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LOCAL GOVERNMENT FINANCE SYSTEM IN SERBIA How to get through the crisis ? Aleksandar Bućić Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 LAW ON LOCAL GOVERNMENT FINANCE (LGFL) – main results before the crisis • Intergovernmental transfers anchored to GDP (1.7%) • Equalization component based on shared revenues • PIT becoming most important shared revenue (40% for local governments) • Annual Property tax as own source revenue for LGs • Establishment of so called “Local Tax Administrations” • Institutionalized dialogue between the National government and local governments – through the Intergovernmental Finance Commission Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 2 LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES before and after the new law 2006. LG REVENUES BEFORE AND AFTER THE NEW LAW (in 2009 RSD, inflation adjusted) TOTAL REVENUE REVENUE FROM THE NON-EARMARKED TRANSFER AND AS % OF TOTAL REVENUE Revenue 178,366,565,756 24,659,748,831 2007. Per Capita Revenue 23,789 194,982,628,935 14% 41,622,462,259 Per Capita % Change 26,005 109% 21% 154% Source of data: Treasury Administration, Ministry of Finance Prepared by: Anthony Levitas - Sharing the burden statistical brief, 2010. Exchange rate on October 8, 2010: 1 EUR = 105.9 RSD Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 3 LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES before and after the suspension of the LGFL LG REVENUES BEFORE AND AFTER THE SUSPENSION OF THE LGFL (in 2009 RSD, inflation adjusted) TOTAL REVENUES REVENUES FROM THE NON-EARMARKED TRANSFER AND AS % OF TOTAL REVENUE 2007. Revenue 194,982,628,935 41,622,462,259 2009. Per Capita Revenue 26,005 165,452,711,110 21% 28,157,725,905 Per Capita % Change 22,006 -15% 17% -20% Source of data: Treasury Administration, Ministry of Finance Prepared by: Anthony Levitas - Sharing the burden statistical brief, 2010. Exchange rate on October 8, 2010: 1 EUR = 105.9 RSD Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 4 IS THE BURDEN OF THE CRISIS SHARED EQUALLY BETWEEN THE CENTRAL AND LOCAL LEVEL 2007 2008 2009 1. GDP 2. CONSOLIDATED GENERAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES 3. CONSOLIDATED GENERAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES AS % of GDP 4. CENTRAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES 2,302.2 2,722.5 2,815.0 2009 / 2008 103.4% 1,002.0 1,143.6 1,146.5 100.3% 43.5% 42.0% 40.7% 96.9% 577.6 621.7 624.2 100.4% 5. LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES (current) 153.8 175.8 156.4 88.9% 6. TRANSFERS TO LOCAL GOVERNMENTS 7. LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES AS % of GDP 8. LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES AS % of CONSOLIDATED REVENUES 9. TRANSFERS AS % of GDP 10. TRANSFERS AS % of CENTRAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES 29.7 36.1 25.7 71% 6.7% 6.5% 5.6% 86.1% 15.4% 15.4% 13.6% 88.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.9% 69% 6.3% 5.8% 4.1% 71% (IN BILLION RSD, nominal) Sources: Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia Ministry of Finance, Republic of Serbia and Treasury Administration Exchange rate on October 8, 2010: 1 EUR = 105.9 RSD Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 5 LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES – Structure and trends during the crisis Own revenues: • • • • • • • • Importance during the crisis Property tax devolution Local tax administrations (2007 – 2009) Most important buffer for local government budgets Property tax assessment, collection, control, enforcement Poor administration in previous period Challenges regarding the collection Role of the Association of Local Governments (SCTM) Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 6 PROPERTY TAX REVENUES, sample of local governments, 2006-2009 period, in 000 RSD nominal BELGRADE : total (1+2) 1. Property tax – natural persons 2. Property tax – legal entities KRAGUJEVAC : total (1+2) 1. Property tax – nominal persons 2. Property tax – legal entities VRANJE : total (1+2) 1. Property tax – natural