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Cancer Biomarkers : Opportunities and Challenges TCOS, Shanghai, May 20 2010 Ann-Lii Cheng M.D., Ph.D. Department of Oncology and Department of Internal Medicine, National Taiwan University Hospital; Taipei, Taiwan. Cancer Biomarkers - the opportunities • A new era in which physicians no longer make treatment choices that are based on population-based statistics but rather on the specific characteristics of individual patients and their tumors. Dalton W Science 2006 First-line study of gefitinib vs carboplatin / paclitaxel in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (IPASS) EGFR wild-type EGFR mutation-positive Gefitinib (n=132) Carboplatin/paclitaxel (n=129) Gefitinib (n=91) Carboplatin/paclitaxel (n=85) 1.0 HR (95% CI) = 0.48 (0.36, 0.64) p<0.0001 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 Probability of PFS Probability of PFS 1.0 HR (95% CI) = 2.85 (2.05, 3.98) p<0.0001 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 At risk: Gefitinib 132 129 C/P 4 8 108 103 71 37 12 16 Months 31 7 11 2 20 24 0 4 8 3 1 0 0 91 85 21 58 4 14 12 16 Months 2 1 1 0 20 24 0 0 0 0 Mok et. al. ESMO 2008 First-line treatment of mCRC with FOLFOX cetuximab (OPUS Study) Kaplan-Meier estimate K-Ras mutant K-Ras wild-type 1.0 Cetuximab + FOLFOX 1.0 FOLFOX 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 HR=1.83; p=0.0192 FOLFOX: 8.6 m Cetuximab + FOLFOX: 5.5 m 0 0.2 Cetuximab + FOLFOX FOLFOX HR=0.57; p=0.016 FOLFOX: 7.2 m Cetuximab + FOLFOX: 7.7 m 0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Progression-free time (months) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 Progression-free time (months) Bokemeyer C, et al. JCO 2009 Cancer Biomarkers - the challenges • Clinically a must in an increasing number Non-Small cell lung cancer of cancer types. Colorectal cancer Breast cancer • Cost, workload, and workflow. Gastric cancer cell carcinoma • Technic issues – reliabilityRenal of methods GI stromal tumor Leukemia • Ethnic and geographic issuesLymphoma – how far can data be extrapolated fromMelanoma area to Basal cell carcinoma area ? Medulloblastoma ………… Reliability of Biomarkers on Surgically Resected Tumor Specimens 1. Ischemia during operation – unknown in most specimens 2. Unknown processing of specimens Warm ischemia Specimen aging Comparison of Biopsy vs. Hepatectomy HCC Tissues Study design: • 46 paired HCC tissues (‘03~’08) – Biopsy taken within 3 months before hepatectomy – Hepatectomy • IHC studies: – p-Akt (S473): rabbit antibody (Santa Cruz) – p-ERK1/2 (T202/Y204): rabbit antibody (Santa Cruz) ~ Shao YY et al: AACR 2010, Abstract 3759. Comparison of Biopsy vs. Hepatectomy HCC Tissues • Poor correlation • Higher expression in biopsy tissues phospho-ERK phospho-Akt ~ Shao YY et al: AACR 2010, Abstract 3759. p-ERK Biopsy tissue Hepatectomy tissue Tissue Ischemia Affects Gene Expression within Minutes Following CRC Excision ─ Microarray analysis Spruessel A, et al. BioTechniques 2004;36:1030-1037 Tissue Ischemia Affects Protein Expression within Minutes Following CRC Excision ─ SELDI-TOF MS analysis Spruessel A, et al. BioTechniques 2004;36:1030-1037 Slide Aging Affects Immunohistochemistry HER2 ER E-Cadherin Mirlacher M, et al. Mod Pathol, 2004;17:1414-1420 Slide Aging Affects Immunohistochemistry Figure 2. Influence of slide aging on the fraction of positive cases. For each antibody, the frequency of positive cases is shown as separate bars for old (O) and fresh (F) sections. Mirlacher M, et al. Mod Pathol, 2004;17:1414-1420 Slide Aging Affect p53 Immunostaining of Breast Cancer Tissues Jacob TW et al J, Natl Cancer Inst 1996;88:1054-09 The Problems of Genomic Biomarkers - minimal reproducibility • Numerous gene signatures have been reported. • Only marginal overlap of reports – poor study