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AP ECONOMICS MS. COLÓ HELLO! DO NOW LESSON EXIT TICKET • Describe the law of Demand. • List five goods you would no longer buy if you won the lottery. TIP In several common economics graphs including the graph of supply and demand, the dependent variable is on the horizontal axis (Q). and the independent variable is on the vertical axis (P) You learn the opposite convention in math and science classes, so graphing in economics may be a little difficult. What are we going to cover? Supply and Demand: Demand DO NOW LESSON EXIT TICKET • Explain what a competitive market is and what and how it is described by the supply and demand model. • Draw a demand curve and interpret its meaning • Discuss the difference between movements along the demand curve and changes in demand. • List the factors that shift the demand curve. DEMAND Module 5 5 KEY ELEMENTS TO SUPPLY & DEMAND THE DEMAND CURVE THE SUPPLY CURVE FACTORS THAT CAUSE CURVES TO SHIFT MARKET EQUILIBRIUM HOW MARKET EQUILIBRIUM CHANGES WHEN SUPPLY OR DEMAND CURVE “SHIFTS” DEMAND CURVE Demand is the different quantities of goods that consumers are willing and able to buy at different prices. (Ex: Bill Gates is able to buy a Ferrari, but if he isn’t willing to then he has NO demand for one) The law of demand states there is an INVERSE relationship between price and quantity demanded : AS PRICE GOES UP THE QUANTITY DEMANDED WILL DROP & AS PRICE DROPS QUANTITY DEMAND RISES DEMAND CURVE The demand curve has a negative slope, consistent with the law of demand. © OnlineTexts.com p. 8 DEMAND CURVE As Price Falls… …Quantity Demanded Rises As Price Rises… …Quantity Demanded Falls The law of demand is the result of three (3) separate behavior patterns that overlap: 1. The Substitution effect 2. The Income effect 3. The Law of Diminishing Marginal Utility 1. THE SUBSTITUTION EFFECT Price or Availability of substitutes (Substitution effect) Substitute is a good that can be used in place of another. If the price goes up for a product, consumers buy less of that product and more of another substitute product (and vice versa) SUBSTITUTION EFFECT 2. THE INCOME EFFECT In economics, the income effect is the change in consumption of goods caused by a change in income, whether income goes up or down. The income effect can be direct or indirect. If the price goes down for a product, the purchasing power increases for consumers -allowing them to purchase more. INCOME EFFECT 3. LAW OF DIMINISHING MARGINAL UTILIT Y • Utility = Satisfaction • The law of diminishing marginal utility states that as you consume more units of any good, the additional satisfaction from each additional unit will eventually start to decrease. • In other words, the more you buy of ANY GOOD the less satisfaction you get from each new unit of that good. Disneyland’s pricing strategy is another example of marginal utility (law of diminishing demand) Change N/A $54 $33 $15 $10 $5 GRAPHING DEMAND FOR CALVIN’S CEREAL Demand Schedule Price Quantity Demanded $5 10 $4 20 Price of Cereal $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 50 1 $1 80 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 16 KEYS TO GRAPHING SUPPLY & DEMAND • 1. The slope of the curve is always down and to the right • 2. A change in demand at the same price requires a SHIFT but a change in demand due to a change in price is show as MOVEMENT along the curve DEMAND CURVE RECAP • A demand curve is a graphical representation of a demand schedule or table. • The demand curve is downward sloping showing the inverse relationship between price (always on the y axis) & quantity demanded (always on the x-axis) • When reading a demand curve, assume all outside factors, such as income, weather, etc. are held constant or equal (ceteris paribus) CHANGE IN DEMAND VS. QUANTITY DEMANDED A change in the quantity demanded is a movement from one point to another on the demand curve. (DUE TO PRICE) https://www.youtube.com/watch v=Ng3XHPdexNM&feature= youtube A change in demand itself is a shift of the entire curve (DUE TO A M.E.R.I.T. FACTOR) DEMAND WILL SHIFT IF THERE IS M.E.R.I.T • 1. • 2. • 3. • 4. • 5. Market Size Expectations Related Prices ( compliments/substitutes ) Income ( normal & inferior ) Tastes Market Size THE INDIVIDUAL DEMAND CURVE OF (a) and (b) and then note that (c) Is the sum of all the individual demand curves of all consumers. In this case Darla and Dino. HOW TO GET THE MARKET DEMAND / ADD THE DEMAND OF EACH CONSUMER A T THE MARKET EQUILIBRIUM POINT OF EACH CONSUMER Billy Jean Other Individuals Market Price Q Demd Price Q Demd Price Q Demd Price Q Demd $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 1 2 3 5 7 P 0 1 2 3 5 P $3 P $3 3 D Q 9 17 25 42 68 P $3 2 D Q 10 20 30 50 80 $3 25 D Q 30 D Q A M.E.R.I.T. FACTOR HAS CAUSED A SHIFT IN THE DEMAND CURVE (NOTE IT IS TO THE RIGHT REFLECTING THE INCREASED DEMAND. A DECREASE IN DEMAND WOULD MEAN A SHIFT TO THE LEFT) REVIEW True or False: An increase in the price of apples decreases the