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NARCOLEPSY
Month of Birth as a Risk Factor for Narcolepsy
Yves Dauvilliers, MD1,3; Bertrand Carlander, MD1; Nicolas Molinari, PhD2; Alex Desautels, MSc4; Michele Okun, MA5; Mehdi Tafti, PhD6; Jacques Montplaisir, MD,
PhD4; Emmanuel Mignot, MD, PhD5; Michel Billiard, MD1
1Service de Neurologie B, Unité des Troubles du Sommeil, Hôpital Gui-de-Chauliac Montpellier, France; 2Institut Universitaire de Recherche
Clinique, Montpellier, France; 3Inserm EMI 9930, Hôpital La Colombière, Montpellier, France; 4Centre d’Etude du Sommeil, Hôpital du Sacré-Cœur,
Montréal, Canada; 5Stanford University Center for Narcolepsy, Palo Alto, CA; 6Unité de Biochimie et Neurophysiologie Clinique, Genève, Suisse
Study Objectives: A loss of hypocretin neurons has been observed in
human narcolepsy; however, the cause of this disorder is still unknown.
While family history and genetic factors are important individual risk factors for narcolepsy, environmental factors also contribute to the pathogenesis of the disease. The aim of the study was to find out whether there
is a seasonality of month of birth in narcoleptic patients.
Design: Diagnosis of narcolepsy with cataplexy was based on
International Classification of Sleep Disorders criteria with clinical, standard polysomnographic, and Multiple Sleep Latency Test features
Patients and Setting: The birth dates of 886 patients with a clear-cut
diagnosis of narcolepsy with cataplexy from 3 large narcolepsy databases (352 from Montpellier-France, 157 from Montreal-Canada, and 377
from Stanford-United States of America) were compared with those of
35,160,522 subjects from the general population.
Measurements and Results: Patients with narcolepsy had a significantly different seasonality of month of birth compared to that of the general
population. The monthly distribution of birth yielded a peak in March with
a maximal odds ratio at 1.45 and a trough in September with a minimal
odds ratio at 0.63. No gender or country of origin differences were
observed.
Conclusions: A birth seasonality in the development of narcolepsy suggests the presence of environmental factors acting in combination with
genetic factors during the fetal or perinatal period, in terms of an autoimmune process targeting the hypocretin system.
Key Words: Narcolepsy, season of birth, autoimmune, hypocretin
Citation: Dauvilliers Y; Carlander B; Molinari N et al. Month of birth as a
risk factor for narcolepsy. SLEEP 2003;26(6):663-5.
INTRODUCTION
and autoimmune disorders such as type 1 diabetes mellitus and Crohn
disease.17,18 In narcolepsy, preliminary data based on a small population
also suggest a potential difference in the month of birth in comparison
with the general population.19 The purpose of the present study is to
examine the pattern of annual cyclic variation in month of birth of
patients with narcolepsy compared to the general population in 3 large
narcolepsy cohorts from Montpellier, Montreal, and Stanford.
HUMAN NARCOLEPSY IS A DISORDER CHARACTERIZED BY 2
MAJOR SYMPTOMS: EXCESSIVE DAYTIME SLEEPINESS AND
CATAPLEXY. Recent research has significantly advanced understanding of the underlying pathophysiology of narcolepsy; however, the exact
etiology of this disorder remains uncertain.1-4 The loss of hypocretincontaining neurons appears to be a consistent feature of the disorder, and
it has been hypothesized that this loss may be attributable to an autoimmune mechanism. The close association with the HLA DQB1*06025 and
probably tumor necrosis factor-α gene,6 together with the bimodal distribution of age at onset,7 support this hypothesis. Also, the low rate of
familial cases and the low concordance in monozygotic twin studies
favor the involvement of environmental factors as in many other autoimmune disorders.8,9
Analysis of patterns of birth is a potentially important way to assess
the role of early-life environmental factors in the pathophysiology of the
disease. Environmental risks, such as infectious agents, could trigger the
disease through the induction of an autoimmune process.10-11 Should this
occur during the fetal period, it could cause damage to the central nervous system. As infectious disorders commonly show seasonal variation, temporal patterns of month of birth of narcoleptic patients would
differ from that of the general population, as has been previously reported in other neurologic diseases.12,13 Several studies have suggested, for
example, that season of birth may play a pathogenic role in the development of Parkinson disease, schizophrenia, multiple sclerosis, autism,12-16
PATIENTS AND METHODS
Dates of birth of 886 well-defined narcoleptic-cataplectic subjects
known to 3 large sleep disorder clinics were obtained: 352 (237 male
and 115 female) in the Montpellier Sleep Wake Disorders Center, 157
(87 male and 70 female) in the Montreal Sacré-Cœur Sleep Disorders
Center, and 377 (167 male and 210 female) in the Stanford University
Sleep Disorders Clinic.
