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Preparatory course a.y. 2013 – 2014 Cod. 20356 Statistics CLEFIN-FINANCE-MAFINRISK Instructors: Francesco Corielli – Carlo Ambrogio Favero Course taught in English Course Objectives An introduction to the basic concepts of statistics and probability required for the 20191 and 20192 courses in the CLEFIN degree. Course Content Summary Mathematics for statistical applications 1) Some matrix algebra 2) Interplay between matrix algebra and statistics. Expected values, Covariance matrices and related properties. 3) Introduction to the linear model in matrix notation 4) Taylor formula and local approximations: the case of returns Review of Key Statistical Concepts 1) Definition of random variables and its applications 2) Useful distributional results 3) Introduction to inference 4) Point estimation 5) Confidence intervals 6) Tests of hypothesis 7) Application of inference to simple finance variances, and covariances. problems: estimation of means, Some distribution theory 1) The use of the Gaussian in hypothesis testing and confidence intervals 2) The multidimensional Gaussian distribution Matlab 1) Data Description with MATLAB (importing the data, transforming the data, descriptive statistics and graphical analysis) 2) Descriptive analysis of Stock Market and Bond Market Returns with MATLAB 3) Static Asset Allocation with MATLAB (Tobin-Markowitz, dealing with estimation uncertainty: resampled efficient frontier and Black-Litterman) Textbooks G. CASELLA, R.L. BERGER, Statistical inference, Duxbury Press, 2001 W.H. GREENE, Econometric Analysis, 5^ ed., Prentice Hall, 2003