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One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model Most animals and plants are diploid. Selection acts in a large population only in the diploid phase (not in the haploid phase), with random mating, no migration, and no mutation To complete our understanding of how natural selection effects evolutionary change, we turn to diploid models of selection. One-locus diploid model Let p[t] equal the frequency of the A allele among adult diploids p[t] q[t] p[t] q[t] One-locus diploid model p[t] q[t] p[t] will also equal the frequency of the A allele among the haploid gametes of these adults. p[t] q[t] AA Aa aa p[t]2 2p[t]q[t] q[t]2 Assuming random mating (or random union of gametes), diploid offspring will be in Hardy-Weinberg proportions. One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model Genotype frequencies after selection: p[t] q[t] Each diploid genotype has its own relative fitness p[t] q[t] AA p[t]2 Aa aa 2p[t]q[t] q[t]2 WAA WAa Waa One-locus diploid model freq(AA) = p2WAA } 2 2 p WAA + 2pqWAa + q Waa } freq(Aa) = 2pqWAa p2WAA + 2pqWAa + q2Waa freq(aa) = q2Waa p2WAA + 2pqWAa + q2Waa relative freq after selection mean fitness,W ! One-locus diploid model Genotype frequencies Allele frequencies 100% p2WAA freq(A) freq(Aa) 2 2 p WAA + 2pqWAa + q Waa p2WAA + pqWAa p2WAA + 2pqWAa + q2Waa 2pqWAa 2 p WAA + 2pqWAa + q2Waa q2Waa p2WAA + 2pqWAa + q2Waa 2 p[ t + 1] = 50% freq(Aa) 50% freq(Aa) 100% freq(aa) p[ t ] W AA + p[ t ] q[ t ] W Aa 2 2 p[ t ] W AA + 2 p[ t ] q[ t ] W Aa + q[ t ] W aa freq(a) pqWAa + q2Waa p2WAA + 2pqWAa + q2Waa ! This equation describes the change in frequency of allele A from one diploid generation to the next. One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model Forms of selection Directional selection Directional Selection: • Favoring allele A: WAA > WAa > Waa • Favoring allele a: WAA < WAa < Waa Heterozygote advantage (or overdominance): • WAA < WAa > Waa Heterozygote disadvantage (or underdominance): • WAA > WAa < Waa (Which forms of selection were present in the haploid selection model?) As fitnesses become more similar, spread of A becomes slower One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model Directional selection Directional selection s = 0.4 h = 1/2 s = 0.2 h = 1/2 Fitnesses are often defined relative to one homozygote: • WAA = 1 + s s = 0.1 h = 1/2 • WAa = 1 + h s • Waa = 1 • s is the selection coefficient favoring allele A Roughly, as the fitness differences decrease by a factor of x, the time it takes for A to spread increases by a factor of x • h is the dominance coefficient of allele A One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model A digression on dominance A digression on dominance Imagine dominance as a tug-of-war between two alleles. Dominance is NOT a characteristic of an allele -- it reflects an interaction between two alleles. Allele A might be dominant with respect to allele a, but recessive with respect to allele a’. a A A is additive (h = 1/2) Dominance also depends on the phenotype being measured (e.g., the sickle cell allele is nearly dominant with respect to avoiding malaria, but it is nearly recessive with respect to anemia). Waa (1) WAa (1+s/2) WAA (1+s) One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model A digression on dominance A digression on dominance Imagine dominance as a tug-of-war between two alleles. a A Imagine dominance as a tug-of-war between two alleles. a A A is fully dominant (h = 1) Waa (1) WAa =WAA (1+s) A is partially dominant (1/2 < h < 1) Waa (1) WAa WAA (1+hs) (1+s) One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model A digression on dominance A digression on dominance Imagine dominance as a tug-of-war between two alleles. a A Imagine dominance as a tug-of-war between two alleles. a A A is recessive (h = 0) WAa =Waa (1) A is partially recessive (0 < h < 1/2) Waa WAa (1) (1+hs) WAA (1+s) WAA (1+s) One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model A digression on dominance A digression on dominance Imagine dominance as a tug-of-war between two alleles. a A When A is recessive, a is dominant. WAa =Waa (1) WAA (1+s) In evolutionary biology, we typically focus on a reference allele, which often is the most common allele within a population (wildtype allele). Whether the reference allele is dominant, recessive, or