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West Nile Virus Epidemiology of the North American outbreak Mira J. Leslie State Public Health Veterinarian Washington State Department of Health Learning Objective • West Nile virus is established in North America. The magnitude of the ongoing WNV outbreak is extraordinary and our knowledge is incomplete. • Definitions: Arbovirus = arthropod-borne virus Epizootic = epidemic in animals Washington State Department of Health Do you remember when? Encephalitis- NYC 1999 • SLE cases reported in Queens • Active ph surveillance identified additional cases of encephalitis • Causative agent unknown in many cases Washington State Department of Health Bronx Zoo • Zoo collection birds and birds in community (crows) dying. • Veterinary pathologist pursued testing. • West Nile virus isolated for the first time in Western Hemisphere. Washington State Department of Health Initial outbreak West Nile Virus in NYC 1999: 62 human cases 7 deaths Washington State Department of Health - © 2000 Rushton Young Washington State Department of Health West Nile virus: history •June 10, 323BC: Alexander the Great died in Babylon. (www.cdc.gov/ncidod/EID/vol9no12/030288.htm) • 1937: First identified (human illness) West Nile district of Uganda. Epidemic/Epizootic West Nile Virus • 1937- 1990’s: Mild disease/ meningoencephalitis Middle East and Africa 1937 – first case identification in Uganda 1950-75 1994 - 2001 Washington State Department of Health WorldWNV.ppt • 1996 – 1999: Severe neurologic disease in Romania, Israel, Russia Washington State Department of Health West Nile Virus- the organism 2000-2004 Davis CT, Beasley DWC, Guzman H, Raj P, D’Anton M, Novak RJ, et al. Genetic variation among temporally and geographically distinct West Nile virus isolates, United States, 2001, 2002. Emerg Infect Dis 2003 Nov Washington State Department of Health History of Arbovirus Outbreaks in North America Year Virus # neuro cases (approx) # deaths (approx) CFR 1933 SLE 1400 280 20% 1975 SLE 2000 170 8% 2003 WN 2866 264 9% CDC data Human Encephalitis in the Yakima Valley, Washington, 1942 1942 was fourth year of summer outbreaks – peak in August 28 cases Western Equine and St. Louis encephalitis types, 2 fatal (7.2%) 44 strains of WEE and 5 strains of SLE virus isolated from mosquitoes JAMA August 18, 1945 JAMA August 18, 1945 Washington State Department of Health Distribution of WNV activity, 1999-2003 States with WNV 4 States with WNV (44 + DC) 1999 States with WNV (12 + DC) 2002 2000 States with WNV (46 + DC) States with WNV (27 + DC) 2003 2001 Washington State Department of Health West Nile Virus, Human Cases Reported WNV Disease Cases in Humans, United States, 1999-2003 2002 epicenter Year # Cases Onset Date Range 1999 62 2 AUG – 24 SEP 2000 21 20 JUL – 27 SEP 2001 66 13 JUL – 7 DEC 2002 4,156 19 MAY – 19 DEC 2003 9,862 28 MAR – 3 DEC 2003 epicenter Washington State Department of Health West Nile Virus in the US How did it get here? Possible Pathways of Introduction • Infected human host • Human-transported vertebrate host Legal Illegal • Human-transported vector(s) • Storm-transported vertebrate host (bird) • Intentional introduction (terrorist event)not Washington State Department of Health West Nile virus – transmission cycle Vector mosquito Incidental hosts Reservoir host -birds Washington State Department of Health Mosquitoes: WNV vectors • 37 species of native mosquitoes have tested positive in the U.S. 1999-2003. • Some mosquitoes are more competent vectors than others. Environmental factors including climate play a role. • Culex species including Culex tarsalis in the west are principal arbovirus vectors. Washington State Department of Health Birds: WNV reservoir hosts • More than 225 species have been reported to be infected