persons 2. Property tax – legal entities VRNJACKA BANJA : total (1+2) 1. Property tax – natural persons 2. Property tax – legal entities ZABARI : total (1+2) 1. Property tax – natural persons 2. Property tax – legal entities TOTAL GROWT (%) - nominal 2006 2.439.025 1.333.135 1.105.890 110.885 59.812 51.073 37.131 16.317 20.814 20.611 9.349 11.262 2.068 1.109 959 2007 2.625.351 1.385.060 1.240.291 138.320 77.326 60.994 37.517 16.118 21.399 18.640 9.293 9.347 2.104 1.153 951 2008 3.694.474 1.553.422 2.141.052 184.520 44.625 17.197 27.428 23.906 11.495 12.411 2.997 1.579 1.418 2009 4.792.940 2.581.750 2.211.190 180.042 80.509 99.533 54.376 23.962 30.414 28.702 11.184 17.518 3.871 2.114 1.757 2.609.720 - 2.821.932 8,13% 3.950.522 39,99% 5.059.931 28.08% Source: Ministry of Finance – Treasury Administration Notes: Selected sample represents 5 local governments being the only one to take over the property tax collection in 2007. Also, these 5 local governments took over relevant databases from central tax administration in late August 2007 thus full effect is exhibited in 2008. Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 7 LOCAL GOVERNMENT REVENUES – Structure and trends during the crisis What happened during the crisis? • Total own revenues declined by 10% (real terms) • Specially revenues related to investments, real estate market and income from local assets (land development charge, lease income) • Compensation of losses through more aggressive administration of local taxes, fees and charges • Property tax revenues and revenues from land use charge increased by 15% and 18%, respectively • “Notorious” business sign fee revenues declined by 1% • Wage tax (local share of 40% collected) was most stable local revenue during the crisis Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 8 STRUCTURE OF LG OWN REVENUES 2007 -2009 (in 2009 RSD, inflation adjusted), in 000 Self-Contribution Fee PROPERTY TAX* of which Physical Persons Legal Entities Communal Fees and Charges and other local income Business Sign Fee LAND USE CHARGE Land Lease Fee and Lease Income Land Development Charge Fines, Penalties, Interest and Dividends Total own revenues OWN REVENUES as a % of total 2007 1,895 7,989 3,576 4,414 2009 % Change 2,047 8% 9,148 15% 4,387 23% 4,761 8% 11,178 3,280 9,733 9,437 24,698 2,213 70,425 37% 12,369 3,261 11,439 7,099 15,124 2,565 63,052 40% 11% -1% 18% -25% -39% 16% -10% Source of data: Treasury Administration, Ministry of Finance Prepared by: Anthony Levitas - Sharing the burden statistical brief, 2010. Exchange rate on October 8, 2010: 1 EUR = 105.9 RSD Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 9 STRUCTURE OF LG REVENUES 2007-2009 Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 10 STRUCTURE OF LG EXPENDITURES BY FUNCTION: 2007 and 2009 (in 000, 2009 RSD) 2007 2,3,7 Defense, Safety, Health 5 Environment 0 Social Protection 8 Sport 9 Secondary Education 6 Housing 9 Primary Education 8 Culture 9 Preschools 4 Economic Activity 4 Transport and Road 1 General Services 6 Community development TOTAL Source of data: Treasury Administration, Ministry of Finance 2,094,594 3,651,918 6,583,703 5,161,065 5,611,134 8,502,126 10,390,510 12,375,479 12,673,965 14,051,464 31,880,677 40,949,003 48,164,290 202,089,935 Prepared by: Anthony Levitas, Sharing the burden statistical brief, 2010. Exchange rate on October 8, 2010: 1 EUR = 105.9 RSD Note: numbers in front of the functions represent coding of functional classification Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 % of Total 1% 2% 3% 3% 3% 4% 5% 6% 6% 7% 16% 20% 24% 100% 2009 1,452,254 4,242,111 8,174,937 6,117,118 3,854,593 7,339,756 8,716,929 11,221,516 16,177,759 10,261,512 22,769,877 36,787,811 38,045,743 175,161,921 % of Total 1% 2% 5% 3% 2% 4% 5% 6% 9% 6% 13% 21% 22% 100% % Change -31% 16% 24% 19% -31% -14% -16% -9% 28% -27% -29% -10% -21% -13% 11 LOCAL GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES What happened during the crisis? • Significant fall of investment spending by 16% • Reduced capital and operating subsidies to PUC and local communities (MZ) • PUCs running large amounts