Diagnoses were made by sleep-disorder specialists on the basis of the
International Classification of Sleep Disorders.20 All patients had a typical clinical history of narcolepsy with recurrent daytime naps or lapses
into sleep and clear-cut cataplexy (defined as a sudden bilateral loss of
postural muscle tone in association with intense emotion), the hallmark
of the disorder. Patients had a standard polysomnographic recording
including 1 all-night recording in the sleep laboratory followed by the
Multiple Sleep Latency Test performed according to standard methods.21
Most of the narcoleptic patients showed a mean sleep latency of less
than 8 minutes and 2 or more sleep-onset rapid eye movement periods
(SOREMPs). However, only 1 or no SOREMPs was also documented in
10% to 15% of the patients in each center in spite of well-defined excessive daytime sleepiness and cataplexy (diagnosis in accordance with
International Classification of Sleep Disorders criteria19).
The birth distribution for the narcoleptic population ranged from 1901
to 1994. The distribution by month and year in the general population
was obtained for each country from civil registries. Live-birth data for
each decade from 1910 to 1990 were obtained for each center (Table 1).
The general population included 6,416,584 persons in France, 793,834
persons in Quebec, and 27,950,104 persons in the United States, giving
Disclosure Statement
No significant financial interest/other relationship to disclose.
Submitted for publication December 2002
Accepted for publication April 2003
Address correspondence to: Dr. Yves Dauvilliers, Service de Neurologie B,
Hôpital Gui-de-Chauliac, 80 avenue Augustin Fliche, 34295 Montpellier cedex
5, France; Tel: +33 04 67 33 72 77 ; Fax: +33 04 67 33 72 85 ;
E-mail : [email protected]
SLEEP, Vol. 26, No. 6, 2003
663
Month of Birth as a Risk Factor for Narcolepsy—Dauvilliers et al
a total pooled reference population of 35,160,522 persons (Table 1). The
expected number of births of narcoleptic patients, calculated as the proportion of the general population born in each month throughout the
study period, was compared to the observed number of births of patients
for the pooled population and by center of origin. Results were
expressed as odds ratios with the general population as the reference category. The odds ratio was then defined as follows: for each month, we
compared the observed number of births of patients to the pooled population against 1 of the 11 other months. Hence, 12 χ2 tests with 1 degree
of freedom were performed. A Bonferroni correction was applied to
interpret the P-value.
We also divided the pooled data into 4 seasonal periods delineated by
groups of months (winter: January, February, March; spring: April, May,
June; summer: July, August, September; and autumn: October,
November, December) and data were analyzed by χ2.
In addition, the effect of gender and center of origin on the monthly distribution of birth in narcoleptic patients was evaluated using χ2 distributions.
Statistical analysis were performed with S-plus package version 3.4
(Mathsoft). Statistical significance was set at P< 0.05.
icant drop in September (χ2 = 10.09, df=1, P=0.0015) were observed
(Table 1).
The month of March was clearly the month where the number of narcoleptic births was the highest in all cases (11.85% of patients), higher
than the value expected in the general population (8.45 %) (Table 1).
Figure 1 shows the odds ratio of the month of birth in the pooled narcoleptic population. The maximal calculated odds ratio for the season of
birth was 1.45 (95% confidence interval, 1.06-1.98) observed in March.
These percentages, derived from the clinical cohorts, are unlikely to be
representative of the general population due to recruitment bias.
