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AP Statistics Notes 5.2 Vocabulary: Sample space – S – set of all possible outcomes 1 coin S = {H,T} 1 die S = {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6} Event – any outcome or set of outcomes Addition rule for mutually exclusive events: If two events have no outcomes in common and so can never occur simultaneously, the probability that one or the other occurs is the sum of their individual probabilities. (also called mutually exclusive events or disjoint events) P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) Example: Randomly select a student who took the 2010 AP Statistics exam and record the student’s score. Here is the probability model: Score Probability 1 0.233 2 0.183 3 0.235 4 0.224 1. Show that this is a legitimate probability model. 2. Find the probability that the chosen student scored 3 or better. 5 0.125 Two-Way Tables and Probability A random sample of 500 people who participated in the 2000 census was chosen. Each member of the sample was identified as a high school graduate (or not) and as a home owner (or not). The two-way table displays the data. Homeowner Not a homeowner Total High school graduate 221 89 310 Not a high school graduate Total 119 340 71 160 190 500 Suppose we choose a member of the sample at random. Find the probability of each of the following. 3. P(high school graduate) 4. P(high school graduate and owns a home) 5. P(high school graduate or owns a home) 6. Why can’t we use the addition rule in the previous problem? General Addition Rule for Two Events: If A and B are any two events resulting from some chance process, then P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B) P(A ∪ B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A ∩ B) Venn diagram: Let A = high school graduate Let B = owns home 7. P(A ∪ B) 8. P(A ∩ B) 9. P(A ∩ Bc) 10. P(Ac ∩ B) 11. P(Ac ∩ Bc) According to the National Center for Health Statistics, in December 2008, 78% of U.S. households had a traditional landline telephone, 80% of households had cell phones, and 60% had both. Suppose we randomly selected a household in December 2008. 12. Make a two-way table that displays the sample space of this chance process. 13. Construct a Venn diagram to represent the outcomes of this chance process. 14. Find the probability that the household has at least one of the two types of phones. 15. Find the probability that the household has a cell phone only.