Download Secondary interactions

CO-CREATING ECOSYSTEM BASED
FISHERIES MANAGEMENT SOLUTIONS
Coordinator: Dr. Anna Kristín Daníelsdóttir - MATIS
Scientific Manager: Prof. Gunnar Stefánsson - UI
Collaborative Research
32 365 M€
Frontier Research
7 460 M€
Human Potential
Research Capacity
4 728 M€
4 217 M€
20 Years celebration of the South Africa (SA) & European Union (EU) cooperation in
science, technology and innovation (STI).
SA-EU MARINE AND POLAR RESEARCH COLLABORATIONS WORKSHOP
Cape Town, SA, 4th October 2016.
Dr. Anna Kristín Daníelsdóttir – MATIS IS
Dr. Andrea Ross-Gillespie & Prof. Doug Butterworth – UCT SA
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
All together............ 33.2 m.€
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
Societal challenges and co-creation
End
Integrated assessment
Advice and decision support for an ecosystem based approach to fisheries management
Implementation
EXPECTED OUTCOME & MAIN RESULTS SO FAR
New tools and technologies:
•
indicators, MareFrame database incl. upload & extraction routines, evaluation tools
Extended ecosystem models and assessment methods:
•
tests and comparisons of models across ecosystems
New Decision Support Framework (DSF) that can highlight alternative
management actions and their consequences
Development, acceptance and incorporation by stakeholders:
•
co-creation, training tools, visualization tools for different management scenarios
Support implementation of the new Common Fisheries Policy (CFP),
the Marine strategy Framework Directive (MSFD) and the Habitats
Directive (HD). Also the SA strategy on “Operation Phakisa Oceans
Economy”
•
developing clear policy objectives, effective decision-making, industry that is
ecologically, socially and economically sustainable.
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
Co-creation is OK
STAKEHOLDERS:
Public servants, industry, eNGO,
scientists in Europe and throughout
the Atlantic from the Arctic to
Antarctica, FAO, etc...
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
Regions where MareFrame is developing
multi-species/ecosystem models
North Sea
CS Leader: John Pope, NRC
Advisory Councils involved: NSRAC, PRAC
Models: GADGET, EwE, Multispecies
production models, Size spectra
Northern & Western
Waters: Iceland
CS Leader: Bjarki Elvarsson,
MRI
Models: GADGET, EwE and
Atlantis
Baltic Sea
CS Leader: Valerio Bartolino, SLU
Advisory Councils involved: BSRAC
Models: GADGET, EwE, Multispecies
production model
Northern & Western Waters:
West of Scotland
CS Leader: Paul Fernandes,
UNIABDN
Advisory Councils involved:
NWWRAC and PRAC
Models: EwE and FishSums
South Western Waters:
Iberian Waters
CS Leader: Javier Ruiz, CSIC
Advisory Councils involved:
SWWRAC
Models: GADGET
Black Sea
CS Leader: Gheorghe Radu, INCDM
Advisory Councils involved: RAC
FOMLRM, forthcoming Black Sea AC.
Models: GADGET and EwE
Mediterranean Strait of Sicily
CS Leader: Francesco Colloca, CNR
Advisory Councils involved: RACMED
Models: GADGET and Atlantis
New
Zealand
New Zealand
CS Leader: Ian
Tuck, NIWA
Models: Atlantis
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
Why an internationally collaborative study?
Challenges of ecosystem modelling
•
•
Scarcity of pertinent data
Different approaches can lead to very different predictions
Secondary interactions
•
•
Interaction that are not between species of primary concern, but which could
reverse the expected effect of the primary interactions
SA example: hake fishery (two species, worth roughly R5 billion a year)
interaction with seals – could culling seals allow more hake catches?
Primary interaction
Seals
Decrease seals
consume
Secondary interaction
Shallow-water hake
consume
Increase shallow-water hake
Deep-water hake
Decrease deep-water hake
Overall hake abundance and hence catches may go down, rather than up, if seals
are culled.
