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Applied Statistics / 2015 2015/9/30 LECTURE 3 Manifest sample to population according to the shape. Normal distribution Theoretical concept Mean, median, mode same Infinite magnitude, tail does not touch the baseline Bell-shaped, real world, p399 figure Standard deviation and z-score (standardized scores) z = x-mean/s mean=68, s =10 58=-1, 88=+2 Proportions of normal distribution Standardized z scores: 85 z=1.7, , 58/min z=-1.8 Standardized normal curve Mean of a distribution of z-scores will be zero and standard deviation is 1 34% between 0 and 1, z=±1 68.26%, z=±2 95.45% Determining areas under the normal curve Above 50, z=-1.8, 0.4641, 0.5, 0.9641=96.41% above 80, z=1.2, 11.51% validity: closeness with the normal distribution Test normal assumption, 1. measures of skewness and kurtosis 2. Goodness of Fit test (N<=30, S-W test or N > 30, K-S test) (SPSS: descriptive, explore, plot) Inferential statistics: how groups differences Sample data to unknown population Confidence interval: a range of scores with specific boundaries Unknown population Point estimate, mean, median, mode Interval estimate, CI,95% CI Confidence interval with small sample sample mean and standard error of the mean CI=mean±(z) sx Applied Statistics / 2015 2015/9/30 standard error of the mean (estimate of the population standard deviation), sx=s/√n Figure 18.2 example 95.45 of 100 fall into mean ± 2 sx Mean=40 s=8.8, n=42 sx= 8.8/√42=1.36,figure 18.3, 95% CI t-distribution (n less than 30): smaller samples flatter and wider, as n increases approach the shape of normal curve CI=mean±(t) sx 95% CI, n=18, mean=5, sx=2, t=2.11 for df=17, 95% CI = 5.0±(2.110)(2.0)=(0.78, 9.22) 95% CI, n=31, mean=5, sx=2, t=2.042 for df=17, 95% CI = 5.0±(2.042)(2.0)=(0.916, 9.084) Precise estimate by increasing sample Homework: A population mean = 68 and s = 10, identify the followings 1. identify standardized z-score for 80 beats/min? 2. determining the area above 80 beats/min? 3. Please use data from lecture2homework to calculate mean, standard error, 95% confidence interval for romfl variable. 4. Please use data from lecture2homework to calculate mean, standard error, 95% confidence interval for romabd variable. 5. draw the graph with SPSS and excel.