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Environmental Markets – opportunities for business to protect and value nature Prof David Hill CBE Chairman, Environment Bank English biodiversity loss • 500 English species extinct in the last 200 years • Of 3000 species with data, 2000 declining! • Many farmland birds have declined by up to 90% in 50 years! • Average English county loses 2 plants per year • Loss is ‘mainly’ outside SSSIs and Natura 2000 sites, and ‘unprotected’ species • Much the same story across western Europe 4a. Status of threatened species Priority species 4ai. Status of priority species Change in the relative abundance of priority species in the UK, 1970 to 2012 Notes: Based on 213 species 1. Based on 213 species. Dotted lines show the 95 per cent confidence intervals relative to the 1970 reference year. 2. Bar chart shows the percentage of species increasing or declining over the long-term (1970 to 2012) an Landscape amnesia Creeping normalcy Jared Diamond ‘Collapse’ What have we lost? Rodger McPhail Land use change - UK Area (ha) From To 100,000 Conifer forest 50,000ha replanted conifers; 50,000ha ’other’ 3,000 Conifer forest Industrial development 7,000 Forest Artificial surfaces 14,000 Agricultural land Artificial surfaces 3,000 Arable land Mineral extraction sites 2,000 Pasture Mineral extraction sites 1,000 Pasture Arable land 1,000 Wetlands Artificial surfaces 2006-2012 Europe-wide CORINE land cover map – 225,200ha showed change in land cover – Leicester University Traditional funding Aggregate membership 17 conservation bodies 6.7 million NGO income £854m Latest reports NGO spending on biodiversity in England £213m 2012/13 Govt. spending on biodiversity in England £384m 2013/14 Biodiversity 2020 Indicators summary Dec 2014, Defra Secretary of State comment at Wildlife & Countryside Link Sept 2015 Countries that are successful in the future are going to be those with thriving environments where people want to live and work and be close to nature The race for initiatives - UK • The Economics of Ecosystems and Biodiversity – TEEB - 2010 • Natural Environment White Paper 2011 • Natural Capital Committee 2015 • Natural capital accounting – National Audit Office, Office for National Statistics ongoing TEEB • “The global economic benefit of biological diversity, the costs of the loss of biodiversity and the failure to take protective measures versus the costs of effective conservation.“ • Answer : $14 trillion; 7% global GDP by 2050 Natural Capital Committee “Successive natural capital deficits have built up large natural capital debt and this is proving costly to our well-being and economy. If economic growth is to be sustained, natural capital has to be safeguarded” But we need restoration first – we are ‘massively overdrawn at the Bank of Nature’ • About 40% of global GDP intrinsically relies on natural capital - yet we don’t value it and we treat the environment as a charitable exercise OECD Report 2012 - Outlook to 2050 Per capita GDP Per capita GDP NOT accounting accounting for for loss of loss of natural natural capital capital Brazil 34% 3% India 120% 9% UK? 2% ? -20%? We need a paradigm shift 1. Intrinsic value alone is not enough 2. Make nature economically visible - proper accounting of the value of our natural environment in decisions and policies across all sectors 3. Need for a new economy to enable investment into biodiversity, natural capital and ecosystem services - understanding massive supply chain risk Environmental markets • Internationally there is mounting interest in environmental markets from credit buyers, regulators, investors, environmental community • Emerging recognition of natural resource stewardship and restoration as a dynamic area for investment – great opportunity for SME’s • Transforming biodiversity from a risk and liability problem into viable profit-generating business opportunity • Environmental Finance; Ecosystem Marketplace Value = $5 - 10bn p.a cultural and societal values society holds for charismatic wildlife (e.g. Golden Eagles) and will be partly reflected below through recreation, wildlife and health too. Figure 3: Natural capital assets and types of benefits 3.1.3 In order to identify the most important aspects to measure and monitor, it is necessary to look at the extent to which the benefits are and can be influenced by decisions affecting the quantity, quality or location of the underpinning asset. For example, for outdoor recreation, the location of recreation areas such as woodlands near to people is a key determinant of Natural Capital Accounting • Gov’t should lead the development and coordination of long-term investment in natural capital • Burdening future generations because we think protection of and investment in natural capital is too expensive today, is not a viable model • Corporate natural capital accounting should be required on basis of benefits derived from non-renewables to increase stock of renewables • Credit based – create a market – SME involvement • The economic rents from depleting nonrenewables should be saved and invested for future generations – compensate by increasing