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					The embassy of Sweden PRESENTATION OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR WITH REGARD TO THE POVERTY REDUCTION BUDGET SUPPORT TO THE DEVELOPMENT PARTNER’S GROUP FOR PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT 15th august 2007 Introduction Meaning of MKUKUTA MKUKUTA stands for a Swahili acronym which means National Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty (NSGRP). MKUKUTA presents a careful poverty diagnosis building on available evidence from the Household Budget Survey, Labor Force Survey and the Participatory Poverty Analysis  1 Introduction cont.  MKUKUTA has three major clusters: 1. Growth and reduction of income poverty; 2. Improvement of quality of life and social well-being; and 3. Governance and accountability. 2 Key issues under cluster I.     Ensuring sound economic management; promoting sustainable and broad based growth; Improving food availability and accessibility; Reducing income poverty of both men and women in rural and urban areas and; Provisional of reliable and affordable energy to consumers. 3 Cluster-wide Indicators Cluster-wide indicators for MKUKUTA’s cluster I are; 1.Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth per annum 2.GDP growth of sectors per annum 3.Gini co-efficient 4.Headcount ratio, basic needs poverty line.  GDP indicators are the mostly used to assess progress for this cluster. 4 Conclusion   Generally the issues and indicators under cluster I of MKUKUTA do capture the most important policy issues for Private Sector Development in Tanzania. However the government faces many challenges in implementing the document since the involvement of private sector in matters related to MKUKUTA is still minimal. 14 Goal 1: Ensuring sound economic management Target Performance Measure Status Remarks Maintenance of Macro Economic Stability Monetary/Fiscal measures Partly implemented, commended is the 1st & 2nd Financial Sector Reform Programme Balance of payment No significant improvement as the gap between imports and export figures is widening with imports ever increasing at a higher rate at high rate than export, exchange rate is increasingly weakening the shilling further Interest rate Still very high, lending and saving rates are too far apart, not encouraging to borrow nr to save/deposit External Debt Target of 50% of GDP not yet achieved, total national debt is at $7bn and the GDP is about $10bn. The Debt/GDP ratio General Improvement in performance particularly in reducing inflation, increasing GDP growth rate if not for impact of drought. Targets are expected to be achieved when 2nd Financial Sector Reform Programme is implemented is between 60-70% Reduce un Employment employment from 12.9% (2001) to 6.9% by 2010 and address underemployment in rural areas No significant improvement, rural productivity is very low Government continues with the efforts to create environment for more jobs through increased Investment and skills development and Community projects Goal 2: Promoting sustainable and broad - based growth Target Performance Measure Status Remarks Accelerated GDP Growth Rate to attain a growth rate of 6-8% per annum by 2010 GDP Growth Big improvement noticed growth rate reached 6.8% (2005) but last year due to drought it fell to 5.7% (2006). This year it is expected to be over 6.2% The trend show that the target will be achieved or surpassed by 2010 Infrastructure HIV/AIDs Improvement noticed on roads, performance of ports/airports, railway is at the final stage of its privatization Still very high Additional efforts and support required to boost the sector Affirmative action and support required Scale up the Trade and participation of the production informal sector and SMEs No significant improvement mainly due to poor business environment and credit Programme to enhance SME competitiveness underway through the Private Sector competitiveness Project Increase growth of the manufacturing sector from 8.6% to 15% by 2010 Slight improvement in new manufacturing investments, the power shortage inhibited production in 2006 Efforts to attract new investments and to improve productivity are under way Manufacturing Increased Agricultural growth from 5% in 2002/3 to 10% by 2010 Agricultural growth Very little improvement in agriculture Not been able to attract commercial investors in the agricultural sector and productivity remained very low Increased Growth Rate for life stock sub-sector from 2.7% in 2001 to 9% by 2010 Livestock development No significant improvement, rural productivity is very low Not been able to attract commercial investors in the agricultural sector and productivity remained very low Target Performance Measure Status Remarks Increased technological innovation upgrading and use of technologies Science and Technology No significant improvement Programme to enhance SME competitiveness underway through the Private Sector competitiveness Project Promoted regional equity and development and capacity for growth and infrastructure that enables investments and livelihoods diversification Equity No significant improvement Repaired 15,000 kms of rural roads annually by 2010 from 4,500 kms in 2003 Rural roads Reduce negative Sustainability impact on environment and peoples livelihood Environment Significant improvement noticed on implementation and the budget allocation No environment measures are incorporated in national plans Big improvement Target likely to be achieved Reduce land degradation and loss of biodiversity Land Management No significant improvement Plans are underway but no implementation yet Increase Export proportional of value added minerals from the current 0.5% to 3% by 2010 Information No significant improvement No master plan to add value to the vast gemstone & minerals available in Tanzania Growth Yes Mineral Value Addition No significant improvement If value addition is planned well can reduce poverty in Tanzania by over 75% Goal 3: Improved Food availability and accessibility at household level in urban and rural areas Target Performance Measure Increased food crops Food security production from 9 m tons in 2003/04 to 12 m tons in 2010 Research and Development Maintain strategic grain reserve of at least 4 months of national food requirements Status Remarks No significant improvement Government should encourage food production by promising to buy all excess production from farmers at a predetermined price No substantial R&D and little budget Investment in R&D required Slight Improvement this year The Budget to be increased Goal 4: Reducing income poverty of both men and women in rural areas Target Performance Measure Status Remarks Reduced proportion of rural population (men and women) below the basic needs poverty line from 38.6% in 2000/01 to 24% in 2010 Rural basic needs Negative results noted, rural people are becoming poorer and more poverty is forcing migration to urban areas Alternative strategies need to be developed to address the problem Reduced proportion of rural food poor (men and women) from 27% in 2001/01 to 14% by 2010 Rural Food poverty Same as Above Same as Above Increased productivity and profitability both within agriculture and outside agriculture sector Productivity and Agriculture Productivity has declined by big margins Increased off farm income generating activities Microfinance Productivity Very little financial support in rural areas Secure and facilitated marketing of agricultural products Marketing Agricultural marketing programmes is in place but no improvement is being witnessed Rural energy Water resources Very little achievement Community development There is improvement particularly the TASAF initiative Laws and regulation There is improvement in revision of laws that deny women in accessing financial assets and personal property Transformed subsistence sector into smallholder commercial farming Increased contributions from wildlife, forestry, and fisheries, to incomes of rural communities Child labour Improvements noted Local tourism/SMEs Improvements noted Natural resources Taking place though little impact due to mismanagement Goal 5: Reducing income poverty of both men and women in urban areas Target Performance Measure Status Reduced proportion of urban population (men and women) below the basic needs poverty line from 25.8% in 2000/01 to 12.9% in 2010 Reducing the proportion of urban food poor (men and women) from 13.2% in 2001/01 to 6.6% by 2010 Urban basic needs poverty Not achieved because of i)increased rate of migration from rural areas ii) employed in industries due to little new investment in the industries Settlements Some improvements noted Skills training Some improvements noted Utility/Energy Some improvements noted High quality skills and profession Very little achieved Remarks Additional Goal 6: Provision of reliable and affordable energy to consumers Target Performance Measure Status Libelization of the power sub-sector effected by 2010 Energy: Electricity Policy in place but little implimenatation particularly in rural electrification Sustainability & Environment Environmental conservation underway Reforms Restructuring of power sector underway Remarks At least three Energy (3) Production resources Sharing Agreements (PSA) negotiated, concluded and signed by June 2010 Other sources of energy like coal, gas and biogas identified: Plans to attract investment underway Foreign Investment required and Increased Budget Support Thank you for Your attentive listening. 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