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ECONOMIC OUTLOOK
AND
MONETARY POLICY
RECOMMENDATIONS
November 2, 2012
New York, NY
Discussions
Internal
and
External
disruptions
State of
the
Economy
Labor
Market
Housing
Market
REAL GDP Rate
Household Consumption Increasing
Even though Disposable Income is
Decreasing
Consumer Sentiment is Optimistic
Despite the “Fiscal Cliff”
Retail Sales
Fixed Investment & Government
Spending Lagging
The Housing Sector is Recovering
New Residential Construction Rate
Construction Spending Rate
Mortgage Rates at a low…
New Home Sale Rate
Home Price Index Rate
Financial Markets Recovering Some
Ground…
Unemployment Rate
Civilian Unemployment
Nonfarm Payroll Employment Rate
Industrial Production
Capacity Utilization
Price Stability Rate
Household Debt Service and Financial
Obligation Ratios
Household Consumption Rate
Nominal Interest Rates
TIPPS-10 YEAR
Exports in the decline
Oil Prices in the Decline= More
Disposable income for Consumers
U.S Foreign Exchange Rates
Too much money laying around the
Reserves
Commercial & Industrial Loans in the
Decline
Unemployment is still too high
The Unemployed are becoming
Unemployable..
The Euro zone Economy= Drag for the
U.S Recovery?
Emerging Economies Cooling Down
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