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**Note: This syllabus is being resubmitted to reflect changes in textbook resources. The primary textbook was changed from the third edition to the fourth edition. The previous syllabus number was 1098396v1. AP Statistics Syllabus The course is taught through activities, demonstrations, and discussion among students on a 90-day block schedule. The focus lies on statistical understanding and effective communication. Students are grouped together on the first day of the course. These groups change several times throughout the semester. Students are given reading guides and are expected to read the material before coming to class. During class time, clarification takes place through teacher-student interaction, student to student discussion, relevant activities, and practice exercises. Primary Textbook: Starnes, Daren, Yates, Dan, and Moore, David. The Practice of Statistics. 4th edition; New York, NY: W. H. Freeman and Company, 2010. Supplemental Resources: Allwood, Michael. Mutliple Choice & Free-Response Questions in Preparation for the AP Statistics Examination. Brooklyn NY: D & S Marketing Systems, 2012. Scheaffer, Richard L., et al. Activity Based Statistics. 2nd edition; Emeryville, CA: Key College Publishing, 2004. Moore, David S. Statistics: Decisions Through Data. Lexington, MA: COMAP, Inc., 1993. (Videocassettes) Annenberg/CPB. Against All Odds: Inside Statistics. 26 30-min. Washington, D.C.: The Annenberg/CPB Collection, 1989. (streamed from Internet via http://www.learner.org ) Bock, David E., Paul F. Velleman and Richard D. DeVeaux. Stats: Modeling the World. 3rd edition; Boston: Pearson/Addison-Wesley, 2009. Clements, C. Exploring Statistics with Fathom, Version 2. Emeryville, CA: Key Curriculum Press, 2007 Rossman, Allan J., Chance, Beth L., and Lock, Robin H. Workshop Statistics: Discovery with Data and Fathom. Emeryville, CA: Key College Publishing, 2002. Hinders, Duane. 5 Steps to a 5: AP Statistics. New York, NY: The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., 2004. Molesky, Jason. Strive for a 5: Preparing for the AP Statistics Examination. New York, NY: W. H. Freeman and Company, 2012. Technology: Students are expected to have a calculator with statistical functionality, such as the TI-83, 84, 89, or Nspire, to use for all homework and assessments throughout the course. In the classroom, a TIemulator and a SmartBoard Interactive White Board are used on a daily basis. A variety of online Java applets, PowerPoint demonstrations, and websites are used to illustrate course content. Students are also exposed to computer output from Minitab, JMP, and Fathom when applicable. All students have access to laptop computers which have Fathom statistical software loaded for use in class. Lastly, students will have access to download Fathom software for home use. Projects: Students are assigned small projects throughout the semester, denoted as Special Problems, to help assess understanding, connection, and application of statistical concepts. A culminating project is due after the AP Exam. Students are to prepare a written report for each which includes the following sections: Introduction: where the problem and investigation will be described Analysis: where the data is looked at both numerically and graphically utilizing some form of technology Conclusions: where the findings of the investigation are summarized and the questions are answered Sample Project: “Did Starnes Stack His Class? – Comparing Distributions” “Wording Matters – Response Bias” Final Project: Getting Started: Choose two similar products to test Decide what question you are answering Formulate null and alternative hypotheses Create a method of tracking consumer preferences Collect data Your presentation should include the following: Your data collection method, including a discussion of potential bias Exploratory data analysis with appropriate graphical and numerical summaries Statistical inference, including appropriate hypothesis test and corresponding confidence interval Summary and conclusion, including potential risks to the validity of your results Other Requirements Your presentation should contain no more than 10 slides, including title page. Slides should contain only talking points and work required for specific calculations, rather than sentences and paragraphs of information Comment [WMY1]: Added details to meet the requirements of Component 6 Course Outline Key: HW—Homework Problems A—Activity APFRQ—AP Free Response Questions AAO-Against All Odds Video Series SP—Special Problems from Resource Binder V—Video WS—Workshop Statistics Unit (Time Period) Chapter 4 Topics Assignments/Activities Designing Studies (8 days) Chapter 1 (6 days) Methods of data collection: surveys, census, experiment vs. observational study Types of sampling: voluntary response, convenience, simple random sampling, stratified random sampling Sources and types of bias in surveys— wording, undercoverage, and response bias Population vs. samples, and random selection Characteristics of a well-designed and wellconducted survey Characteristics of a well-designed and wellconducted experiment Treatments, control groups, random assignments, replication Completely randomized designs Randomized block designs, including matched pairs Sources of bias and confounding (lurking variables), Importance of placebo effect, blinding Experiment Simulations Exploring Data Display and interpret graphical displays of data using histograms, dotplots, stem & leaf plots, and boxplots Summarize univariate data in terms of shape, clusters and gaps, center (mean, median), spread (range, interquartile V: AAO, Units 14-17 A: “Random Rectangles” (Choosing a Representative Sample, ESF) A: “Sit or Stand” (Comparative Experiment Design, ESF) A: Gummy Bears in Space (Blocking, ESF) APFRQ: 2007B #3, 2014 #4 HW: 1-11 (odd), 17-25(odd), 27-29, 31-35(odd), 37-42, 45-55(odd), 57, 6389(odd), 91-98, 102-108, SP: “Did Starnes Stack His Class?” A: “V is for Variation” (ABS) APFRQ: 2012 #3, 2014 #1(a,b) V: DTD Unit 1, AAO, Units 26,13 TI-83 ES, Activities 1-4 A: “How do the Colors Vary” range, standard deviation) Compare distributions of data in terms of shapes, clusters and gaps, outliers, center, and spread Relationships between categorical data Marginal and joint frequencies for two-way tables Conditional relative frequencies (segmented bar charts) Calculator techniques for the TI83/84/89/NSPIRE Chapter 2 Modeling Distributions of Data (6 days) Properties of density curves Properties of the normal distribution Standard normal distribution Standard normal calculations (z-scores) Assess normality through normal probability plots Calculator techniques for the TI83/84/89/NSPIRE V: AAO, Units 7-9 APFRQ: 2008, #1, 2011, #1 HW: 1, 5, 9-15(odd), 1923(odd), 31, 33-38, 4159(odd), 63, 65, 66, 68-74 A: Fathom Lab: “Was Leonardo Correct” (LSRL, ESF) V: AAO, Units 10-12 SP: “Olympic Men’s Long Jump” TI-83 ES, Activities 5, 7, 8, 11, 12 A: “Matching Scatterplots to Regression Equations” (ABS) APFRQ: 2012 #1, 2014 #6 HW: 1, 5, 7, 11, 13, 14-18, 21, 26, 27-32, 35-53(odd), 54, 56, 58-61,63, 65, 68, 69, 71-78 Chapter 3 Examining Relationships (6 days) Analyze patterns in scatterplots Correlation and linearity Least squares regression line as a model (extrapolation) Residual plots, outliers, and influential points, coefficient of determination Calculator techniques for the TI83/84/89/Nspire Chapter 5 Probability: What are the Chances? (6 days) Random phenomenon Probability models, event, probability rules, finite sample space Independent events (variability with M & M colors) A: Comparing & Matching Plots (ABS) HW: 1-7(odd), 8, 11-25(odd), 27-32, 37-47(odd), 5359(odd), 60, 60-74, 7983(odd), 87-97(odd), 103, 105, 107-110 V: AAO, Units 18-19 A: “Do You Have Cooties?” A: “Poker Probabilities” A: “Simulations” Probability Review Packet Mutually exclusive events Addition & Multiplication Rules Conditional Probabilities Probability Simulations Chapter 6 Random Variables (7 days) Chapter 7 (5 days) Discrete random variables and their probability distributions Law of large numbers Mean and standard deviation of a random variable Mean and standard deviation for sums and differences of random variables Settings for binomial and geometric distributions Calculator techniques for the TI83/84/89/NSPIRE Sampling Distributions Sampling distributions Sampling variability Describing distributions Bias vs. variability Sample Proportions Sample Means Central Limit Theorem Simulation of sampling distribution APFRQ: 2003B #2, 2009B #2 HW: 1, 3, 7, 9, 11, 15, 17, 19, 23-31(odd), 32-36, 4355(odd), 57-60, 6369(odd), 73-99(odd) V: AAO, Units 20-21 A: Activity 6 (T) HW: “Random Variables” WS HW: “Binomial & Geometric Distributions” WS APFRQ: 2013 #3, 2010 #4 HW: 1, 5, 7, 9, 13, 14, 18, 19, 23, 25, 27-30, 37, 39-41, 43, 45, 49, 51, 57-59, 6189(odd), 93-99(odd), 101103 Calculate and interpret confidence intervals Margin of error Choosing sample size The t-distribution (degrees of freedom) Single sample t-procedures (conditions) for confidence intervals and significance testing Matched pairs t-procedures Robustness Chapter 8 Estimating with Confidence (6 days) A: Activity 7A (T) A: “German Tank Problem” V: AAO, Unit 22 A: Sampling Goldfish APFRQ: 2010 #2, HW: 1-13(odd), 17-20, 21-24, 27, 29, 33, 35, 37, 41, 4336, 49-63(odd), 65-68 A: Activity : “A Little Tacky” V: AAO, Unit 24 A: TI-83 Power Demonstration SP: “Pineapple Problem” APFRQ: 2010 #3, 2013 #1 HW: 5-13(odd), 17, 19-24, 27, 31-37(odd), 41, 43, 47, 49-52, 55, 59, 63, 65, 67, 71, 73, 75-78 Calculator techniques for the TI83/84/89/NSPIRE Chapter 9 Testing a Claim (4 days) Logic of significance testing: null and alternative hypotheses, test statistic, pvalue, statistical significance, interpretations, and conclusions Fixed levels of significance t-test for population mean z-test for population proportion Type I and Type II error Power of a test Calculator techniques for the TI83/84/89/NSPIRE Chapter 10 Comparing Two Populations or Groups (4 days) Chapter 11 (3 days) Chapter 12 2-sample t-procedures (conditions) for confidence intervals and significance testing Z-procedure (conditions) for population proportion (single sample and 2 sample) Estimating sample size Inference for Tables 2 test for goodness of fit and independence Degrees of freedom Simulation using 2 procedures Calculator techniques for the TI83/84/89/NSPIRE/Nspire Inference for Regression & Nonlinear Regression (4 days) The regression model Assumptions for regression inference Confidence intervals and significance testing for the slope and regression model Nonlinear regression models V: AAO, Units 25-26 APFRQ: 2012 #5, 201 HW: 1-15(odd), 19-25(odd), 27-30, 41-55(odd), 57-60, 71, 73 V: AAO, Unit 27 APFRQ: 2014 #5 HW: 1-17(odd), 12, 23, 2932, 35-45(odd), 51, 53, 57, 59, 65, 67-70 A: Activity: “I Don’t Have Enough Blues” APFRQ: 2010 #6 HW: 1-11(odd), 17, 19-22, 27-35(odd), 43, 45, 49, 51, 53-58 A: Activity: Balloons in Flight APFRQ: 2014 #6, 2010B #6 HW: 1-19(odd), 21-26, 3341(odd), 45-48 AP Exam Review Model Exams from various resources Released Exams from College Board (10 days) After the Exam (2 days) Additional topics—ANOVA (time permitting) Final Project and Presentations