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Answer Key, Principles of Macroeconomics, 8e – Chapter 4 CHAPTER FOUR Answers to Test Your Understanding Questions 1. a) 10 million (employed of 9 + unemployed of 1) b) 66.66% (labour force/working age population x 100 = 10/15 x 100) c) 10% (unemployed/labour force x 100 = 1/10 x 100) 2. a) 24 million (participation rate x working age population = 75% x 32 million) b) 4 million (Labour force – employed = 24 – 20) c) 16.66% (unemployed/labour force x 100 = 4/24 x 100) 3. a) Yes, since the category "working age population" includes everyone over the age of 15, etc. whether or not they are in the labour force. b) Types of people in the category of “not in the labour force” would be: homemakers, retirees, those receiving welfare or disability incomes, those who are independently wealthy and discouraged workers. c) Yes, if the size of the labour force increases by more than the number of employed increases. 4. a) cyclical; b) frictional; c) structural 5. The size of the labour force would drop by 100 000, as would the number of people unemployed. The unemployment rate would also fall. 6. The potential GDP is $840. (Since there is 2% cyclical unemployment, using Okun's Law gives us 2% x 2.5 = 5% multiplied by $800 billion = a GDP gap of $40 billion. The actual GDP of $800 plus the GDP gap of $40 equals potential GDP of $840.) 7. Nominal GDP ($billion) Real GDP ($billion) GDP deflator (2009 = 100) Population (millions) Real GDP per capita 2013 443 374 118.4_ 26.1 $14 330 2014 474.2 389 121.9 26.4 14 735 2015 507 402.1 126.1 27 14 893 8. a) Nominal GDP increased by 7.2%. (+3/42 x 100) b) Real GDP increased by 2.2% (7.2% − 5%) 9. Increase in real income was 3 percent. Her nominal income increased by $2,800, or by 2800/40000 x 100, which equals 7 percent. Since the inflation rate was 4 percent, her real income has increased by 7 percent minus 4 percent, or by 3 percent. 1 Answer Key, Principles of Macroeconomics, 8e – Chapter 4 10. a) 10 years. The number of years to double is 70 divided by the growth rate (of prices), i.e. 70/7 = 10. b) 10 percent. Rearranging the rule of 70 formula gives: growth rate (interest rate) = 70/ # of years to double, i.e. 70/7 = 10. 11. a) Real interest rate: 7% (Real equals nominal minus inflation: 11 – 4%) b) Real income: $10 830. Your real income falls by 5% or $600 to $11 400 in the first year. It falls a further 5% or $570 in the second year to give a real income of $10 830. Answers to Connect Study Problems 1. a) GDP deflators: Year 2013: 105.1 (420/400 x 100); Year 2014: 108.1 (456/422 x 100); Year 2015 = 111.9 (500/447 x 100) b) Real GDP per capita: Year 2013: $25 000; (400 billion/16million) Year 2014: $25 483 (422 billion/16.56 million); Year 2015: $26 079 (447 billion/17.14 million). c) Growth rate of real GDP per capita: Year 2014: 1.9% (+483/25000 x 100); Year 2015: 2.3% (+596/25483 x 100). 2. a) Participation rates: Year 2013: 70% ((8.4/12 x 100); Year 2014: 72% (9/12.5 x 100); Year 2015: 71.9% (9.2/12.8 x 100). b) Unemployment rates: Year 2013: 8.3% (0.7/8.4 x 100); Year 2014: 8.9% (0.8/9 x 100); Year 2015 = 9.2% (0.85/9.2 x 100). c) 2014: 0.7% (+0.8/108.2 x 100); 2015: 1.2% (1.3/109 x 100) d) 2014: 5% (+1/20 x 100); 2015: 5% (+1.05/21 x 100) e) 14 years (70/5). 3. a) Real income: Year 2013: $24 138 (28 000/116 x 100); Year 2014: $24 463 (29 600/121 x 100); Year 2015: $25 000 (32 000/128 x 100). b) 2014: 1.3% (325/24 138 x 100); 4. 1. 2. 3. Bergan Altria Casper 2015 2.2% (537/24 463 x 100). Country real GDP per capita $24 444 14 592 10 648 (2200/1.2/75 x 1000) (715/1.4/35 x 1000) (2875/1.8/150 x 1000) 2 Answer Key, Principles of Macroeconomics, 8e – Chapter 4 5. a) Nominal GDP increased by 12%. (+24/200 x 100) b) Real GDP increased by 5% (12% − 7%) 6. a) Unemployment rate: 10% (1.5/ (11.5 + 2.0 + 1.5) x 100.) b) Participation rate: 75% ((11.5 + 2.0 + 1.5)/20.0 x 100.) 7. a) See the following table: Table 4.13 (Completed) 2013 Nominal GDP $850 GDP Deflator 109 Real GDP 779.8 Population 30 Real GDP per capita $25 993 b) 5.5% = (115 – 109) x 100; 109 8. GDP gaps: 9. 