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1 Activity 1: Experimental and Theoretical Probability 1. Rolling a single standard die The sample space of an experiment is the set of all possible outcomes. 1. What is the sample space for each roll of a die? {________________________} 2. If the die is perfectly balanced, will all the possible outcomes be equally likely? _______________________________ 3. Complete the following table by rolling your die 50 times and keeping track of the outcomes, that is, how many ones did you get? How many two’s? Do the same for each possible outcome. Then calculate the experimental probability of every outcome as the ratio: (# of times you get the outcome)/ (total # of rolls) and write your results in the table. Outcome Experimental Experimental # of Probability probability times as a fraction as a decimal 1 2 3 4 5 6 Project AMP A Quesada Director Project AMP 2 4. Write the second column of your table in the space at front designated by your teacher. 5. What should be the sum of the entries in the second column?__________ The theoretical probability of an event is defined as the ratio: (# of favorable cases)/(total # of possible cases. Thus to get the theoretical probability of obtaining a five when rolling a die once you proceed as follow: 6. How many possible fives can you get when you roll a die once? _____ 7. How many possible outcomes can we have by rolling a die? _______ 8. So, what is the theoretical probability of getting a five when you roll a die #of favorable outcomes once? # of possible outcomes 9. What is the theoretical probability of getting a three when you roll a die once? #of favorable outcomes # of possible outcomes Complete the following table # of # of Theoretical Theoretical Outcome favorable possible Probability probability outcomes outcomes as a fraction as a decimal 1 2 3 4 5 6 10. Since all the outcomes are equally likely, what is the theoretical probability of getting any outcome of the sample space when you roll a die once? ________ 11. Are your results for experimental and theoretical probability the same? Project AMP A Quesada Director Project AMP 3 12. Collect the second column of the first table of everyone in the class, add all the outcomes for one and write it in the table below. Repeat the process for every possible outcome. Then fill in the rest of the table Experimental Experimental # of Outcome Probability probability times as a fraction as a decimal 1 2 3 4 5 6 13. How do the results of this table compare with the theoretical probabilities you obtained in your second table? What do you notice? Project AMP A Quesada Director Project AMP