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AP Statistics Quiz A – Chapter 25 Name Before you took this course, you probably heard many stories about Statistics courses. Oftentimes parents of students have had bad experiences with Statistics courses and pass on their anxieties to their children. To test whether actually taking AP Statistics decreases students’ anxieties about Statistics, an AP Statistics instructor gave a test to rate student anxiety at the beginning and end of his course. Anxiety levels were measured on a scale of 0-10. Here are the data for 16 randomly chosen students from a class of 180 students: Pre-course anxiety level 7 6 9 5 6 7 5 7 6 4 3 2 1 3 4 2 Post-course anxiety level 4 3 7 3 4 5 4 6 5 3 2 2 1 3 4 3 Difference (Post – Pre) -3 -3 -2 -2 -2 -2 -1 -1 -1 -1 -1 0 0 0 0 1 1. Do the data indicate that anxiety levels about Statistics decreases after students take AP Statistics? Test an appropriate hypothesis and state your conclusion. 2. Create and interpret a 90% confidence interval. 25-7 AP Statistics Quiz A – Chapter 25 – Key 1. Let d = Post-course anxiety level – Pre-course anxiety level. H 0 : µ d = 0 The mean difference in the anxiety levels is zero. H A : µ d < 0 The mean difference in the anxiety levels is less than zero. * Paired data: The data are paired because they are measurements on the same individuals both before and after the intro stats course. * Independence: The anxiety level of any student is 5 independent of the anxiety level of any other student, so the 4 differences are independent. 3 * Randomization: We are told this is a random sample from 2 the class. 1 * 10% condition: Our sample of 16 students is less than 10% of the students who take AP Statistics. -3 -1 1 * Nearly Normal condition: The histogram of the differences Difference (Post-Pre) is unimodal and roughly symmetric. Under these conditions the sampling distribution of the differences can be modeled by a Student’s t-model with (n – 1) = 15 degrees of freedom, and we will use a paired t-test. We find from the data: n = 16 , d = −1.125 , and sd = 1.1475 . We estimate the standard deviation of d using: SE ( d ) = sd n = 1.15 16 = 0.287 . d − 0 −1.125 − 0 = = −3.92 , so our P-value is P(t15 < −3.82) = 0.0007 SE ( d ) 0.287 With a P-value this small, we can reject the null hypothesis. We have strong evidence that taking AP Statistics class reduces the anxiety level of students. t15 = 2. Under these conditions the sampling distribution of the differences can be modeled by a Student’s t-model with (n – 1) = 15 degrees of freedom, and we will use a paired t-interval. The 90% critical value for t15 is 1.753 (from table). The margin of error: ME = t15* × SE ( d ) = 1.753(0.287 ) = 0.503 So the 90% confidence interval is −1.125 ± 0.503 , or an interval of (-1.63, -0.62). We are 90% confident that taking AP Statistics will decrease a student’s anxiety between 0.6 and 1.6 points (on our scale). 25-8 AP Statistics Quiz B – Chapter 25 Name Most people are definitely dominant on one side of their body – either right or left. For some sports being able to use both sides is an advantage, such as batting in baseball or softball. In order to determine if there is a difference in strength between the dominant and non-dominant sides, a few switch-hitting members of some school baseball and softball teams were asked to hit from both sides of the plate during batting practice. The longest hit (in feet) from each side was recorded for each player. The data are shown in the table at the right. Does this sample indicate that there is a difference in the distance a ball is hit by batters who are switch-hitters? 1. Test an appropriate hypothesis and state your conclusion. Dominant Non-dominant Side Side 142 144 153 148 146 149 138 145 153 160 163 170 169 151 152 167 164 165 163 119 118 126 119 121 125 116 120 124 138 135 144 142 128 131 141 140 140 138 2. Create and interpret a 95% confidence interval. 25-9 AP Statistics Quiz B – Chapter 25 – Key 1. Let d = difference in the hit lengths between the dominant side and the non-dominant side of the plate. H 0 : µ d = 0 The mean difference in the hit lengths (in feet) is zero. H A : µ d > 0 The mean difference in the hit lengths (in feet) is greater then zero. * Paired data: The data are paired because they are measurements on the same individual from the dominant side and the non-dominant side of the plate. * Independence: The hit length by any individual is independent of the hit length of other individuals, so the differences are independent. * Randomization: We assume these switch-hitters, though not randomly selected, are representative of all switchhitters. * 10% condition: Our inference is about hit lengths from dominant and non-dominant sides, not about individuals, so we do not need to check this condition. * Nearly Normal condition: The histogram of the differences is unimodal and symmetric. Under these conditions the sampling distribution of the differences can be modeled by a Student’s t-model with (n – 1) = 18 degrees of freedom. We will use a paired t-test. We find from the data: n = 19 pairs, d = 25.1 feet, and sd = 2.31 feet. We estimate the standard deviation of d using: SE ( d ) = sd n = 2.31 19 = 0.53 . d − 0 25.1 − 0 = = 47.4 P = P(t18 > 47.4) < 0.0001 SE ( d ) 0.53 With a P-value this small, we can reject the null hypothesis. We have strong evidence that hits tend to be longer from the dominant side of the plate. t18 = 2. Create and interpret a 95% confidence interval. Under these conditions the sampling distribution of the differences can be modeled by a Student’s t-model with (n – 1) = 18 degrees of freedom. We will use a paired t-interval. We find from the data: n = 19 pairs, d = 25.1 feet, and sd = 2.31 feet. We estimate the standard deviation of d using: SE ( d ) = The 95% critical value for t18 is 2.101 (from table). sd n = 2.31 19 = 0.53 . The margin of error: ME = t18* × SE ( d ) = 2.101(0.53) = 1.11 So the 95% confidence interval is 25.1 ± 1.11 , or an interval of (23.99, 26.22) feet. We are 95% confident that hits from the dominant side will average between 24.0 and 26.2 feet longer than hits from the non-dominant side of the plate. 25-10