2014 $958 115 833 30.5 $27 311 2015 1038.4 118 880 31 $28 390 c) 3.9% = (28 390 – 27 312) x 100 27 311 2013: $45 (3% (cyclical unemployment) x 2.5 x $600); 2014: $15 (1% (cyclical unemployment) x 2.5 x $600); 2015: $15.75 (1% (cyclical unemployment) x 2.5 x 630). a) Yes, the size of the labour force will increase by 60 000 due to the fact that half of those workers (120 000) not previously seeking work are now applying for the new jobs. b) Unemployment rate: 12.1%. Unemployed: 610 000; labour force: 5 060 000 c) Unemployment rate: 11.3%. Unemployed: 570 000; labour force: 5 060 000 3 Answer Key, Principles of Macroeconomics, 8e – Chapter 4 10. See the following table: Table 4.15 (Completed) Year Nominal income Price index Real income 1 $36 000 100.0 36 000 2 37 080 101.5 36 532 3 38 192 103.0 37 080 4 39 338 104.6 37 608 5 40 528 106.1 38 198 Alternatively, if you calculate on the basis that his real income increases by 1.5% (3% increase in nominal income minus the 1.5% inflation rate), her real income after 4 years (i.e., in year 5) is $38 209. (Be careful with the price index; you can’t simply add on 1.5 each year. The index increases by 1.5% from what it was the year before. So year 3, for instance, is 101.5 x 1.015 = 103.0225 (rounded to 103.0). Year 4 it is 103.0225 x 1.015 = 104.567 and so on.) 11. We can figure the answer using Okun’s law : GDP gap = potential - actual GDP = 450 – 400 = 50 And GDP gap = 2.5 x cyclical unemployment (%) x actual GDP 50 = 2.5 x cyclical unemployment x 400 Rearranging terms gives us: cyclical unemployment = 50 2.5 x 400 = 0.05 (or 5%) Actual unemployment = natural unemployment + cyclical unemployment = 6% + 5% = 11% 4 Answer Key, Principles of Macroeconomics, 8e – Chapter 4 12 a) See the following table: Table 4.16 (Completed) Item Rice 2013 2014 2014 Quantity Price Nominal Quantity Price Nominal Quantity 2013 RealGDP GDP GDP Price 400 $5 $2000 430 $5.20 $2236 430 $5 $2150 Pajamas 220 Beer 125 $15 3300 250 $16 4000 250 15 3750 20 2500 130 24 3120 130 20 2600 Totals $7800 $9356 $8500 b) GDP deflator: 110 (9356/8500 x 100) c) See the following table: Table 4.17 (Completed) Item Quantity Prices 2013 Basket cost Prices 2014 Basket cost Rice Beer Pajamas 10 10 2 $5 20 15 $50 200 30 $280 $5.20 24 16 $52 240 32 $324 d) CPI in 2014: 324/280 x 100 = 115.7 5 Answer Key, Principles of Macroeconomics, 8e – Chapter 4 Answer to Comprehensive Problem a) 1 Table 4.18 (completed) 2 3 4 5 6 7 2013 Item 8 9 10 11 12 2014 13 14 2015 Qty Prices Year 2013 Nominal GDP Qty Prices Year 2014 Nominal GDP Prices Year 2013 Real GDP Qty Prices Year 2015 Nominal GDP Prices Year 2030 Real GDP Pizzas 30 12 360 35 13 455 12 420 40 14 560 12 480 Movie tickets 20 10 200 22 11 242 10 220 24 12 288 10 240 Farm tractors 3 100 300 4 95 380 100 400 4 110 440 100 400 Parking meters 4 50 200 4 60 240 50 200 5 70 350 50 250 Totals 1060 1317 1240 1638 Column 7 in the table is completed by multiplying columns 5 and 6 together. Columns 8 and 13 are simply a repeat of column 3. Column 9 is completed by multiplying columns 5 and 8 together. Column 12 is determined by multiplying columns 10 and 11 together. Column 14 is determined by multiplying columns 10 and 13 together. b) From columns 4, 7 and 12: 2013: $ __1060_______ ; 2014: $ ____1317_____ ; . 2015: $ _____1638____ c) From columns 4, 9 and 14: 2013: $ __1060_______ ; 2014: $ ____1240_____ ; . 2015: $ _____1370____ d) Nominal GDP/real GDP x 100 for each year: 2013: ______100___ ; e) Inflation rate = 2014 f) = (price index this year – price index last year) price index last year 6.2% (6.2/100 x 100); 2015 x 100 = 12.6% (13.4/106.2 x100). 5 pizzas + 5 movie tickets would cost each year: 2013: $ g) 2014: _____106.2_______ ; . 2015: _____119.6____ 110 ; 2014: $ 120 ; 2015: $ 130 Price Index = (value of bundle in current year/ value of bundle in base year) x 100 6 1370 Answer Key, Principles of Macroeconomics, 8e – Chapter 4 Price indexes: h) Inflation rate = 2013 = 100 (110/110 x100); 2014 = 109.1; (120/110 x 100) 2015 = 118.2. (130/110 x 100) (price index this year – price index last year) price index last year 2014 = 9.1% (9.1/100 x 100); 2015 = 8.3% (9.1/109.1 x 100) 7 x 100