Download Jim_LGC_3.20.08

Zero Emission Development
Challenges, Realities and
Potential Futures
© Copyright UrbanGreen 2008 All Rights Reserved
Presented by:
Jim Heid, Founder
UrbanGreen, San Francisco
CEQA and Climate Change
Defining ZED
A project in which all energy demand is
met independent of the grid.
Is this realistic in the immediate future ….??
U.S. and UK Government documents
CEQA and Climate Change
16,000,000
14,000,000
Aprox. 44%
Energy Savings
Business-As-Usual Trendline
Transportation
Efficiency
Commercial Bldg
Efficiency
10,000,000
Res. Bldg
Efficiency
8,000,000
6,000,000
4,000,000
EMR with Energy
Efficient Planning
Sustainable Energy Trendline
2,000,000
Comparison of Energy Usage by Component
Source: Econergy and UrbanGreen. October 2006.
CEQA and Climate Change
2036
2035
2034
2033
2032
2031
2030
2029
2028
2027
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
0
2006
Energy Usage (MMBtu)
12,000,000
Low Emission Development
An integrated series of real estate
development strategies and collective
public initiatives that will lower emissions
over BAU scenarios.
UrbanGreen
CEQA and Climate Change
The Carbon/ Market Conundrum
UrbanGreen
CEQA and Climate Change
Scale of Actions Actions
mtCO2e Aggregated Actions
20000
18000
16000
12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
O
Initiative
CEQA and Climate Change
W
as
te
ffi
ce
es
om
H
ar
s
0
C
Metric Tons CO2e
14000
The Carbon/ Market Conundrum
140,000
120,000
Aggregated emission
reduction, all 5 scenarios
= 31,250 tCO2e
80,000
Buildings
mtCO2e
100,000
60,000
40,000
Transportation
20,000
1
2
3
4
5
0
BAU
Baseline
+ Car Share
+ Daily Goods
+ Energy Star
Scenarios
CEQA and Climate Change
Upgrade to Green Std
+ Renewable Offset
The Carbon/ Market Conundrum
140,000
Aggregated emission
reduction, all 5 scenarios
= 34,950 tCO2e
120,000
80,000
Buildings
mtCO2e
100,000
60,000
40,000
Transportation
20,000
1
2
3
4
5
0
BAU
Baseline
+ Car Share
+ Daily Goods
+ Energy Star
Upgrade to Green Std
Scenarios
CEQA and Climate Change
+ Renewable Offset
The Carbon/ Market Conundrum
Neighborhood Preference
U.S. Homebuyer Survey 2007
Urban
Core
Nature Preserve
Community
19%
5%
Traditional
Downtown
5%
TND
12%
MPC
8%
Suburban
Neighborhood
50%
© Copyright RCLCo 2008 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
CEQA and Climate Change
Locational Options
1: Urban Infill
+ Infrastructure
+ Closer to jobs
- Infrastructure
- Schools
2: Suburban Densificiation
+ Better Neighborhoods
+ Transit potential
− Land Assembly
− NIMBY’s
3: Greenfield
+ Large Land Holdings
+ Ability to Create Infrastructure
− Transportation Impacts
− Capital Investment
The UrbanGreen Thesis
Greenfield
Leading Edge
© Copyright UrbanGreen 2007 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
CEQA and Climate Change
So what matters?
CEQA and Climate Change
Placemaking
CEQA and Climate Change
Green Building
CEQA and Climate Change
Soft Infrastructure
CEQA and Climate Change
Green Development
CEQA and Climate Change
Site + Context
CEQA and Climate Change
Diversity
© Copyright UrbanGreen 2007 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
CEQA and Climate Change
The UrbanGreen Thesis
Greenfield
Leading Edge
Urban Starting
Edge
© Copyright UrbanGreen 2007 ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
CEQA and Climate Change
The Wild Card
Infill/
Densification
~250,000 units
Suburban Ad
Hoc
~650,000 units
CEQA and Climate Change
Planned
Communities
~200,000 units
Driving the Wild Card
LED Urban Community
LED Planned Community
EASIEST
Site and Context
Placemaking
Diversity
Soft Infrastructure
Green Building
Green Development
Green Building
Green Development
Soft Infrastructure
Site and Context
Placemaking
HARDEST
Diversity
CEQA and Climate Change
Closing Thought
The single most important long term,
strategy to LED is to improve the caliber,
quality and ‘cost’ of urban education, parks
and open space.
Period.
CEQA and Climate Change
To Learn More
UrbanGreen is dedicated to
real estate development as
a constructive endeavor
that positively shapes the
urban, rural and human
environment.
‘Converging Constructs’
Urban Land Green, 2007
Developing Sustainable Planned Communities, Urban
Land Institute 2007
‘Green Reflections’
Urban Land Magazine, July 2004
www.urbangreen.net
[email protected]
‘Developing Greenfields without Sprawl’ January 2004
Principles and Practices of Sustainable Communities
April 14 | 15 2008 Phoenix, AZ
CEQA and Climate Change