However, no differences in the distribution of month of birth in narcoleptic patients was observed among centers of origin (χ2 = 22.18, df =
22, P=0.45). Moreover, they do show similar tendencies across the 3
sites (Table 1). A second lower peak in August is also evident in Figure
1, though this was significant only in the French population (Table 1; χ2
= 7.17, df = 1, P=0.007).
September was the month where the narcoleptic births were the lowest (5.64% of patients), and lower than the value expected in the general population (8.71%) (Table 1). Accordingly, September was the month
of birth associated with the minimal relative risk (odds ratio at 0.63; 95%
confidence interval, 0.43-0.91), which corresponds to a 37% reduction
in the risk for narcolepsy.
Analysis of seasonal periods displayed one peak in winter (January to
March) in the narcoleptic patient group when compared to the general
population (χ2=7.98, df=3, P=0.04). However, most of this result was
explained by an excess number of narcoleptic subjects born in March.
Finally, there was no significant difference in the seasonality trend of
birth between the sexes (491 male, 395 female) (χ2=6.3 df=11, P=0.85).
There was no clear change in the monthly distribution of births over the
century in either the general population or in the narcoleptic group.
RESULTS
Monthly distribution of births among narcoleptic patients differed significantly from that expected on the basis of the general population (χ2=
26.81, df = 11, P=0.004) (Table 1). A significant excess of narcolepsy
among persons born in March (χ2= 12.85, df=1, P=0.0003) and a signif-
DISCUSSION
This is the first large study of birth seasonality in narcoleptic patients
including 3 sleep disorders centers. The results demonstrate that the
number of narcoleptic subjects born in March significantly exceeds that
expected, with no differences based on gender, recruitment center, or
decade of birth. There was no clear variation in seasonal birth rate in the
general population. The risk of narcolepsy was at its maximum in March
and at its minimum in September (Table 1, Figure 1). Preliminary results
on the narcoleptic Stanford population included in this study were partially reported in a previous work.19 Although an excess of births in the
month of March had been noticed, statistical analysis had not revealed a
significant difference between narcoleptics and the general population in
the United States. Our results are also comparable to those obtained for
several other central nervous system diseases such as schizophrenia14,22
and Parkinson disease12 and for autoimmune diseases such as diabetes
Figure 1—Odds ratios of narcolepsy according to month of birth. The data points and verand Crohn disease,17,18 all showing a birth excess during winter.
tical bars show the relative risks and 95% confidence intervals, respectively, with month of
The effect of season of birth is a potentially important way to assess
birth analyzed as a categorical variable.
the role of early-life environmental factors in a disease. The
Table 1—Month of birth in narcolepsy (3 cohorts of narcoleptic subjects) compared with rates expected from the
finding of a seasonal birth patgeneral population (pooled general population data from France, Canada, and the Unites States of America).
tern for a specific disease that
significantly differs from the
Month
France
Quebec
USA
Total
Total
General
observed
expected
population
birth pattern of the general
%
%
%
%
%
%
population suggests that the
Observed Expected Observed Expected Observed Expected N
%
N
%
N
origins of the disease date very
January
10,51
8,56
6,37
7,99
7,43
8,19
75
8,47
73,11 8,25
2,901,381
early in life. These data may
February
8,81
8,19
7,64
7,60
7,69
7,72
72
8,13
69,10 7,80
2,742,148
March
11,93
8,91
12,74
8,85
11,41
8,33
105 11,85
74,82 8,45
2,969,392
provide clues for the disease
April
6,53
8,60
5,10
8,78
10,34
7,74
70
7,90
70,16 7,92
2,784,217
etiology; however, a preferenMay
7,95
8,76
11,46
9,04
7,16
8,02
73
8,24
72,46 8,18
2,875,494
tial season of birth does not
June
6,25
8,27
8,92
8,69
7,43
8,13
64
7,22
72,36 8,17
2,871,448
July
6,82
8,57
10,83
8,79
7,69
8,85
70
7,90
77,94 8,80
3,092,990
reveal specifically when the
August
12,50
8,40
9,55
8,45
9,02
9,04
93
10,50
78,92 8,91
3,131,895
environmental factor occurred.