with WNV. • Crows and jays predominate with a high fatality rate. • Variable experiences: Chicago vs. Connecticut. Washington State Department of Health Learning about avian reservoirs of WNV Most competent reservoirs: Blue jay, Common grackle, House finch, American crow, House sparrow Transmission routes: mosquitoes, ingestion, and bird-bird contact. Some birds have persistent infection in many organs including skin. Komar et al. Experimental Infection of North American birds with the New York 99 strain of West Nile Virus, Emerg Infect Dis, Vol 9, No. 3, March 2003 Washington State Department of Health Dead birds as early indicators of WNV activity Timing of WNV-Positive Dead Bird Collection and Human WNV Case Onset, By County, United States, 2003* Regional Differences in WNV Surveillance, 2003* Region Area (hundred mi2) (A) # dead birds tested (B) Ratio (B/A) East 3,400 11,814 3.5 Central 6,610 5,031 0.8 West 9,301 5,602 0.6 * Reported as of 1/20/2004 Counties Reporting Bird and Human Surveillance (n=725) Human illness before bird collection (n=188, (26%)) Bird collection before human illness (n=537, (74%)) * Reported as of 1/29/2004 Washington State Department of Health U.S. Counties Reporting Equine WNV Disease Cases, 2002* Horses 12,038 cases 1,678 counties 39 states • In 2002, an intense epizootic of equine WNV infection occurred (> 14,500 reported cases). • Two new vaccines are licensed for use in horses. • Horses do not develop sufficient viremia to amplify the virus. Washington State Department of Health In addition to humans,bugs, birds, and horses • • • • • • • • Bats Squirrels, Chipmunk Skunk; Rabbit Goat, sheep, llama, deer… Zoo animals Harbor seal (Non-human) Primates Farmed Alligators…. Washington State Department of Health West Nile infection, U.S., 2003 • Human illness: 9862 Fatality: 264 • Corvid (crow, jay): 10,200 Other bird: 1866 • • • • • Feline: 1 Mosquito pools: 8384 Equine: 5145 Sentinel flocks: 1956 “Other” animals: 48 Canine: 37 Squirrel: 20 Washington State Department of Health West Nile virus WNV activity, U.S. Jan 1- June 1, 2004: Cases States 2 2 Birds 133 15 Mosq. pools 35 5 Equine 7 3 Flocks 55 3 Humans Washington State Department of Health WNV Seasonality Human WNV Disease Cases, by Week of Onset, Northern vs. Southern United States, 2003* North South 1200 800 600 400 200 0 22 -M ar 5-A 19 pr -A p 3-M r ay 17 -M 31 ay -M a 14 y -Ju 28 n -Ju n 12 -Ju 26 l -Ju 9-A l u 23 g -A ug 6-S e 20 p -S ep 4-O c 18 t -O c 1-N t 15 ov -N o 29 v -N o 13 v -D ec # cases 1000 * Reported as of 1/20/2004 Week ending Washington State Department of Health West Nile virus Surveillance/Response: Partnerships • • • • • • Public Health agencies Health care providers, laboratories Blood banks Wildlife agencies and orgs Zoos Entomologists, ecologists, cartographers • Veterinarians, veterinary laboratories • Universities The public, the media, and others ………. Washington State Department of Health Arbonet, CDC Human cases, 2004 “Tracking the virus in real-time” Secure web-based reporting Compiles data on humans, birds, mammals, sentinel flocks, mosquitoes, etc. Humans recorded by syndrome and status Real-time mappingUSGS Washington State Department of Health Take home messages West Nile virus: • Established ecological niche in North America • WNV outbreaks are unpredictable and our understanding is rudimentary. • Management: flexibility, coordination, partnerships • Plan surge capacity. Washington State Department of Health Who is this “human”? QUESTIONS? Washington State Department of Health West Nile virus-important issues • Laboratory testing Public health labs,commercial labs Veterinary labs Test development • Communications Health Alert messaging Prevention messaging Strategies and target audiences Washington State Department of Health