design lack of a standard technology platform different ways of tumor collection different statistical methods • Only few validated into clinic practice. Dalton W. science 2006;312:1165-8 Toward Robust Genomic Biomarkers • • • • • Share samples Common technology platform Ask similar questions Use similar criteria for patient enrollment Partnership among academic groups, pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies, as well as government agencies. Dalton W. Science 2006;312:1165-8 Challenges of Cancer Biomarkers - ethnic and geographic issues - East vs West Lung cancer Breast cancer Hepatocelluar carcinoma Importance of Ethnicity for MTT ─ the lessons of ISEL trial Proportion surviving Asian (n=342) Non-Asian (n=1350) 1.0 Gefitinib Placebo 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 0 2 Time (months) 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 EGFR mutation rates in each subgroup AdenoCa (+BAC) (%) M (%) F (%) Study Centre No. of patients Taiwan1 NTUH 62 49 25 61 29 56 Taiwan2 VGH-T 37 67.4 52 72 44 69 Korea3 Seoul NU 90 21 9 33 13 26 Japan4 NCC Tokyo 66 61 53 69 35 68 Japan5 Aichi CCH 59 64 44 70 42 71 HK6 Chinese U 72 32 — — — — China7 Pek UMCH 76 48.6 32.3 34.8 — — Italy8* U Chieti 375 10 6 30 7 25 1. 2. 3. 4. Shih et al, IJC 2005 Chou et al, CCR 2005 Han et al, JCO 2005 Takano et al, JCO 2005 *only AdenoCa 5. 6. 7. 8. Mitsudomi et al, JCO 2005 Lung et al, PAACR 2005 Mu et al, CCR 2005 Machetti et al, JCO 2005 Smoker s (%) n-smokers (%) EGFR Mutations in NSCLC Patients Born or Domiciled in the USA • Other ethnicities 14/159 (9%) • East Asians 12/22 (55%) Adi Gazdar, 2005 Ethnic Difference in Mutational Pattern of Lung Adenocarcinoma East Asians EGFR mutation KRAS mutation Other Countries EGFR mutation KRAS mutation EML4-ALK BRAF mutation HER2 mutataion PIK3CA MET amplification MEK1 mutation Unknown EGFR mutation KRAS mutation Trends in Breast Cancer Incidence • Incidence of breast cancer has been increasing around the world including Latina America, Middle East and Asia – Incidence now stabilizing in some Western populations – Incidence continues to increase in many Asian populations Country Japan (Miyagima) Japan (Osaka) Singapore (Chinese) China (Shanghai) Incidence 1973–77 17.5 12.7 21.9 19.6 Incidence 1993–97 34.4 28.7 45.9 27.2 % Increase 97 126 110 39 Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (Vol. IV, VIII) Katanoda et al, Jpn J Clin Oncol. 2007 Aug;37(8):638-9 Age-specific Breast Cancer Incidence in Taiwan 600.0 500.0 American Caucasion 400.0 台灣1994 300.0 台灣1998 台灣2002 200.0 台灣2005 100.0 0.0 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85+ 年齡 Comparison of Molecular Subtypes between American and Taiwanese Population (study period, y) Patient no. USA (1993-1996) 496 African American 196 Luminal A Luminal B HER2+/ER- Basal-like Unclassified (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) Premenopausal 97 36 9 9 39 6 Postmenopausal 99 59 16 7 14 4 Non-African American 300 Premenopausal 164 51 18 6 16 10 Postmenopausal 136 58 16 6 16 4 Taiwan (2004-2006) 1028 ≦50 y 515 66 11 10 9 4 >50 y 513 56 8 14 17 6 High frequency of ER expression in Taiwanese YFBC: validated by Taiwan Cancer Database TCDB (n=3899) <35 35-49 ≧50 P value ER+ 194 (63) 1837 (66) 1868 (57) <0.001 ER- 114 (37) 927 (34) 1399 (43) PR+ 160 (52) 1744 (63) 1596 (49) PR- 148(48) 1020 (37) 1671 (51) <0.001 Taiwan Cancer DataBase 2005 Time Trend of Increase Frequency of ER expressions in Young Breast Cancer at NTUH 100 1st cohort 2nd cohort 90 (1992-2000) (2004-2006) 80 70 74 75 60 50 54 62 58 61 40 30 20 10 0 <36 36-50 >50 Preliminary data ER expression : a poor prognostic factor for DFS among very young patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy alone in Western Countries IBCSG data Lancet 2000 ER expression : a favorable prognostic