demand for Apples? FALSE An increase in the price of apples decreases the quantity of apples demanded. REVIEW – MOVEMENT OR SHIFT? Explain whether each of the following events represents (i) Change in Demand (a shift of the demand curve) or (ii) Movement along the demand curve (change in the quantity demanded) • A store owner finds that customers are willing to pay more for umbrellas on rainy days. • Quantity of umbrellas demanded is higher at any given price on a rainy day than on a dry day. This is a rightward shift of the demand curve. • When XYZ Telecom, a long distance telephone service provider, offered reduced rates on the weekends, its volume of weekend calling increases sharply. • The quantity of weekend calls demanded rises in response to a price reduction. This is a movement along the demand curve for weekend calls. REVIEW CONT. • People buy more long-stem roses the weekend of Valentines Day, even though the prices are higher than at other times during the year. • The demand of roses increases the week of Valentines day. This is a rightward shift of the demand curve. • A sharp rise in the price of gasoline leads many commuters to join carpools in order to reduce the gasoline purchases. • The quantity of gasoline demanded falls in response to a rise in price. This is a movement along the demand curve. KEY TERMS Substitute good is one whose demand goes up when the price of another good goes up (coffee and tea are examples of this) Compliment goods are ones usually used together and thus if demand for one falls then demand for the other will also fall (cars and gasoline are examples of this) Most goods are “normal” (demand increases as income rises) but some are “inferior” (demand drops as income rises…for example buses…as income rises people tend to then take taxis) SUPPLY Module 6 What are we going to cover? Supply and Demand: Supply DO NOW LESSON EXIT TICKET • Draw a supply curve and interpret its meaning. • Discuss the difference between movements along the supply curve and and changes in supply. • List the factors that shift the supply curve. SUPPLY What is supply? Supply is the different quantities of a good that sellers are willing and able to sell (produce) at different prices. What is the Law of Supply? As price increases, the quantity producers make increases As price falls, the quantity producers make falls. THIS IS THE OPPOSITE OF DEMAND Why? Because, at higher prices profit seeking firms have an incentive to produce more. 34 GRAPHING SUPPLY Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 $4 40 Price of Cereal $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 35 GRAPHING SUPPLY Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 $4 40 Price of Cereal Supply $5 4 3 2 $3 30 $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 36 SUPPLY It is important to distinguish between a change in supply (meaning a SHIFT) of the supply curve and MOVEMENT along the supply curve. MOVEMENT is caused merely by the change in price . SHIFT is caused by one of five factors or determinants other than price. T.I.R.E.S THERE ARE 5 DETERMINANTS (SHIFTERS) OF SUPPLY 1. Change in Technology 1. Prices/Availability of Inputs (resources) 1. Change in price of Related Goods or Services 1. (Substitutes and Complements) 2. Change in Expectations of Future Profits 3. Change in number of Sellers (Producers) REFER TO THESE AS T.I.R.E.S. 38 T.T.I.R.E.S? Although not made part of T.I.R.E.S. there is one additional factor that can SHIFT the Supply Curve and that is: When the government increases/decreases taxes or decides to subsidize a good or service. THIS IS EXAMPLE OF JUST ONE SUPPLIER IN THE MARKET PLACE, BUT WHAT IF ANOTHER SUPPLIER ENTERS THE MARKET PLACE BECAUSE PROFITS LOOK GOOD? As with demand, market supply is arrived at by horizontally adding up the individual supplies of all of the firms in the market. GRAPHING SUPPLY Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 $4 $3 Price of Cereal Supply $5 4 For Example: What if new 3 companies start making 40 Cereal Because they see the Profit Potential? 2 (new producer) 30 $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 42 CHANGE IN SUPPLY Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 70 $4 40 60 Price of Cereal Supply 4 3 2 $3 S2 $5 Increase in Supply Prices didn’t change but there is MORE cereal produced 30 50 $2 20 40 1 $1 10 30 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 43 CHANGE IN SUPPLY Supply Schedule Price $5 $4 Quantity Supplied Price of Cereal Supply $5 Or, What if a Drought 4 50 and Destroys the Corn and Wheat Comes 3 40 Crops used to make cereal? 2 $3 30 (increased cost of inputs) $2 20 1 $1 10 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 44 CHANGE IN SUPPLY Supply Schedule Price Quantity Supplied $5 50 30 $4 40 20 Price of Cereal S2 $5 4 3 Decrease in Supply Prices didn’t change but there is LESS cereal produced 2 $3 Supply 30 10 $2 20 1 1 $1 10 0 o 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Quantity of Cereal 80 Q 45 SUPPLY PRACTICE First, identify the determinant (shifter) then decide if supply will increase or decrease Shifter 1 2 3 4 5 6 Increase or Decrease Left or Right LETS TRY SOME EXAMPLES 1. Which determinant (SHIFTER)? 