otherwise depends on which other alleles are present in the population. a A One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model A digression on dominance Directional selection Just as we can measure the dominance coefficient of allele A, we can also measure the dominance coefficient of allele a. WAA = 1 + s WAa = 1 + h s Allele A “dominates” if h = 1 WAA = 1 WAa = 1 – h s Waa = 1 Allele a “dominates” if h = 1 Waa = 1 – s s is the selection coefficient s is the selection coefficient favouring allele A acting against allele a h is the dominance coefficient of allele A h is the dominance coefficient of allele a If WAA < WAa < Waa, selection favors the a allele One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model Heterozygote advantage Heterozygote disadvantage If the heterozygote has the highest fitness, A approaches an intermediate frequency, and stays there. This value is called a polymorphic equilibrium. The exact value of the polymorphic equilibrium depends on the fitnesses. If the heterozygote has the lowest fitness, the A allele rises in frequency if it is common or decreases in frequency if it is rare. The cutoff between where A rises and falls is called an unstable polymorphic equilibrium. The exact value of the cutoff depends on the fitnesses. (Note: The population never splits in two.) One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model Equilibria Equilibria An equilibrium is defined as a point at which allele frequencies don’t change from one generation to the next. That is, where p[t] = p[t+1] p[t]2WAA + pqWAa p[t] = p[t + 1] = p[t]2WAA + 2pqWAa + q[t]2Waa p[t] = p[t + 1] = p[t]2WAA + pqWAa p[t]2WAA + 2pqWAa + q[t]2Waa Solving, we get three equilibria: p=0 p=1 WAa −Waa p= 2WAa −WAA −Waa One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model Equilibria p=0 p=1 WAa −Waa p= 2WAa −WAA −Waa Equilibria p=0 p=1 WAa −Waa p= 2WAa −WAA −Waa The last equilibrium is only valid (between 0 and 1) when WAA < WAa > Waa or WAA > WAa < Waa. The last equilibrium is only valid (between 0 and 1) when WAA < WAa > Waa or WAA > WAa < Waa. With directional selection, there is no polymorphic equilibrium (frequencies will always go to 0 or 1) What are the polymorphic equilibria for the examples described earlier? (Try this at home) One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model Equilibria p=0 p=1 WAa −Waa p= 2WAa −WAA −Waa Examples: Sickle-cell anemia p will approach the polymorphic equilibrium when WAA < WAa > Waa (heterozygote advantage), but it will be repelled from it when WAA > WAa < Waa (heterozygote disadvantage). Sickle-cell anemia is a human disease affecting the shape and flexibility of red blood cells. It is caused by a single mutation in the sixth amino acid of the chain of hemoglobin. The mutant form of hemoglobin (S) tends to crystalize and form chains, causing distortions in red blood cells. One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model Examples: Sickle-cell anemia Examples: Sickle-cell anemia Homozygous carriers of S experience the greatest degree of sickling and tend to suffer severe anemic attacks. Heterozygous carriers of S also suffer from sickling of red blood cells, but to a lesser degree. However, heterozygous carriers are less likely to die from malaria, since red blood cells infected with the parasites causing malaria tend to sickle and be destroyed. The fitnesses of each genotype can be estimated from the extent to which genotypic frequencies among adults depart from Hardy-Weinberg. For the Nigerian population studied: WAA = 0.88 WAS = 1 WSS = 0.14 What is the expected equilibrium frequency of the non-mutant allele (A)? One-locus diploid model One-locus diploid model Examples: Sickle-cell anemia Examples: Decline of a recessive allele The fitnesses of each genotype can be estimated from the extent to which genotypic frequencies among adults depart from Hardy-Weinberg. For the Nigerian population studied: WAA = 0.88 WAS = 1 WSS = 0.14 The frequency of the non-mutant allele (A) in this population was 0.877, which matches extremely well! Dawson (1970) studied the decline of a recessive lethal mutation (Waa = 0) in a population of flour beetles. He started a laboratory population of beetles with an initial frequency of the mutation of 1/2. Changes were consistent with a recessive or nearly recessive mutation. WAa = 1 WAa = 0.9