September
5,68
8,10
5,10
8,49
5,84
8,85
50
5,64
77,16 8,71
3,062,135
Environmental factors may
October
9,38
8,01
8,92
8,05
8,22
8,63
78
8,80
75,35 8,50
2,990,325
have occurred during the pregNovember
5,40
7,65
7,64
7,56
9,28
8,10
66
7,45
70,94 8,01
2,815,160
December
8,24
8,00
5,73
7,73
8,49
8,41
70
7,90
73,68 8,32
2,923,937
nancy in the first (summer),
Total
352
100,00
157
100,00
377
100,00
886 100
886
100
35,160,522
the second (autumn) or the
SLEEP, Vol. 26, No. 6, 2003
664
Month of Birth as a Risk Factor for Narcolepsy—Dauvilliers et al
third trimester (winter) or in the first few months following the birth
(spring) when the brain undergoes a rapid development. Moreover, seasonal factors may differ among different geographic areas such as in
France, in Quebec, and in the United States. However, a significantly
excess number of narcoleptic subjects born in March was observed in
those 3 different narcoleptic populations.
Several known factors could be involved, such as infectious agents,
nutrition effects, temperature, or fluctuations of neurotransmitter systems. If the seasonal birth factor is etiologic, one explanation for this
effect is infectious agents, since many of them vary seasonally. In addition, the involvement of infectious agents has been reported in other central nervous system diseases such as the poliovirus in Parkinson disease12 and the influenza virus in schizophrenia,13 and also in autoimmune
disease such as coxsackie in type 1 diabetes mellitus.23 Two studies have
reported that narcoleptics have elevated antibodies to streptococcal antigens,24,25 although this was not confirmed by a later study.26 In addition,
secondary narcolepsy after encephalitis, although rare, has been
described.27
A seasonal predominance of birth in narcolepsy could provide clues
for such an event (infectious agents) having occurred early in life, causing some form of neuronal injury within the sleep structures.
Degeneration of hypocretin neurons is clearly implicated in human narcolepsy, although the cause of the degeneration is still unknown, but an
autoimmune process remains the most likely candidate.3,4 The transient
nature of such a process, together with the low number and focal localization of hypocretin neurons in the brain, could explain the absence of
direct evidence of autoimmunity.
The pronounced seasonal variation of date of birth in narcoleptic subjects may suggest that environmental factors may be harmful to the
developing hypocretin cells. The hypothesis of an autoimmune process
against hypocretin neurons starting in the fetal or perinatal period during
annual viral epidemics deserves further considerations. In addition, we
may hypothesize that the low relative risk for children born in September
to develop narcolepsy may be due to protective immune factors.
Based on differential genetic susceptibility, only a minority of subjects may experience sufficient initial damage to ultimately develop narcolepsy. The close association with the HLA DQB1*06025 and probably
with the tumor necrosis factor-α gene6 together with monthly variations
in environmental factors may interact to cause a damage to the hypocretin system that will result in narcolepsy. We therefore hypothesize that
genetically susceptible individuals exposed to specific, but yet undetermined, environmental factors might develop narcolepsy through a neurodegenerative process that targets hypocretin neurons.
Finally, the seasonal variation of date of birth could be linked to seasonal fluctuations in the hypocretin metabolism, as has already been
reported for other neurotransmitter systems such as the serotonergic and
dopaminergic systems.28-30 If seasonal fluctuation in the hypocretin system is further demonstrated, the season of birth could be implicated as a
pathogenic factor in narcolepsy. More specifically, if a low hypothalamic hypocretin-neuron activity were observed for subjects born in winter,
that may constitute a predisposing factor to hypocretin deficiency.
In summary, this study suggests that narcoleptic subjects have an
excess of births in March and a decrease in September. The fetal or perinatal period could be a vulnerable time for the action of an etiologic
agent, which may cause damage to the hypocretin system. Additional
research is needed to further elucidate the interaction between environment and genetic-vulnerability factors in narcolepsy and to explore the
nature of putative agents.
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