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netw rks There’s More Online! GRAPHIC ORGANIZER Federal Deficit INFOGRAPHIC The Deficits and the Debt POLITICAL CARTOON Lower Taxes vs. Reduced Deficits VIDEO Lesson 2 Fiscal Policy GAMES ESSENTIAL QUESTION How does government influence the economy and economic institutions? It Matters Because Government spending is an important part of the economy, with lasting effects for all citizens. PHOTO: (tl) Bob Daemmrich/Corbis; (tc) Andre Jenny/Alamy; (tr) Bill Pugliano/Getty Images NGSSS covered in “Surpluses and Deficits” SS.7.E.1.2 Discuss the importance of borrowing and lending in the United States, the government’s role in controlling financial institutions, and list the advantages and disadvantages of using credit. SS.7.E.1.6 Compare the national budget process to the personal budget process. SS.7.E.2.1 Explain how federal, state, and local taxes support the economy as a function of the United States government. LA.7.1.6.1 The student will use new vocabulary that is introduced and taught directly. LA.7.1.7.3 The student will determine the main idea or essential message in grade-level or higher texts through inferring, paraphrasing, summarizing, and identifying relevant details. Reading HELP DESK Surpluses and Defici ts GUIDING QUESTION What do governments do when the budget does not balance? Making a government budget is one thing. Following it is another. A budget, after all, is based on what officials predict, or forecast, will happen in the future. The unexpected can happen, however. An international conflict may break out, which may result in increased spending for defense. If heavy rains strike the Great Plains and cause massive flooding, the federal government will face the cost of helping the people who have homes that are damaged or destroyed. Government officials know that disasters can happen and build funds into the budget to cover them. But what if more or bigger disasters than expected occur? What if a disaster is so terrible that it uses the government’s entire disaster relief fund? What does the government do when, later that year, another crisis strikes? Revenue forecasts can also go wrong. For example, if the economy slows, some workers will lose their jobs. In that case, income tax revenue will be lower than expected. Taking Notes: Cause and Effect As you read, complete a chart to identify the causes and effects of a federal deficit. SS.7.E.1.2 Content Vocabulary Causes Federal Deficit Effects • balanced budget • debt • automatic • budget surplus • fiscal stabilizer • budget deficit policy Lesson 2 613 Balanced—or Unbalanced Some of the federal budget is used to fund education. This money may support programs for teachers, like this one (second from right), and their students. Most governments strive to have a balanced budget, in which revenues and spending for the year equal each other. As you read in Lesson 1, every state except Vermont has to have a balanced budget. States can borrow money to invest in longterm projects but not to fund regular programs. Most states save money during good times so that they have a cushion when revenues fall. States can save money in years in which they have a budget surplus. A budget surplus occurs when a government collects more money than it spends. In another year, if revenues fall, then states can use the reserves they saved to balance the budget. Of course, they also have the option to cut spending. The federal government is different. It is allowed to have a budget deficit , or spend more than it collects in revenues in a fiscal year. To make up the difference, the federal government borrows money by selling bonds or Treasury bills. A government bond is a contract in which the government promises to repay borrowed money with interest at a specific time in the future. Most government bonds are repaid in 10 to 30 years. The government also sells Treasury bills, or T-bills. It promises to repay these in one year or less. ▲ Reading HELP DESK Academic Vocabulary predict to forecast Deficit Becomes Debt Budget deficits create debt because the government is borrowing money to cover some of its spending. Debt is money that has been borrowed and not yet paid back. Each year that the federal government runs a deficit, its total debt goes up. The line graph here shows the level of federal debt in recent years. It illustrates that the federal debt has been rising steadily for many years. If the federal government runs a surplus one year, it can use the extra money to pay down the debt. A budget surplus, then, can cause the federal debt to become smaller. balanced budget an annual budget in which expenditures equal revenues 614 Financing the Government budget surplus a situation that occurs when a government collects more revenues than it spends budget deficit a situation that occurs when a government spends more than it collects in revenue debt money borrowed and not yet paid back PHOTO: Bob Daemmrich/Corbis CRITICAL THINKING Making Connections How would cuts in spending on education affect you? UNITED STATES DEFICITS AND SURPLUSES 400 200 0 IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS -200 -400 -600 -800 -1000 Surplus -1200 Deficit -1400 -1600 -1800 1980 1985 1990 1995 YEARS 2000 2005 2010 UNITED STATES NATIONAL DEBT IN BILLIONS OF DOLLARS 16,000 33.3% 31.3% 12,000 Debt Distribution, 2010 Debt held by government accounts Debt held by foreign investment Debt held by public 35.4% 8,000 4,000 0 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 YEARS Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, Statistical Abstract of the United States I NFOGRAPHIC SKILLS Over the years, the federal government has relied on borrowing to cover spending. As a result, the federal debt has increased rapidly. SS.7.E.1.2 CRITICAL THINKING 1 Analyzing Visuals In which years did the federal government have a budget surplus? 