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Does solar system orbital motion and resonance synchronise solar variation, LOD and ENSO? Roger ‘tallbloke’ Tattersall BA(hons) hist/phil sci http://tallbloke.wordpress.com [email protected] @RogTallbloke What is the solar-planetary theory? • Earth is affected by the whole solar system • Long term – Solar wind, orbital changes, LOD changes • Medium term – Lunar cycles, solar variation, LOD changes • Short term – Tidal cycles, solar variation, ‘chaos’ • Feedbacks operate between planets and Sun • Evidence of cyclic changes having a celestial origin • De Vries, Gleissberg and other cycles match planetary cycles Solar system dynamics Gas Giant motion in the Z-axis influences the rate of Earth’s rotation, surface temperature and correlates to solar variation too. Length Of Day (LOD) Planetary motion 1840 2010 Solar system Dynamics 2014 Rick Salvador’s Reconstruction of solar activity Solar system dynamics LOD model based on planetary and lunar motion closely follows the IERS data. The Moon’s orbit has been shaped by orbital resonance with neighbouring planets and the Sun’s mass. Solar system dynamics The same planetary and lunar parameters which replicate solar variation and Earth’s LOD variation also reproduce the history of ENSO. Low solar activity forecast for C21st Thank You for your interest Please visit Tallblokes Talkshop http://tallbloke.wordpress.com [email protected] Global temperature anomalies 2010-2015 by Clive Best