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Global Warming and Texas
The Greenhouse Effect
Source: University of Maryland Meteorology
Department
1
Major Sources of Carbon
Dioxide
Source: EPA/NASA/NOAA
Major Sources of Methane
Source: EPA/NASA/NOAA
2
Historical and Observed
CO2/Temperature Linkage
Source: US National Assessment. US Global
Change Program. 2001.
What’s at Stake in Texas?
3
Brief History of Global
Warming and Texas Policy
• In July 2000, a coalition of environmental
groups petitioned the TNRCC to adopt rules
on global warming.
• In January 2002, the TNRCC released its first
statewide global warming report with
recommendations.
Texas Ranks #7 in the World
Greenhouse Gas Emissions
(million metric tons of carbon equivalent)
1600
1400
1200
1000
800
600
400
Great
Britain
Texas
Germany
India
Japan
Russia
China
States
0
United
200
Source: Texas State Energy Conservation
Office.
4
Texas GHG Emissions
Transportation
29%
Residential/
Commercial
5%
Industrial
33%
Utility
33%
Source: Greenhouse Gases: A Report to the
Commission.Texas Natural Resource
Conservation Commission 2002.
Growth in Texas’ GHG
Emissions
Texas Greenhouse Gas Emissions from
Fossil Fuels (1990-1999)
170
Totals per year - in million metric tons carbon
equivalent (MMTCE)
165
160
155
150
145
140
135
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
Source: Energy Information Administration.
5
Texas Can Become More
“GHG Efficient”
Carbon Dioxide Emissions
by Gross State Product
California
Illinois
Ohio
200
100
0
Texas
300
Source: Public Citizen
Solutions to Global Warming
•
•
•
•
Cooler
Cooler
Cooler
Cooler
homes
industries
power
cars
6
Texas Has Enormous
Renewable Energy Potential
Source: Texas State Energy Conservation
Office.
Global Warming Solutions Can
Boost the Texas Economy
Texas Job Growth with
Global Warming Solutions
30000
25000
20000
15000
10000
5000
-5000
0
Oil/Gas Mining
Electric Utilities
Oil Refining
Coal Mining
Communication and Utilities Wholesale Trade
Insurance/Real Estate
Pulp and Paper Mills
Natural Gas Utilities
Food Processing
Other Mining
Motor Vehicles
Primary Metals
Government
Stone, Glass, and Clay
Education
Transportation
Finance
Metal Durables
Agriculture
Source: Texas’ Global Warming Solutions,
Tellus Institute, 2000.
Retail Trade
Other Manufacturing
Services
Construction
-10000
7
Carbon Sequestration:
A Red Herring?
• Under a high
estimate, carbon
sequestration can
“absorb” less than
10 percent of US
GHGs.
Source: Nabuurs et al. (2000) in Climate
Change 2001: Mitigation. International Panel
on Climate Change Third Assessment Report.
Bush’s Global Warming Plan’s
Impacts on Texas
450,000,000
Bush's goal with 7.7%
economic growth (1990's
levels)
Bush's goal with 4%
economic growth (mid-range
scenario)
Bush's goal with 2% growth
(low scenario)
400,000,000
350,000,000
300,000,000
250,000,000
200,000,000
1999 Levels (most current
state data)
150,000,000
100,000,000
1990 Level (goal President
George H.W. Bush endorsed
in 1992)
50,000,000
11
09
20
07
20
05
20
03
20
01
20
20
99
0
19
Metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents
The Effects of Bush's Global Warming Plan on
Texas
8
What Are Other States Doing?
• 34 states have
conducted a GHG
inventory.
• 26 states have
developed global
warming action plans.
• 13 states have begun
implementing
greenhouse gas
reduction strategies.
State’s Are Taking Responsibility for
Global Warming
• New England Governor’s
Plan
•
1990 levels by 2010
•
10% below 1990 levels by 2020.
• Governor Pataki of New York
•
•
•
reduce state agency electricity usage
through energy efficiency
improvements (35% below 1990 levels
by 2010).
Commit to purchasing renewable
energy for state buildings (10% by
2005, 20% by 2010).
Increase alternative use in state fleet
vehicles (At least 50% of new vehicle
purchases will operate on alternative
fuel by 2005, 100% by 2010).
9
Next Steps
• Personal - Individual actions count
• Business - Cleaner companies have an
edge
• Governor - Lead by example
• Legislature - protect Texas for future
generations
10
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