Download The Research Presentation on MSFT

The Research Presentation on MSFT
research reports on companies and financial instruments
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January 1, 2017
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January 1, 2017
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We present research on MSFT. The presentation contains predictions
for MSFT.
Keywords: research reports, companies, stocks, forex, predictive
analytics, machine learning, data mining, big data.
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The Research Presentation on MSFT
January 1, 2017
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1
Introduction
2
Prediction
Daily
Monthly
Quarterly
Yearly
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Introduction
symbol: MSFT
name: MICROSOFT
exchange: US
last price (2016–12–30): 62.165
minimal price from last 5 days: 62.03
maximal price from last 5 days: 64.07
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Stock Price
The predicted stock price for 2016–12–30: 63.16.
y
63
58
2016/10
x
2016/12
Fig. 1 : The daily stock prices for MSFT as a predicted function of time. Points
represent historical daily stock prices.
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Stock Price
The predicted stock price for 2017–01: 60.80.
y
62
30
2013/09
x
2016/12
Fig. 2 : The monthly stock prices for MSFT as a predicted function of time. Points
represent historical monthly stock prices.
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The Distribution of Volume by Price
The 10-quantiles: 1st is 58.41, 2nd is 58.96, 8th is 62.48, 9th is 63.30.
0.9
y
y
1.0
0.0
0.0
58
x
63
58
(a)
x
63
(b)
Fig. 3 : The predicted monthly distribution of daily volume by price for MSFT. (a) The
predicted cumulative distribution function, and points representing data. (b) The
predicted probability density function
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The Distribution of Price Change
The 10-quantiles: 8th is 1.66%, 9th is 2.12%.
0.9
y
y
1.0
0.0
0
x
2
(a)
0
x
2
(b)
Fig. 4 : The predicted monthly distribution of daily price change for MSFT. (a) The
predicted cumulative distribution function, and points representing data. (b) The
predicted probability density function
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Book Value per Share
Predicted book value per share for 2016–4th quarter: 8988921.79.
y
11109577
9040571
2015/03 x 2016/09
Fig. 5 : Quarterly book value per share for MSFT as a predicted function of time. Points
represent historical quarterly book value per share.
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Dividend per Share
Predicted dividend per share for 2016–4th quarter: 0.39.
y
0.39
0.31
2015/05
x
2016/11
Fig. 6 : Quarterly dividend per share for MSFT as a predicted function of time. Points
represent historical quarterly dividend per share.
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Stock Price
The predicted stock price for 2017: 47.70.
y
54
0
1987
x
2016
Fig. 7 : The yearly stock prices for MSFT as a predicted function of time. Points
represent historical yearly stock prices.
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Book Value per Share
Predicted book value per share for 2016: 8524265.76.
y
10896187
5054240
2010
x
2016
Fig. 8 : Yearly book value per share for MSFT as a predicted function of time. Points
represent historical yearly book value per share.
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Dividend per Share
Predicted dividend per share for 2016: 0.38.
y
0.3
0.1
2010
x
2016
Fig. 9 : Yearly dividend per share for MSFT as a predicted function of time. Points
represent historical yearly dividend per share.
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The Distribution of Volume by Price
The 10-quantiles: 1st is 43.52, 2nd is 46.96, 8th is 56.14, 9th is 58.57.
2.0
y
y
0.9
0.0
0.0
40
x
63
40
(a)
x
63
(b)
Fig. 10 : The predicted yearly distribution of daily volume by price for MSFT. (a) The
predicted cumulative distribution function, and points representing data. (b) The
predicted probability density function
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The Distribution of Price Change
The 10-quantiles: 8th is 1.84%, 9th is 2.51%.
0.9
y
y
3.0
0.0
0.0
0
x
9
(a)
0
x
9
(b)
Fig. 11 : The predicted yearly distribution of daily price change for MSFT. (a) The
predicted cumulative distribution function, and points representing data. (b) The
predicted probability density function
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