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Global Warming and Texas The Greenhouse Effect Source: University of Maryland Meteorology Department 1 Major Sources of Carbon Dioxide Source: EPA/NASA/NOAA Major Sources of Methane Source: EPA/NASA/NOAA 2 Historical and Observed CO2/Temperature Linkage Source: US National Assessment. US Global Change Program. 2001. What’s at Stake in Texas? 3 Brief History of Global Warming and Texas Policy • In July 2000, a coalition of environmental groups petitioned the TNRCC to adopt rules on global warming. • In January 2002, the TNRCC released its first statewide global warming report with recommendations. Texas Ranks #7 in the World Greenhouse Gas Emissions (million metric tons of carbon equivalent) 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 Great Britain Texas Germany India Japan Russia China States 0 United 200 Source: Texas State Energy Conservation Office. 4 Texas GHG Emissions Transportation 29% Residential/ Commercial 5% Industrial 33% Utility 33% Source: Greenhouse Gases: A Report to the Commission.Texas Natural Resource Conservation Commission 2002. Growth in Texas’ GHG Emissions Texas Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Fossil Fuels (1990-1999) 170 Totals per year - in million metric tons carbon equivalent (MMTCE) 165 160 155 150 145 140 135 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Source: Energy Information Administration. 5 Texas Can Become More “GHG Efficient” Carbon Dioxide Emissions by Gross State Product California Illinois Ohio 200 100 0 Texas 300 Source: Public Citizen Solutions to Global Warming • • • • Cooler Cooler Cooler Cooler homes industries power cars 6 Texas Has Enormous Renewable Energy Potential Source: Texas State Energy Conservation Office. Global Warming Solutions Can Boost the Texas Economy Texas Job Growth with Global Warming Solutions 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 -5000 0 Oil/Gas Mining Electric Utilities Oil Refining Coal Mining Communication and Utilities Wholesale Trade Insurance/Real Estate Pulp and Paper Mills Natural Gas Utilities Food Processing Other Mining Motor Vehicles Primary Metals Government Stone, Glass, and Clay Education Transportation Finance Metal Durables Agriculture Source: Texas’ Global Warming Solutions, Tellus Institute, 2000. Retail Trade Other Manufacturing Services Construction -10000 7 Carbon Sequestration: A Red Herring? • Under a high estimate, carbon sequestration can “absorb” less than 10 percent of US GHGs. Source: Nabuurs et al. (2000) in Climate Change 2001: Mitigation. International Panel on Climate Change Third Assessment Report. Bush’s Global Warming Plan’s Impacts on Texas 450,000,000 Bush's goal with 7.7% economic growth (1990's levels) Bush's goal with 4% economic growth (mid-range scenario) Bush's goal with 2% growth (low scenario) 400,000,000 350,000,000 300,000,000 250,000,000 200,000,000 1999 Levels (most current state data) 150,000,000 100,000,000 1990 Level (goal President George H.W. Bush endorsed in 1992) 50,000,000 11 09 20 07 20 05 20 03 20 01 20 20 99 0 19 Metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalents The Effects of Bush's Global Warming Plan on Texas 8 What Are Other States Doing? • 34 states have conducted a GHG inventory. • 26 states have developed global warming action plans. • 13 states have begun implementing greenhouse gas reduction strategies. State’s Are Taking Responsibility for Global Warming • New England Governor’s Plan • 1990 levels by 2010 • 10% below 1990 levels by 2020. • Governor Pataki of New York • • • reduce state agency electricity usage through energy efficiency improvements (35% below 1990 levels by 2010). Commit to purchasing renewable energy for state buildings (10% by 2005, 20% by 2010). Increase alternative use in state fleet vehicles (At least 50% of new vehicle purchases will operate on alternative fuel by 2005, 100% by 2010). 9 Next Steps • Personal - Individual actions count • Business - Cleaner companies have an edge • Governor - Lead by example • Legislature - protect Texas for future generations 10