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Digital Communications Lecture # 5&6 Probability and Random Processes Sidra Shaheen Syed [email protected] Review of Probability and Random Processes 2 Importance of Random Processes • Random variables and processes talk about quantities and signals which are unknown in advance • The data sent through a communication system is modeled as random variable • The noise, interference, and fading introduced by the channel can all be modeled as random processes • Even the measure of performance (Probability of Bit Error) is expressed in terms of a probability 3 Random Events • When we conduct a random experiment, we can use set notation to describe possible outcomes • Examples: Roll a six-sided die Possible Outcomes: • An event is any subset of possible outcomes: S {1, 2,3, 4,5, 6} A {1, 2} 4 Random Events (continued) • The complementary event: A S A {3, 4,5, 6} • The set of all outcomes in the certain event: S • The null event: • Transmitting a data bit is also an experiment 5 Probability • The probability P(A) is a number which measures the likelihood of the event A Axioms of Probability • No event has probability less than zero: P( A) 0 P ( A) 1 and P( A) 1 A S • Let A and B be two events such that: A B Then: P( A B) P( A) P( B) 6 Mutually exclusive outcomes Outcomes are mutually exclusive if they cannot happen at the same time. For example, when you toss a single coin either it will land on heads or it will land on tails. There are two mutually exclusive outcomes. Outcome A: Head Outcome B: Tail When you roll a dice either it will land on an odd number or it will land on an even number. There are two mutually exclusive outcomes. Outcome A: An odd number Outcome B: An even number The sum of all mutually exclusive outcomes is 1. Relationships Between Random Events • Joint Probability: P( AB) P( A B ) - Probability that both A and B occur P( AB ) • Conditional Probability: P( A | B) P( B) - Probability that A will occur given that B has occurred 8 Relationships Between Random Events • Statistical Independence: - Events A and B are statistically independent if: P( AB) P( A) P( B) - If A and B are independence than: and P( B | A) P( B) P( A | B) P( A) 9 Independence • The probability of independent events A, B and C is given by: P(A,B,C) = P(A)P(B)P(C) A and B are independent, if knowing that A has happened does not say anything about B happening 10 Random Variables • A random variable X(S) is a real valued function of the underlying even space: s S • A random variable may be: -Discrete valued: range is finite (e.g.{0,1}) or countable infinite (e.g.{1,2,3…..}) -Continuous valued: range is uncountable infinite (e.g. ) • A random variable may be described by: - A name: X - Its range: X - A description of its distribution 11 Cumulative Distribution Function • Definition: FX ( x) F ( x) P( X x) • Properties: FX ( x) is monotonically non decreasing F () 0 F ( ) 1 P(a X b) F (b) F (a ) • While the CDF defines the distribution of a random variable, we will usually work with the pdf or pmf • In some texts, the CDF is called PDF (Probability Distribution function) 12 Probability Density Function • Definition: dFX ( x) PX ( x) dx dF ( x) or P( x) dx • Interpretations: pdf measures how fast the CDF is increasing or how likely a random variable is to lie around a particular value • Properties: P( x) 0 P( x)dx 1 b P(a X b) P( x)dx a 13 14