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May 10, 2010 Other Nations May be Hotter, but Japan Still Offers Big Opportunity By Debbie Howard After years of being billed as "the world’s second-largest economy," it appears that 2010 may be the year in which Japan’s economy is officially surpassed by China’s. Since gross domestic product comparisons are made in dollar terms, foreign exchange movements may impact the exact timing. But it will be soon. Japan’s GDP for 2009 stood at $5.1 trillion, only slightly higher than China’s $4.9 trillion, according to Cabinet Office and International Monetary Fund calculations. Excitement about business opportunities in China and other highgrowth Asian nations has been palpable for a while now; after all, Asia is an important key to the global economic recovery. However, in addition to examining the merits of individual countries, it is also important for foreign multinationals to think about their Asia strategies overall, as well as considering the spending power of individual consumers. This is particularly true for high valueadded products and services (advanced pharmaceuticals, medical devices and high-tech equipment, to name a few examples). Many sources point out, for example, that despite overall GDP statistics, Japan is much more affluent than China in terms of per capita GDP. China’s per capita GDP in 2009 was only $3,566, less than one-tenth that of Japan at $39,573. For reference, per capita GDP in the U.S. stood at $46,443 for the same period. It has long been said that Japanese consumers are among the most well-heeled and sophisticated in the world, with consumer spending in Japan reportedly accounting for approximately 11% of the global economy. That is not likely to change anytime soon. Estimates of the number of high-income households (i.e., $1 million or more, not including real estate) vary widely, but there are probably around 1-3 million of them. At the same time, wealth is both more widespread and more prevalent in Japan compared to its Asian neighbours. Specifically, Japan’s well-to-do hold combines financial assets of $3.5 trillion (46% of the total assets owned by Asia’s wealthy individuals). In addition, Japan’s rich individuals represent 59% of those in the Asia region with over $1 million in financial assets. Another perspective on the value of the Japanese market pertains to the scale it represents for a variety of key sectors, such as medical devices ($21 billion in 2008, and the world’s No. 2 market), pharmaceuticals ($77 billion in 2008, again the world’s No. 2 market) and environmental services (projected to reach $1.2 trillion by 2020). To look through yet another prism, it is also interesting to compare GDP values of key geographic areas in Japan. For example, the GDP of the Kanto region around Tokyo is approximately equivalent to that of South Korea and the Philippines, combines. Meanwhile, the GDP of the Kansai region around Osaka is equivalent to that of Taiwan, as is that of the Chubu region, which includes Aichi Prefecture. And I can continue. Hokkaido’s GDP is comparable to half that of Hong Kong, the Shikoku region’s is half that of Singapore, and the Kyushu region’s is comparable to Thailand’s. It stands to reason that any company marketing relatively sophisticated products and services would want to consider Japan a critical part of its Asia strategy. This has grown even truer as Japan’s economy has become increasingly integrated with that of Asia. In fact, some large multinationals have come to view Japan as a good "jumping off point" for approaching other Asian markets. In short, companies are literally using Japan as a proving ground, developing their business propositions within the context of Japan’s notoriously competitive market and demanding consumers. This applies not only to product development, but also customer service and aftercare.