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
MareFrame:
Do some common broad conclusions arise consistently
across the 8 studies, thus enhancing confidence in the
reliability of ecosystem modelling?
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
SA’s involvement in MareFrame
Marine Resource Assessment and Management Group (MARAM) at UCT act
mainly as advisors on multispecies/ecosystem modelling, given considerable
experience in this field, e.g.:
Interaction
Location
Authors
1. Hake-seals
South Africa
Punt and Butterworth 1995
2. Krill-seals
Antarctic
Thomson et al. 2000
3. Krill-seals-whales
Antarctic
Mori and Butterworth 2006
4. Krill and land-based predators
Antarctic (Scotia Sea)
Plagányi and Butterworth 2012
5. Pelagic fish-penguins
South Africa
Robinson et al. 2015
6. Krill-seals-whales (update to 3)
Antarctic
Moosa and Butterworth (current)
7. Hake-on-hake (update to 1)
South Africa
Ross-Gillespie and Butterworth
(current)
Comparisons across case studies in MareFrame and MARAM UCT SA that will
help to enhance confidence in the reliability of multi-species modelling.
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
SA example: Hake-on-hake multi-species model
Update of the Punt and Butterworth (1995) hake-seal model
focusing on the hake-on-hake interaction.
Shallow-water hake feed extensively on deep-water hake, thus as
the initial fishery reduced shallow-water population in first half
of 20th century, the deep-water species could have experienced
a predation release.
Current assessment models don’t take hake-on-hake predation into
account explicitly and could miss important features of the hake
populations.
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
Benefits of the South African and European
scientific collaboration
Mutually beneficial relationship – knowledge & technology transfer; access
to wide international research and cooperation network:
•
•
•
More advanced ecosystem models by comparing across case studies of
MareFrame and UCT SA
Helps to enhance confidence in the reliability of ecosystem modelling and to
develop a holistic approach to fisheries management, including socio-economics
and governance.
Student and staff exchanges, e.g. through the Marie-Sklodowska-Curie
Actions (MSC), Framework Programme and other joint and national exchange
programmes.
MARAM UCT SA (Prof. Doug Butterworth, et al.) have extensive
experience in integrated assessment and multi-species modelling.
Europe benefits from the input of their experience.
SA benefits by bringing back ideas developed globally.
Base for future collaboration on the common marine and polar research
priorities.
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
Contribution to the common challenges of the
the South African and European collaboration
Common challenges: future uncertainties due to climate change;
overexploitation of marine stocks (biodiversity, fisheries management); lack of
knowledge, requirement for accurate modelling; lack of
infrastructure/roadmaps for implementation of improved systems (technology
development); discards, lack of proper handling and utilization of living
resources (food security)
Contribution:
Develop new tools and technologies. Advance models and develop
Decision Support Framework for ecosystem-based fisheries
management and implementation through co-creation, collaboration
and training.
Strengthen future collaboration on the Atlantic marine and polar
research prioritese as agreed by the Joint Science and Technology
Cooperation Committee (JSTCC).
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
www.mareframe-fp7.org/
Funded under the EU FP7 Programme
A consortium of 28 partners from 14 countries
Duration of four years: Jan. 2014 – Dec. 2017
Work programme topic addressed: KBBE
2013.1.2-08: Innovative insights and tools to integrate
the ecosystem-based approach into fisheries advice
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.
MareFrame liaises with other national and international research
projects and is of high relevance to the future management of living
marine resources in Europe in a changing environment, taking a
holistic view incorporating socio-economic and legislative issues
THIS PROJECT HAS RECEIVED FUNDING FROM
THE EUROPEAN UNION’S SEVENTH FRAMEWORK
PROGRAMME FOR RESEARCH, TECHNOLOGICAL
DEVELOPMENT AND DEMONSTRATION UNDER
GRANT AGREEMENT NO. 613571.