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Technische Universität München COST working group 2 – EMM Erreichbarkeitsatlas Edinburgh - October 13th, 2011 Johannes Keller, TU München [email protected] Technische Universität München Development of project • Start 2008 • EMM e.V. = European Metropolitan Area Munich Marketing and debating platform with different thematic working groups: education, culture, economy, environment, mobility • Pilot project „Accessibiliy Atlas“ – First step: regional database, published 2010 – Currently: o cooperation on county level to develop the local level and applications in strategic land-use and transport planning o „Stress-tests“ for sustainable mobility Technische Universität München Stand heute - Ergebnisse Technische Universität München - Spatial resolution: municipalities Stand heute - Ergebnisse consistent data availability - Development of submodels for local analyses - OpenStreetMap network data - CORINE Land Cover Land Use Data o disaggregation of structural data o speeds in built-up areas - Public Transport timetables from authorities or publications - Webtool version (should be launched one of these days…) Technische Universität München Stand heute - Ergebnisse Technische Universität München Technische Universität München Stand heute - Ergebnisse Technische Universität München Technische Universität München Stand heute - Ergebnisse Technische Universität München Stress-test for sustainable mobility Two interesting study regions: - European Metropolitan Region of Munich - Metropolitan Region Lyon Two teams: - Department of urban structure and transport planning / TUM - Laboratory of Transport Economics / LET Opportunities of collaboration: - PhD Summer school 2009 (Frauenchiemsee) with BFHZ - Joint proposal to WCTR … NECTAR … PREDIT Technische Universität München Stress tests - Research questions • Which locations (e.g. in terms of economics) and which groups of society are mostly in danger to suffer from social exclusion in the face of the scenarios? • How are different transport modes affected? Are existing public transport systems able to step into the breach? If not, which investments are necessary to prepare public transport for possible new challenges? • Which new opportunities and challenges will arise for electric mobility as well as neighbourhood mobility? • How can land-use patterns (jobs, shops, homes ...) be relocated to avoid severe accessibility drops? Technische Universität München Three dimensions of vulnerability Exposure is the contact between system and stress Sensitivity is the degree to which sth./so. is affected by exposure to stress Resilience is the ability of sth./so. to absorb stresses wo. changes in its fundamental structure or function (Kaspersons et al. 2006) Technische Universität München Suggestions for indicators • • • Exposure: - Vehicle-km / household - (Commuting distances) - Cars per household - … Sensitivity: - Unemployment rate - Income/taxes Resilience: - Accessibility - Age - Family situation Technische Universität München Exposure: Car ownership Technische Universität München Sensitivity: Unemployment rate Technische Universität München Sensitivity: Monthly income Technische Universität München Resilience: Accessibility for public transport Technische Universität München Resilience: Accessibility for PC/PT Technische Universität München Schnittstelle Raum - IV IV-Modell (GIS-OSD) Raumstrukturmodell (GIS) Anbindung der Zentroiden ans Netz Raumstrukturzelle Netzmodell Geometrische Form ID: [Attributname] Name JOI N Weitere Attribute Raumstrukturpotenzial Erreichbarkeit Erreichbarkeit (Excel) Raumwiderstandsmatrix Erri Pj * f ( wij ) Zielzellen n j Raumwiderstände (1 n) Startzellen m Koordinaten (x,y) des Zentroiden Bestweg Algorithmus Raumwiderstände (m n) … Raumwiderstände (M n) Technische Universität München Schnittstelle Raum - ÖV ÖV-Modell (VISUM) Raumstrukturmodell (GIS) Raumstrukturzelle Geometrische Form Liniennetzmodell Koordinaten (x,y) des Zentroiden Fahrplanmodell Name Weitere Attribute Raumstrukturpotenzial Repräsentative Haltestelle Erreichbarkeit Erreichbarkeit (Excel) Bestweg Algorithmus Raumwiderstandsmatrix Erri Pj * f ( wij ) Zielhaltestellen n j Starthaltestellen m ID: [Attributname] JOI N Haltestellenmodell Raumwiderstände (1 n) Raumwiderstände (m n) … Raumwiderstände (M n) Technische Universität München Stand heute - Ergebnisse Technische Universität München Stand heute - Ergebnisse Technische Universität München Stand heute - Ergebnisse Technische Universität München Stand heute - Ergebnisse