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Mini Lecture 10: The Price Level versus Relative Prices The Price Level and Inflation The price level (PL) is the overall level of money prices in the economy. It is completely different from a relative price since it does not represent the opportunity cost of buying one good in terms of another good. The price level is measured by a price index which uses a weighted average of money prices. There are a variety of price indices, but the one most commonly used is the consumer price index (CPI). When you hear the inflation rate in the news, they are almost always referring to inflation as measured by the CPI. No price index is perfect, and the CPI is no exception. The main problem with the CPI is that it overstates inflation by at least one percentage point. So when you hear in the news that inflation is a certain level, remember to subtract 1% to get the true inflation rate for the average household. Inflation is just the growth rate of the price level so it can be positive or negative, although since the middle of the twentieth century it is almost always positive. For most of history, though, inflation has been negative as often as it has been positive. A declining price level is called deflation. The formula for inflation is, ππΏπ‘ βππΏπ‘β1 ) 100. ππΏπ‘β1 ππ‘ = ( Relative Prices A relative price is the price that is determined by the supply and demand curve in each market. It reflects the scarcity of the good. Although we often express this price in terms of dollars, it can also be expressed in terms of other goods and services (i.e. the price of a gallon of gasoline is two cheeseburgers). When the supply or demand curve in an individual market changes, this will change the relative price of that good. Example Consider the following three goods: pizza, nachos and smoothies. Each has the following money prices. Pizza Nachos Smoothies $10 $2 $5 The relative price for pizza can also be expressed as 5 nachos ($10/$2=5) or as 2 smoothies ($10/$5=2). Suppose the price level increases by 10%. Each money price will also increase by 10%. Pizza Nachos Smoothies $11.00 $2.20 $5.50 1 Notice that inflation has no effect on relative prices. Pizza is still worth 5 nachos (11/2.2=5) or 2 smoothies (11/5.5=2). In other words, there has been no change in supply or demand in the pizza marketβor the nacho market or the smoothie market. Inflation and changes in the price level have no impact on real variables such as the real wage and the standard of living. For the average household, wages and salaries are increasing at the same rate as the cost of living, so there is no change in the real wage. In general, there is no change in the opportunity cost of buying specific goods and services or, in the case of the real wage, of enjoying leisure (i.e. the opportunity cost of leisure is the goods and service that once can consume from earning the real wage). 2