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The Value of Environmental Goods and Services in KZN Steve McKean [email protected] Debbie Jewitt Joe Phadima Myles Mander Ezemvelo KZN Wildlife Introduction to Natural Capital and Ecosystem Services: Some background. The 4 capitals….. • Built capital is the infrastructure (buildings, roads, houses, etc.) that make up the material structure of human society. • Human capital is the physical bodies of individual humans, their health and education, and the information stored in their brains. • Social capital is the web of interpersonal connections, institutional arrangements, rules and norms that facilitate human interactions. • Natural capital is the land and the resources it contains, including ecological systems and services. Capitals and their connections Nature: Ecosystem services, biodiversity, Water Nature destabilizes economy (e.g. peak oil or climate change) Economy: (Fixed) Capital Production Trade Society: Welfare & Rights Intellectual & Social Capital Institutions Governance: Transparency Contracts & Accountability Standards & Laws Economy destabilizes nature (e.g. greenhouse gas or pollution) Business as usual – natural environment is infinite... Growing Economy and society Energy and Resources Separate from environment Free of biophysical constraints Infinite environment Source of resources Wastes Sink for wastes Emerging economic realisation – natural environment is FINITE... Growing a Greener Economy Energy and Resources Source of renewable resources Adding value to the environment Optimizing scarce resources Finite Environment Wastes Source of ecosystem services A safe operating space for humanity. Nature 461:472-475 Operating outside the safe space at the local scale. • Water quality trends in Albert Falls Dam (1999-2009): 132% increase in Phosphorus; 215% increase in chlorophyll ‘a’ • Water quality trends in Nagle Dam (1999-2009): 668% increase in TP; 738% increase in chlorophyll ‘a’ • The limitations of built infrastructure: 28 out of 800 waste water works operating with acceptable standards means huge reliance on natural capital to supply services Operating outside the safe space HEADLINES. • Flood costs KZN R715m – 25th January 2011 • KZN storm damage hits R40m – 18th Feb 2010 • R617m for KZN flood damage – 28th January 2009 • Storms, floods, tornadoes and weather conditions never seen in KwaZulu-Natal before cost the provincial government close to R4-billion in 2007. GREEN INFRASTRUCTURE AND ECOSYSTEM SERVICES: THE BENEFITS PEOPLE DERIVE FROM NATURE . Why value ecosystem goods and services? • Inadequate political and economic support as the full value to society is not recognised – failure to recognise economic value of natural systems underlie their decline. • Need for full roles and values of natural areas in society to be valued and explained in relevant terms. • Need a compelling economic case for biodiversity and ecosystem conservation. Hence, KZN Wildlife conducted a study in 2011 to determine the economic value of the essential services provides by biodiversity Biodiversity is the “engine” which produces services to society which society often takes for granted. Habitat types of KZN D Jewitt So what are these services worth? • The overall value of ecosystems services is calculated at R149.6 billion per year • To put the figures in perspective; 2011 R 250,000 R 204,000 Millions R 200,000 R 149,671 R 150,000 R 100,000 R 50,000 R- R 70,000 Provincial Finance Budget KZN GDP Ecosystem services value Ecosystem service value from different habitat types Grasslands, with services such as soil erosion prevention, grazing, flood damage reduction.. R11.4 billion Wetlands, with services such as flood reduction, water purification. R38.4 billion ( Forests, with services such as carbon sequestration. Estuaries with services such as fish and prawn nurseries. R2.9 billion R10.8 billion Rivers, with.services such Floodplains, with services as water supply, water purification. such as water quality management. R18.7 billion R43.5 billion Savannas, with services Rocky shores and beaches with services such such as fuelwood provision, grazing. as sea food and recreation. R19 billion R275 million Vegetated dunes, with services such as the protection of beach properties from coastal storms. Reefs, with services such as tourism. R596 million R4.2 billion EZEMVELO’s MANDATE Biodiversity Conservation and EcoTourism EZEMVELO’s MISSION T o ensure effective conservation and sustainable use of KwaZulu-Natal’s biodiversity in collaboration with stakeholders for the benefit of present and future generations Both inside and outside protected areas What does that mean in real terms? Biodiversity offers R150 billion worth of services Ezemvelo is given a budget of R512 million to conserve biodiversity The return on this is R292.36 for every R1 invested by the province in Ezemvelo (with contributions from other relevant organisations) What other investment by government provides a return of this magnitude? This value could also be taken as the amount that Treasury would have to fund should there be no ecosystems services provided Millions Important to reverse this trend of value loss through: rehabilitation, prevent transformation of pristine habitats, effective management and expand protected area estate R 250,000 R 200,000 R 204,000 R 150,000 R 100,000 R 70,000 R 149,671 R 56,634 R 50,000 Value in KZN Pr ov in cia l F in an ce B ud Ec ge os t ys K te ZN m G s e DP rv ic e s v Pr al ot ue ec te d Ar ea s R ‐ Just over 8% of KZN is protected, yet protected areas account for a large proportion of the value of services provided PROJECTED LOSS OF SERVICE VALUE DUE TO TRANSFORMATION OF NATURAL ASSETS 100 Natural Area Remaining in KZN (%) 90 80 1994 Connectivity Threshold 70 2000 2005 60 2008 Persistence Threshold 50 40 Fragmentation Threshold 30 20 10 0 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 2030 2034 2038 2042 2046 2050 Year TOTAL SERVICES 2011 2021 2031 PROVIDED BY R 149 billion R 132 billion R 89 billion BIODIVERSITY Consequences of loss? Some examples • Alien plants reduce water supply by 7% already…..predicted to increase to 21% in 20 years. - Mvoti-Mzimkulu water management area – current loss = 126 million m3 - projected to grow to 420 3 . million m - Replacement infrastructure - Spring Grove Dam 142 million m3 - at a cost of R2.1 billion • Reduction in the efficiency of built infrastructure due to sedimentation • Umzimvubu produces 5 million m3 pa due to degradation – a Spring Grove dam would take 28 years to become filled with sediment Consequences of loss? more examples • • • What would it cost rural households to replace fuel wood with paraffin for cooking and heating? What would it cost province to supply rural households with water, reticulated sewage systems, build only with commercially available building materials……etc? What would be the cost of only formal jobs in industry to replace current jobs associated with agriculture and tourism? . • If natural assets not managed, government would need to find R150 billion to substitute the services which ecosystem goods and services currently provide to maintain CURRENT livelihoods Way forward…….. Product improvement: - Finer scale - Value ecosystem services of land cover types and areas in varying . condition. E.g. PSED – Provincial Strategic Economic Strategy - Incorporating “ecosystem disservices” (e.g. acid mine drainage, car parks etc) Way forward…….. Planning: - All scales but hierarchical - National, provincial, district municipalities, local municipalities e.g. PGDS – Provincial Growth and Development Strategy. - The full value of biodiversity must be recognised by economists in order to make balanced decisions. - Many different products from different sources, done in different ways – could create confusion amongst users! Thank you!