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Noel DiPaola Winter Ecology – Spring 2009 Mountain Research Station – University of Colorado, Boulder Climate change responsible for declining lemming population in Norway ✪Lemmings: -Are subnivean creatures -Typically experience cyclical vs. stable patterns N/A. (2008). “Climate change pushing lemmings to cliff”. Retrieved on Feb. 26, 2009 from http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/nature/7711709.stm Change in population dynamics Leading to an overall drop in population explosions. We will be looking at what physical environmental variables (in response to climate change) are causing changes with lemming population growth. The subnivean space 1. Less protective snow cover 1. Increased hardness of snowpack Note: Duration of the snow cover is not as important Less Protective Snow Cover ★Increases predation rates (May account for 40-70% of variation in cycles) How would less snow affect predation rates? -Less protection for small animals? How would more snow affect predations rates? -Will increase sowpack density -Overall decrease? Doesn’t explain recent stabilization patterns Increased Hardness of the Snowpack Optimal subnivean space = TG snow conditions Hardness develops because of the development of EQ snow, lose of the dynamic temperature gradient, and melting and freezing. Halfpenny, J. C. & Ozanne, R. D. (1989). Winter: An ecological handbook. Boulder: Johnson Publishing Company. Kausrud, K.L., Mysterud, A., Steen, H., Vik, J. O., Ostbye, E., Cazelle, B., Framstad, E., Eikeset, A.M., Mysterud, L., Solhoy, T., & Stenseth, N.C. (2008). Linking climate change to lemming cycles. Nature, 256(10), 1692-1703. Lima, M., Berryman, A. A., & Stenseth, N. (2006). Feedback structures of northern small rodent populations. OIKOS, 112, 555-564. Marchand, P. J. (1996). Life in the cold. Hanover: University Press of New England. Stabilization is one effect that climate change has on subnivean species. It occurs because of loss of snow coverage (which in turn increases predation rates) and because of the increased hardness of the snowpack disallowing small mammals to burrow; ruining their winter habitat so that there’s less of overwinter survival among species.