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TABLE OF CONTENTS PROBABILITY THEORY Lecture – 1 Lecture – 2 Lecture – 3 Lecture – 4 Lecture – 5 Lecture – 6 Lecture – 7 Lecture – 8 Lecture – 9 Lecture – 10 Lecture – 11 Lecture – 12 Lecture – 13 Basics Independence and Bernoulli Trials Random Variables Binomial Random Variable Applications, Conditional Probability Density Function and Stirling’s Formula. Function of a Random Variable Mean, Variance, Moments and Characteristic Functions Two Random Variables One Function of Two Random Variables Two Functions of Two Random Variables Joint Moments and Joint Characteristic Functions Conditional Density Functions and Conditional Expected Values Principles of Parameter Estimation The Weak Law and the Strong Law of Large numbers 1 STOCHASTIC PROCESSES Lecture – 14 Lecture – 15 Lecture – 16 Lecture – 17 Lecture – 18 Lecture – 19 Lecture – 20 Stochastic Processes - Introduction Poisson Processes Mean Square Estimation Long Term Trends and Hurst Phenomena Kalman Filters Power Spectrum and its Estimation Series Representation of Stochastic Processes Extinction Probability for Queues and Martingales Note: These lecture notes are revised periodically with new materials and examples added from time to time. Lectures 1 11 are used at Polytechnic for a first level graduate course on “Probability theory and Random Variables”. Parts of lectures 14 19 are used at Polytechnic for a “Stochastic Processes” course. These notes are intended for unlimited worldwide use. However the user must acknowledge the present website www.mhhe.com/papoulis as the source of information. Any feedback may be addressed to [email protected] 2 Participants Andrea Pisculli <[email protected]>, Antonio Agresta <[email protected]>, David Sassun <[email protected]>, Federico Bunkheila <[email protected]>, Giovanna Gargiulo <[email protected]>, Marco Leonardi <[email protected]>, Melissa Arras <[email protected]>, Paolo D'Addio <[email protected]>, Tanya Scalia <[email protected]>, Alessandro Longo <[email protected]>, Fabio Marra <[email protected]>, Gianluca Facchini <[email protected]>, Marzia Parisi <[email protected]>, Stefania Gemma <[email protected]>, Giacomo Rossi <[email protected]>, Marco Eugeni <[email protected]>, Michele Pasquali <[email protected]> Marco Gregnanin <[email protected]> 3