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MATH20802: Statistical Methods Semester 2 Formulas to remember for the final exam The moment generating function of a random variable X is MX (t) = E [exp(tX)]. (0 n) The fact that E (X n ) = MX (0). The moment generating function of a Γ(a, λ) random variable is MX (t) = λ λ−t a . θb is an unbiased estimator of θ if E θb = θ. θb is an asymptotically unbiased estimator of θ if lim E θb = θ. n→∞ The bias of θb is E θb − θ. The mean squared error of θb is E θb − θ θb is a consistent estimator of θ if lim E 2 . n→∞ θb − θ 2 = 0. If X ∼ U ni[0, θ] then E (X) = θ/2, Var(X) = θ2 /12 and F (x) = x/θ. Z ∞ The gamma function is defined by Γ(a) = ta−1 exp(−t)dt. 0 The fact that Γ(n) = (n − 1)!. " The probability density function of X ∼ N µ, σ 2 # 1 (x − µ)2 is fX (x) = √ exp − . 2σ 2 2πσ " The probability density function of X ∼ LN µ, σ 2 # (log x − µ)2 1 exp − . is fX (x) = √ 2σ 2 2πσx If X ∼ LN µ, σ 2 then log X ∼ N µ, σ 2 . If X ∼ N µ, σ 2 then E(X) = µ and Var(X) = σ 2 . If X1 ∼ N µ1 , σ12 and X2 ∼ N µ2 , σ22 are independent then aX1 +bX2 ∼ N aµ1 + bµ2 , a2 σ12 + b2 σ22 . If X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn is a random sample from N µ, σ 2 then X = n 1X Xi ∼ N µ, σ 2 /n . n i=1 The cumulative distribution function of X ∼ N (0, 1) is Φ(x). The Type I error of H0 : µ = µ0 versus H0 : µ 6= µ0 occurs if H0 is rejected when in fact µ = µ0 . The Type II error of H0 : µ = µ0 versus H0 : µ 6= µ0 occurs if H0 is accepted when in fact µ 6= µ0 . The significance level of H0 : µ = µ0 versus H0 : µ 6= µ0 is the probability of type I error. The power function of H0 : µ = µ0 versus H0 : µ 6= µ0 is Π(µ) = Pr (RejectH0 | µ). If X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn is a random sample from N µ, σ 2 , where σ 2 is assumed known, then the rejection region for H0 : µ = µ0 versus H1 : µ 6= µ0 is √ n X − µ0 > zα/2 . σ 1 If X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn is a random sample from N µ, σ 2 , where σ 2 is assumed known, then the rejection region for H0 : µ = µ0 versus H1 : µ < µ0 is √ n X − µ0 < −zα . σ Based on a random sample X1 , X2 , . . . , Xn from a distribution with the probability density function f (x; θ), the Neyman-Pearson test rejects H0 : θ = θ1 versus H1 : θ = θ2 if n Y L (θ1 ) = i=1 n Y L (θ2 ) f (Xi ; θ1 ) <k f (Xi ; θ2 ) i=1 for some k. 2