of payment arrears • Functions: steep decline in community development (-21%), transport and roads (-29%) and general economic activity (-29%) • Functions: preschools increase (28%), social protection (24%) • Share of investments in overall expenditures fell from 39% in 2007 to 29% in 2009 • Rapid growth of payment arrears on the local level Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 12 Outstanding payment arrears of LGs, public utility companies (PUCs) established by LGs and institutions and organizations founded by LGs on December 31, 2008, in 000 RSD To Oil Industry of Serbia (NIS) – fuels, petroleum To State Public Company “Srbijagas” – supplier of natural gas for heating 97.276 15.049 5.136 733.125 446.284 1.296.872 709.757 465.957 897.211 5.549.629 1.048.937 8.671.493 60.116 13.061 1.234.447 217.058 1.638.094 To State Public Company (EPS) – electric power 1. City / Municipal administration 2. PUCs 3. Institutions and organizations (including schools) 113.409 To other suppliers and service providers (construction companies) TOTAL (1 + 2 + 3) Source: Standing Conference of Towns and Municipalities, survey, 2010 Exchange rate on October 8, 2010: 1 EUR = 105.9 RSD Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 Other (to employees, etc) Total 11.606.460 13 Outstanding payment arrears of lGS, public utility companies (PUCs) established by LGs and institutions and organizations founded by LGs, on April 30, 2010, in 000 RSD To State Public Company (EPS) – electric power 1. City / Municipal administration 2. PUCs 3. Institutions and organizations (including schools) To State To Oil Public Industry of Company Serbia (NIS) “Srbijagas” – fuels, – supplier of petroleum natural gas for heating To other suppliers and service providers (construction companies) Other (to employees, etc) Total 208.711 10.849 14.216 2.079.206 522.294 2.835.277 1.060.525 467.357 2.524.579 5.813.831 1.697.901 11.564.196 209.545 51.048 52.288 1.800.066 412.810 2.525.759 TOTAL (1 + 2 + 3) Source: Standing Conference of Towns and Municipalities, survey, 2010 Exchange rate on October 8, 2010: 1 EUR = 105.9 RSD Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 16,925,233 14 LONG TERM LGs BORROWING 2006 - 2009 (in 000 RSD) Source: Public Debt Administration, Ministry of Finance 2006 TOTAL AMOUNT AMOUNT PAID OFF OUTSTANDING DEBT OUTSTANDING DEBT GROWTH (%, nominal) Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 2008 2009 27,016,111 36,136,906 46,720,706 1,293,936 4,689,781 5,507,318 25,718,823 31,447,125 41,213,388 22% 31% 15 WHAT HAS TO BE DONE ON THE POLICY LEVEL? • Need to intensify the dialogue between the National Government and local governments • Strengthening the role of Intergovernmental Finance Commission • Restoring transfers up to the amount existing before the crises • If not restoring, then redefining allocation formula • Reconsidering formula for equalization transfer • Revenue capacity and standards for expenditures? Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 16 WHAT HAS TO BE DONE ON THE POLICY LEVEL? • Improvement of legal framework and administrative procedures for property tax • Lifting caps (ceilings) on utility prices and bringing them to full cost recovery level • Regulatory regime for efficient and better quality service provision of local utilities • Benchmarking the public services of local governments (Ministry of finance & Standing Conference of Towns and Municipalities) Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 17 WHAT HAS TO BE DONE BY LGs THEMSELVES? • Improvement of administration and collection of own revenues • Reduction of operating costs • Improvement of asset management • Prudent use of debt and to maintain investment efforts • Considering alternative ways for capital finance (PPP, municipal bonds) Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 18 MAYORS MARCHING ON THE NATIONAL GOVERNMENT IN BELGRADE: RESTORE THE LAW! October 8, 2010 Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 19 MAYORS MARCHING ON THE NATIONAL GOVERNMENT IN BELGRADE: RESTORE THE LAW! October 8, 2010 Strasbourg, October 11-12, 2010 20