renewable natural capital assets. • Using natural capital accounting – create natural capital investment funds from the depletion of non-renewables via a proper compensation regime. Dieter Helm 2015. • Role for development of environmental markets to establish around natural capital assets and asset classes - SMEs Natural Capital Investment Opportunities • Woodland planting – 250k ha. Net benefits £500m p.a • Peatland restoration – 140k ha uplands. Net benefits £570m over 40 years • Wetland creation/ES – 100k ha. Benefit-cost ratios 3:1 to 9:1 • Restoring commercial fish stocks. Benefit-cost ratios >6:1 • Urban greenspace – health treatment savings £2.1bn p.a • Environmental performance of farming Government to: • Require natural capital accounting by corporates • Incentivize corporates – taxation • Implement accreditation – standards • Provide guidance Corporates purchase ‘natural capital’ credits for assets – woodland, peatland, wetland, grassland and ecosystem services they provide • Better corporate reporting • De-risk the business • Better investment value Market developed. Land brought forward under conservation covenants. Ecological networksresilience Long-term management income Ecosystem Markets Taskforce - key recommendations • Biodiversity offsetting (compensation) mandatory - securing net gain for nature through planning and development • Bio-energy and anaerobic digestion on farms • Sustainable local woodfuel • Nature-based certification and labelling • Water-cycle catchment management integrating nature into water, waste water and flood management Biodiversity Compensation Biodiversity Compensation “..conservation activities designed to deliver biodiversity benefits in compensation for losses, in a measurable way” Voluntary – UK government trials • Slow take-up - lack of urgency • Inconsistency between LPAs • Lack of a market Mandatory - LPAs mandated to use the metrics • Rapid market (scale-up) created supply of compensation sites via landowners, farmers, conservation bodies, providing choice • Consistency across Local Planning Authorities • No extra cost - residual land value • Market = c.£1.2bn p.a • Will stimulate SME’s and will grow the rural economy • Metrics, trading system, delivery system - all in place Compensation through planning • Compensating for impact in one place with gain in another • Compensation ‘metrics’ allow for estimation of both loss and gain • Simply a tool for planners – guarantees no net loss – accountable, transparent, consistent • Enables development and delivers biodiversity protection i.e. sustainable development • Observes mitigation hierarchy • Additional & complementary to existing wildlife/landscape protection • Planning Authorities now being encouraged to roll-out application of the metric = creating demand for compensation sites How does it work? • LPA requires application of biodiversity compensation metric • Impact of development assessed • Developer purchases conservation credits from strategically located ‘habitat bank’ which yields the credits based on a Biodiversity Management Plan • Environment Bank brokers deal - signs legal agreements to purchase with developer, and to manage with receptor site land manager • Money transferred, over time, to the land manager against specific conservation management delivery • Monitoring and reporting systems for LPAs Warwickshire strategic areas To target restoration and creation of new core areas Habitat Banking • Warwickshire • South Humber • HS2 Environment Bank - what we are doing • Operating brokerage model • Setting up Habitat Banks • Building receptor site capacity - Environmental Markets Exchange • Applying metrics to impact and receptor sites • Asset classes - biodiversity, but also for woodland and peatland carbon, water, other natural capital assets • Long-term delivery contracts - Conservation Bank Agreement, Conservation Credit Purchase Agreement; monitoring, compliance • First conservation credit sales undertaken - housing schemes; with pipeline of projects Grow emerging markets • • • • Regulatory framework with metrics Accreditation of sites eg habitat banks Tracking of conservation credits and enforcement Environmentally experienced brokerage system - trading platform (eg. Environment Bank) • What next ? An EU-wide Ecosystem Markets Taskforce – assess innovation opportunities across EU – DG Research & Innovation or DG ENV with DG GROW Summary • Biodiversity, natural capital and ecosystem service loss continues - will create catastrophic impacts on GDP within 2 generations • A new economic model is needed to move nature beyond intrinsic value • A range of opportunities exist for business/SME investment with potentially massive market value: • • • • Biodiversity compensation Corporate accounting for natural capital – woodland, peatland, wetland, restoring fish stocks, urban greenspace Payment for ecosystem services (PES) Improving the environmental performance of farming www.environmentbank.com Environmental Markets Exchange https://environmentbank.mmearth.com We don’t inherit the Earth from our ancestors, we borrow it from our children Maybe we should be renting it instead !