factor for OS among very young (<35y) patients in Taiwan 178 very young (<35 years) breast cancer patients diagnosed at NTUH in 1997-2006 Proceeding ASCO 2009 Hepatocellular Carcinoma — Distinct Geographic Distribution Europe and United States (%) Risk Factors Estimate Range Japan (%) Estimate Range Asia and Africa (%) Estimate Range Hepatitis B virus 22 4~-58 20 18~-44 60 40~90 Hepatitis C virus 60 12~72 63 48~94 20 9~56 Alcohol 45 8~57 20 15~33 --- 11~41 Tobacco 12 0~14 40 9~51 22 --- Oral contraceptives --- 10~50 --- --- 8 --- Aflatoxin Other and emerging risk factors/cofactors Limited exposure <5 --- Limited exposure --- --- Important exposure <5 --- Bosch FX et al. Gastroenterology 2004;127:S5-16. Viral Proteins And Signal Transduction Pathways Toxins, other stress Growth factor receptor Cytokine receptor HBx AKT Pre-S mutant IkB IKK RAS GRB2 Src PTEN HCV core SHC SOS1 Raf PKC MEK IkB NFKB NFKB Cell survival Angiogenesis Metastasis Cell cycle Cell survival Metabolism DNA damage HBx GSK3 Forkhead HBx Protein degradation PI3K SHP2 SHP2 ER stress Proteasome HBx Wnt Axin mTOR BAD ERK APC β-catenin Cell cycle Protein translation Nutrient response Cell survival Metabolism Cell cycle Cell survival Cell cycle Angiogenesis Metastasis : Dys-regulated in HCC : Targeted agents in clinical development : Targeted agents in pre-clinical development By Hsu C, Shen YC, Cheng AL HCV core Transcriptome classification of HCC G1-group (N=11) G2-group (N=17) Others (N= 92) Over-expression IGF1R Akt p-GSK3β 64% 75% 78% 25% 42% 9% 8% 9% HBV(+) 8 7 22 HCV(+) 3 4 23 ~ Boyault S et al: Hepatol 2007;45:42. based on120 surgically resected HCC, including transcriptome analysis on 57 HCCs and 3 adenomas, and qRT-PCR validation in additional 63 HCCs 31 HBV-related HCC Is HBV-related HCC a more aggressive tumor ? Is HBV-related HCC associated with molecular changes which affect molecular therapy ? HCC ─ East vs West Long-term results after surgical treatment were similar in West and East when clinicopatnologic factors were accounted for. Pawlik TM et al Liver Transplantation 2004;10(suppl 1) 74-80 Taeck D et al Liver Transplantation 2004;10(suppl 1) 58-63 HBV vs. HCV HCC Italian Liver Cancer group • Patients with HBV-HCC tended to have poor prognosis; and the difference became statistically significant among patients with advanced HCC Survival in patients with advanced HCC. HBVHCC patients had a lower survival than HCVHCC patients (p=0.025) ~ Cantarini MC et al: Am J Gastroenterol 2006;101:91-8. HBV vs. HCV HCC in NTUH Survival for patients with advanced ds. • 927 patients receiving supportive care or chemotherapy. Etiology HBV HCV B+C NBNC Median 2.5 3.4 3.4 survival (M) 1 year (%) 12.4 21.7 10.8 3 year (%) 3.4 8.5 3.1 5 year (%) 0.8 2.2 1.5 10 year (%) 0.5 1.1 0 2.6 11.2 3.1 1.0 1.0 HCV+ HBV+ HCV-HCC patients had better survival than HBV-HCC patients Chen CH et al. Eur J Cancer. 2006 Oct;42(15):2524-9. Epub 2006 Aug 22 Sorafenib phase II HCC study HCV- vs. HBV-related HCC HCV+ HBV+ P’t No. 33 13 Median age Race (%) 71 66 Caucasians Clinical benefit (%) 82 75 54 53 6.5 6.5 12.4 3.5 4 7.3 PFS (median, M) TTP (median, M) OS (median, M) P .27 .05 .29 ~ Huitzil-Melendez FD et al: ASCO-2007 GI Symposium Abstract# 173. A retrospective analysis Thalidomide phase II HCC study HCV- vs. HBV-related HCC P’t No. Median age Objective response+ AFP response (%) TTP (median) OS (median) HCV+ HBV+ P 33 67.5 61 53.6 61 < .001 13.1 27.3 14.1 W 8.3 W 32.6 W 21.4 W .09 .03 .08 ~ Hsu C et al: Proc. ASCO 2004: Abs#4198. Conclusions ─ Cancer biomarkers • Provide excellent opportunity for personalized care. • Cost, workload, and workflow remain a problem. • Technic issues should not be overlooked. • Significant ethnic and geographic difference exist. Cancer Biomarkers : Opportunities and Challenges TCOS, Shanghai, May 20 2010