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The Canadian Lynx vs. the Snowshoe Hare: The Predator-Prey Relationship and the Lotka-Volterra Model By: Ryan Winters and Cameron Kerst Photo Courtesy of http://taggart.glg.msu.edu/bs110/lynx1.gif An Overview The Canadian Lynx population fluctuates based upon the Snowshoe Hare population Share a common habitat in the Boreal forests of Canada All data comes from records of the Hudson Bay fur company Hare and Lynx Populations 90 80 70 Population 60 Hare Population Lynx Population 50 40 30 20 10 0 1895 1900 1905 1910 Year 1915 1920 1925 Background of the LotkaVolterra Model Developed Simultaneously by Alfred J. Lotka and Vito Volterra Volterra, an Italian professor of math, developed the model while trying to explain his son’s observations of fish predators. Lotka, a chemist, demographer ecologist and mathematician, addressed the model in his book Elements of Physical Biology. Explaining the Model dH/dt is Malthusian, depends : aH(t) extension of the basic Verhulst (logistic) Model Outputs rate at which the respective population in changing at time t a=intrinsic rate of Hare population increase (births) b=predation rate coefficient c=reproduction rate of predators per 1 prey eaten e=predator mortality rate dH= aH(t)-bH(t)L(t) dt dL= cH(t)L(t)-eL(t) dt Applying the Data We chose values for our coefficients that best fit our population data graph Also initial conditions were taken under consideration in order to most accurately depict our original data This yielded these rate equations H’=0.7R(t)-1.25R(t)L(t) L’=R(t)L(t)-L(t) a=0.7 b=1.25 c=1 e=1 IVP and the Model After finding our rate equations we then formed an IVP with an initial conditions and rate equations We used our coefficients that we found and used Euler’s Method to compare our model with the actual data I.C.= H(1900)=3* L(1900)=.4* *Population in thousands R.E.= H’= aH(t)-bH(t)L(t) L’= cH(t)L(t)-eL(t) Works Consulted Works Consulted: Lotka, Alfred J. Elements of Physical Biology. Mahaffy, Joseph M. “Lotka-Volterra Models.” San Diego State University: 2000. http://wwwrohan.sdsu.edu/~jmahaffy/courses/f00/math122/lectures/qual_de2/qualde2.ht ml McKelvey, Steve. “Lotka-Volterra Two Species Model.” <http://www.stolaf.edu/people/mckelvey/envision.dir/lotka-volt.html > Sharov, Alexei. “Lotka-Volterra Model.” 01/12/1996. < http://www.gypsymoth.ento.vt.edu/~sharov/PopEcol/lec10/lotka.html > “Vito Voltera.” School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of St. Andrews, Scotland. December 1996. < http://www-groups.dcs.stand.ac.uk/~history/Mathematicians/Volterra.html > “Alfred J. Lotka.” Wikipedia. <http://www.stolaf.edu/people/mckelvey/envision.dir/lotka-volt.html > 12/01/2005 The End Thank You!!!