons taken of comets Hyakutake and Hale-Bopp to puter program developed at Colorado State with Poteet and Boerne. The same effects yield a better global understanding of comets. Technology Today. Fall 1997 7 The temperature above an idealized "city" is shown in a cross section in which the only difference between the "city" (between about 1540 miles) and its surroundings is albedo. The albedo of the city surface is 0.05 (nearly black), while that of the surroundings is 0.95 (very bright). A heat island of 18°F develops at noon. This temperature difference closely matches differences measured between a parking lot and undeveloped adjacent land. Urban Heat Island Temperature - Albedo Test 0 .48 0 .42 U; .!! 0 .36 GI IJ 0.30 ! .. c III 1/1 is 0.24 "i IJ 1:GI > 0.18 0 . 12 0 .06 .0 48 36 24 24 o 12 west east Horizontal Distance (Miles) 12 ~------------------------III University and used by the m eteorology community to study weather phenomena (recently for the 1996 Olympic Games in Atlanta), was selected for m odification. Although mesoscale m eteorological models have been used previously to simulate the transport and deposition of air pollution, none has coupled meteorology with air pollution chemistry in an urban setting. This is important because many chemical reactions are sensitive to air temperature; as an example, a change of a few degrees can affect reaction rates greatly and, in turn, the concentrations of pollutants. Further, the interaction of sunlight with the atmosphere is crudely accounted for in existing models. Many air pollutants, including aerosols, absorb and reemit radiation in the infrared as heat. Thus, heat can be trapped by urban air, creating a positive feedback on the UHI and, in turn, on air pollutants. On the other hand, strong winds may dissipate pollutants and urban heat. Several modifications to RAMS had to be made. First, the soil m odel was adapted to include urban "soil" and "vegetation" classes. The code was manipulated such that the characteristics of the urban parameters could be varied in the model. These parameters include heat capacity, thermal dif£usivity, thermal conductivity, moisture capacity, hydraulic conductivity, soil porosity, surface albedo, emissivity for long-wave radiation (heat), and surface roughness. A capability was added to allow the inclusion of internal heat sources to simulate all anthropogenic activity (vehicles, air-conditioners, power plants, etc.) in the city. Lastly, a computer 8 36 • 48 code developed with NASA funding to study chemical reactions in the atmospheres of comets was modified to include urban air pollution chemistry, and coupling to the adapted meteorological computer program has begun. The NASA comet model describes the d etailed gas-phase chemistry in an expanding cometary atmosphere and has been used successfully for more than a decade to interpret spacecraft data from encounters with comets P /Halley, P /Giacobini-Zinner, and P /GriggSkjellerup, and to understand recent observations of comets Hyakutake and Hale-Bopp. This comet research continu es to assimilate information from ground-based observations and spacecraft m easurements to develop a better overall understanding of the physical and chemical properties of comets. Results and Conclusion Using the modified code, named the Urban Environment Model (UEM), the project team reproduced the development of a heat island by modeling the complex interaction between winds, temperature and humidity, percent surface water, internal heat rate, and albedo and other surface properties. The preliminary model results were in general agreem ent w ith measured UHI temperatures. The team also demonstrated that the UEM could be u sed to study the effects of passive and active heat sources. Two conclusions were reached from these results . Dark-colored urban surfaces (low albedo) mainly increase the d aytime surface temperature, as more sunlight is absorbed and retained Technology Today · Fall 1997 and a modest convective cell (updraft of warm air with associated downdraft of cooler air) is formed in the air above the hot surface. Secondly, anthropogenic heat release has little effect on surface temperature, but is very effective in increasing wind speed and vertical convection updraft as heat is deposited directly into the atmosphere and the resulting hot air rises above the city. Initial results are encouraging, and further development and extension of the UEM continues. The resulting three-dimensional, time-dependent model will be used to investigate important issues in modern cities, such as the effects of building and paving materials, park lands, and patterns of urban growth on heat island intensity; as well as their effects on the concentration of ground-level ozone and other urban air pollutants. The effects of the UHI on air pollution are a particularly important question for San Antonio, especially as they relate to ozone concentration. San Antonio currently is in compliance with Environmental Protection Agency ozone regulations; however, it is close to being classified as an ozone nonattainment city, which can lead to serious impacts on quality of life and the economy. SwRI scientists are promoting the potential for further d evelopmen t of the UEM to local, state, and federal agencies interested in solving the many complex problems associa ted with modern urban areas .•:. References 1. M. Garstang, PD. Tyson, and GD. Emmitt, "The structure of heat islands," Rev. Geophys. Space. Phys. 13,1975, pp. 139 -165. 2. T.R. Oke, "The Heat Island of the Urban Boundary Layer: Characteristics, Causes and Effects," in Wind Climate in Cities, J.E. Cermak et al. (eds.), Kluwer Acad. Publ., Dordrecht, 1995, pp. 81-107. 3. W.B. Myer, "Urban heat island and urban health: early American perspective," Professional Geographer, Vol. 43, No. 1, 1991, pp.38-48. 4. D.C. Boice, W.E Huebner, and N. Garcia, 'The urban heat island of San Antonio, Texas (USA)," in Air Pollution IV, B. Caussade et al. (eds.), Computational Mechanics Publications, Southhampton, 1996, pp. 649 - 656.