2. Increase or decrease of Supply? 3. Which direction will curve shift? Sale of Hamburger Meat by Producer Company 1. Mad cow disease kills 20% of cows 2. Price of burgers increase 30% 3. Restaurants sell both burgers and tacos. Demand increases for tacos 500% 4. New technology cuts production time in half 5. Minimum wage increases to $10 6. Government increases tax on hamburgers 47 SUPPLY PRACTICE First, identify the determinant (shifter) then decide if supply will increase or decrease Shifter 1 2 3 4 5 6 Input Increase or Decrease Left or Right Decrease Left Related Good Decrease Left Technology Increase Right Subsidy Increase Right Tax Decrease Left None 48 PUTTING SUPPLY AND DEMAND TOGETHER Module 7 What are we going to cover? Supply and Demand: Equilibrium DO NOW LESSON EXIT TICKET • Explain how supply and demand curves determine a markets equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity. • Describe how price moves the market back to equilibrium in the case of a shortage or surplus. • Explain how equilibrium price and quantity are affected when there is a change in either supply or demand. • Explain how equilibrium price and quantity are affected when there is a simultaneous change in both supply and demand. SUPPLY AND DEMAND. WHAT’S NEXT? The next step is to put these elements together to show how they can be used to predict the actual price at which the good is bought and sold, as well as the actual quantity transacted. MARKET EQUILIBRIUM A market will determine the price at which the quantity of a product demanded is equal to the quantity supplied. At this price, the market will be in equilibrium, meaning that the amount consumers wish to purchase at this price is matched exactly by the amount producers wish to sell. The price at which this takes place is the equilibrium price, also referred to as the market-clearing price. An economic situation is in equilibrium when no individual would be better off doing something different. TO DETERMINE EQUILIBRIUM NEED TO GRAPH SUPPLY AND DEMAND TOGETHER Equilibrium occurs when quantity supplied equals exactly the quantity demanded ( where the demand and supply curve meet). Price S D Quantity S&D together = E. So what is E point on graph below? Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd Supply Schedule S P Qs 4 $5 10 $5 50 3 $4 20 $3 30 $2 50 $1 80 $4 40 2 $3 30 1 o D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd S P Qs 4 $5 10 $5 50 Equilibrium Price = $3 (Qd=Qs) $4 40 3 $4 20 $3 30 $2 50 $1 80 Supply Schedule 2 $3 30 1 o D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Equilibrium Quantity is 30 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 EQUILIBRIUM PRICE But how can we be sure that the market will arrive at the equilibrium price? We begin by answering three simple questions: 1.Why do all sales and purchases in a market take place at the same price? 2.Why does the market price fall if it is above the equilibrium price? 3.Why does the market price rise if it is below the equilibrium price? WHY DO ALL SALES AND PURCHASES IN A MARKET TAKE PLACE AT THE SAME PRICE? • Suppose a seller offered a potential buyer a price noticeably above what the buyer knew other people to be paying. • The buyer would clearly be better off shopping elsewhere—unless the seller was prepared to offer a better deal. • In any market where the buyers and sellers have both been around for some time, sales and purchases tend to converge at a generally uniform price, • In any well-established, ongoing market, all sellers receive and all buyers pay approximately the same price. This is what we call the market price. WHY DOES THE MARKET PRICE FALL IF IT IS ABOVE THE EQUILIBRIUM PRICE? • Price Above Its Equilibrium Level Creates a Surplus • Surplus - also known as the excess supply. • There is a surplus of a good when the quantity supplied exceeds the quantity demanded. Surpluses occur when the price is above its equilibrium level. Burgers Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd 3 $4 20 $2 50 $1 80 S P Qs 4 $5 10 $3 30 Supply Schedule 2 What if the price increases to $4? $4 40 $3 30 1 o $5 50 D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 59 At $4, there is disequilibrium. The quantity demanded is less than quantity supplied. Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd How much is the surplus at $4? Answer: 20 $4 20 $1 80 P Qs 4 3 $2 50 S Surplus (Qd<Qs) $5 10 $3 30 Supply Schedule 2 $4 40 $3 30 1 o $5 50 D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 60 WHY DOES THE MARKET PRICE RISE IF IT IS BELOW THE EQUILIBRIUM PRICE? • This bidding up of prices happens whenever there are shortages—and there will be shortages whenever the price is below its equilibrium level. • A shortage —also known as an excess demand. • The market price will always rise if it is below the equilibrium level Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd 3 $4 20 $2 50 $1 80 S P Qs 4 $5 10 $3 30 Supply Schedule 2 What if the Answer: price 40 decreases to $2? $4 40 $3 30 1 o $5 50 D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 62 At $2, there is disequilibrium. The quantity demanded is greater than quantity supplied. Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd S P Qs 4 How much is the shortage at $2? Answer: 30 $5 10 3 $4 20 $3 30 $2 50 $1 80 Supply Schedule 2 o 10 20 30 40 $4 40 $3 30 Shortage (Qd>Qs) 1 $5 50 D 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 63 The FREE MARKET system automatically pushes the price toward equilibrium. Demand P Schedule $5 P Qd Supply Schedule S When there is a surplus, producers P Qs lower prices $5 50 When there is a shortage, producers $4 40 raise prices $3 30 4 $5 10 3 $4 20 $3 30 $2 50 $1 80 2 1 o D 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Q $2 20 $1 10 64 ALWAYS ASSUME SHIFTS IN SUPPLY OR DEMAND CHANGE EQUILIBRIUM P AND Q INSTANTANEOUSLY 65 Learning to Diagram the Change is Easy as 1, 2, 3 1. Before the change: • Draw supply and demand • Label original equilibrium price and quantity 2. The change: • Did it affect supply or demand first? • Which determinant caused the shift? • Draw increase or decrease 3. After change: • Label new equilibrium? • What happens to Price? (increase or decrease) • What happens to Quantity? (increase or decrease) ANALYZE SALE OF HAMBURGERS WHAT IS THE RESULT FROM CHANGES BELOW 1. Price of sushi (a substitute) increases 1. New technology cuts production time ½ 1. Price of burgers falls from $3 to $1. 1. Fingers found in multiple burger restaurants. 1. Before Change (Draw equilibrium) 2. The Change (S or D, Identify Shifter) 3. After Change (Price and Quantity After) Price of sushi (a substitute) increases D increases New technology cuts production time ½ S increases Price of burgers falls from $3 to $1. no shift Fingers found in multiple burger restaurants. D decreases ANOTHER EXAMPLE USING COFFEE TO GO WITH YOUR BURGER A price above equilibrium creates a surplus A price below equilibrium creates a shortage THE EQUILIBRIUM PRICE AKA THE MARKET-CLEARING PRICE. When supply and demand change, equilibrium price and output change. When only one curve shifts, the resulting changes in equilibrium price and quantity can be predicted. But when both curves shift, we can only predict the change in equilibrium price in some cases, and the change in equilibrium quantity in others, but never both. Increase in demand =‘s higher equilibrium price and a higher equilibrium quantity. Decrease in demand =‘s lower equilibrium price and a lower equilibrium quantity. Increase in supply =‘s lower equilibrium price and a higher equilibrium quantity. Decrease in supply =‘s higher equilibrium price and a lower equilibrium quantity. FOR EXAMPLE An increase in the supply of grapes and a decrease in the demand for wine led to lower wine prices in 2001. An increase in the price of jumbo tires used on mining equipment led to higher prices for copper, coal, and zinc in 2006. WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE DEMAND CURVE SHIFT: Cotton and Polyester are Substitutes: If the price of polyester rises, the demand for cotton will increase, and if the price of polyester falls, the demand for cotton will decrease. How does the price of polyester affect the market equilibrium for cotton? WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE DEMAND CURVE SHIFT: SUMMARY An increase in demand leads to a rise in both the equilibrium price and the equilibrium quantity. A decrease in demand leads to a fall in both the equilibrium price and equilibrium quantity. WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE SUPPLY CURVE SHIFT: There was a flooding in Pakistan in 2010. What happened to the supply in Cotton? WHAT HAPPENS WHEN THE SUPPLY CURVE SHIFT: SUMMARY • When supply of a good or service decreases, the equilibrium price of the good or service rises and equilibrium quantity of the good or service falls. • When supply of a good or service increases, the equilibrium price of the good and service falls and the equilibrium quantity of the good and service rise. ANSWER THE FOLLOWING QUESTION The price of cameras decreases and people buy more cameras, this can be explained by: A) an increase in demand for cameras. B) an increase in the supply of cameras. C) a decrease in demand for cameras. D) A decrease in the supply of cameras. ANSWER The price of cameras decreases and people buy more cameras, this can be explained by: A) an increase in demand for cameras. B) an increase in the supply of cameras. Correct! C) a decrease in demand for cameras. D) A decrease in the supply of cameras. Voluntary Exchange Terms Consumer Surplus is the difference between what you are willing to pay and what you actually pay. CS = Buyer’s Maximum – Price Producer’s Surplus is the difference between the price the seller received and how much they were willing to sell it for. PS = Price – Seller’s Minimum 85