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Sampling and sampling distibutions Sampling from a finite and an infinite population • Simple random sample (finite population) – Population size N, sample size n – Each possible sample of size n has the same probability of being selected • Random sample (infinite population) – Each element comes from the same population • Making sure all the cereal boxes have the same weight at the plant – Each element is selected independently • Sampling customers of a McDonalds restaurant The number of different possible samples • N=2500, n = 30 • N!/(n!*(N-n)!)=2.57*10^69 Point estimation • Finding the sample mean • Population mean = $51,800 • Population standard deviation = $4000 Sampling distributions • Distribution function for the sample means – from 500 simple random samples of size 30 each • 𝑥 is the sample mean • The relationship between the standard deviation of the population and the standard deviation of the sample mean – Infinite population 𝜎𝑥 = mean) 𝜎 𝑛 – Finite population 𝜎𝑥 = 𝑁−𝑛 𝑁−1 (a.k.a. the standard error of the 𝜎 𝑛 • Rule: If for a finite population, n/N <= 0.05, then we can use the formula from infinite population An example, sample size 30, population standard deviation 4000 • 𝜎𝑥 = 𝜎 𝑛 = 4000/sqrt(30)=730.3 Distribution function of sample mean 𝑥 • When the population has a normal distribution the distribution function of 𝑥 is normal for any sample size • Central limit theorem – In selecting random samples of size n from a population, the distribution function of 𝑥 can be approximated by a normal distribution as the sample size becomes large Central limit theorem TETC-110B Sampling distributions • 𝑝 is the sample proportion • The relationship between the standard deviation of the population proportion and the standard deviation of the sample proportion – Infinite population 𝜎𝑝 = – Finite population 𝜎𝑝 = 𝑝(1−𝑝) 𝑛 𝑁−𝑛 𝑁−1 𝑝(1−𝑝) 𝑛 • Rule: If for a finite population, n/N <= 0.05, then we can use the formula from infinite population The distribution function for sample proportion • Can be approximated by a normal distribution – If np>=5 – and n(1-p)>=5