2 Making Inferences How did the federal government respond, in terms of spending, to the recession that began in 2007 and worsened in 2008? How can you tell? Lesson 2 615 Impact of Deficits and the Federal Debt Borrowing by the federal government has several negative effects. First, the yearly interest cost drains the federal budget. As you read in Lesson 1, more than 6 percent of the budget goes to paying interest. As the debt rises and the interest cost goes up, the federal government has less to spend on other programs. More borrowing has another effect. Government bonds are seen as safe ways to invest money, so they are popular. The more money that people invest in bonds, however, the less they have to invest in businesses. Businesses will have less money to grow and to invest in improving productivity. Slow business growth and low productivity cause slow economic growth. Federal borrowing can also drive up interest rates as a result of supply and demand. The more the government borrows, the less money consumers and businesses can borrow. When the supply of credit decreases, its price—the interest rate on loans— goes up. If you take out a loan to buy a car, more government borrowing could result in the loan costing more than it would otherwise. A recent report by the Congressional Research Service points out another problem. If a high level of debt continues for a long time, investors could lose confidence in the government. The government would be forced to borrow at higher interest rates. It might also be forced to cut spending or to sharply raise taxes. PROGRESS CHECK Making Generalizations For the most part, has the federal government had a balanced budget, a surplus, or a deficit over the last two decades? ▲ PHOTO: 2010 Keefe, The Denver Post, and PoliticalCartoons.com Politicians often pledge to both cut taxes and cut the deficit. Cutting taxes without reducing spending increases the deficit, so the first pledge works against the second. CRITICAL THINKING Analyzing Visuals In the cartoon, why does the train have two locomotives pulling in opposite directions? LA.7.1.7.3 Reading HELP DESK Academic Vocabulary achieve to reach 616 Financing the Government fiscal policy how the government uses taxes and spending to reach economic goals During the Great Depression, WPA workers (left) built roads. Such projects were designed to stimulate the economy. Florida’s Daytona Beach Bandshell (above) was also a WPA project. It is still used today to host concerts and weddings. Managing the Economy GUIDING QUESTION How does the government try to influence the economy? For much of U.S. history, the government had a limited economic role. It left most matters to consumers and businesses. Then, in the 1930s, the government’s economic role changed. Franklin Roosevelt became president in 1933. The Great Depression had been going on for nearly four years, and millions of people were suffering. Roosevelt decided that the nation could not wait any longer for the economy to recover. The government had to act. Roosevelt started new government programs to put people back to work. These programs paid people to build schools, post offices, bridges, parks, and more. The new programs helped the economy. Later, when America entered World War II, the economy grew even stronger as people produced supplies for the military. After the war, the economy began to focus on consumer goods. To make sure the nation did not fall back into depression, the government’s economic role grew again. In the late 1940s, Congress passed a law that set the first official economic goals. The three goals were to keep people working, to keep producing goods, and to keep consumers buying goods and services. Two policies aimed to achieve, or reach, these goals. One is a monetary policy handled by the Federal Reserve System. The other is fiscal policy. This refers to how the government uses taxes and spending to reach economic goals. The government spending by President Roosevelt is an example of fiscal policy. ▲ PHOTO: (tl) Bettmann/CORBIS; (inset) Andre Jenny/Alamy CRITICAL THINKING Making Inferences What were two ways that WPA projects helped the country during the Depression? LA.7.1.7.3 NGSSS covered in “Managing the Economy” SS.7.E.1.2 Discuss the importance of borrowing and lending in the United States, the government’s role in controlling financial institutions, and list the advantages and disadvantages of using credit. SS.7.E.2.1 Explain how federal, state, and local taxes support the economy as a function of the United States government. SS.7.C.2.3 Experience the responsibilities of citizens at the local, state, or federal levels. 21st Century SKILLS Interpreting Points of View In 1933, when Roosevelt took office, 25 percent of all workers were out of work. Unemployment brought suffering and sometimes starvation. On the other hand, from the 1920s to the 1940, the number of government workers doubled to more than a million people. Use these facts to write a few sentences in which you argue for or against Roosevelt’s recovery programs. LA.7.1.7.3 Lesson 2 617 Using Fiscal Policy to Achieve Goals The idea behind fiscal policy is simple. If the economy slows down or enters a recession, the government can take certain steps to help the economy grow and become healthy again. Such steps could include increasing spending, cutting taxes, or a combination of the two. Using fiscal policy to boost growth is called stimulating the economy. By boosting spending, the government creates demand for goods and services. That increase in demand could convince businesses to produce more and perhaps to hire back workers they had laid off. Cutting taxes puts more money in people’s pockets. That also can lead to increased demand. A White House Council director meets with a worker at Detroit Edison in Michigan. The government awarded an $83 million grant to this company. It will create jobs by making energy-efficient electric meters for homes. The grant was part of the American Reinvestment and Recovery Act of 2009. ▲ CRITICAL THINKING Making Inferences Why might it be hard for Congress to agree on what programs to fund? Reading HELP DESK Fiscal policy comes with problems, however. Some leaders believe that deficit spending hurts the economy. In 2009 President Barack Obama wanted to boost the economy by increasing spending. Critics protested about the increases to the federal debt. Even when leaders agree to pursue a stimulus program, they may disagree on how much to spend or on which programs should be funded. Supporters of the 2009 bill argued for some time over these questions, resulting in a delay in putting the programs into effect. Fiscal policy can also be slow to take effect. It can sometimes take months for Congress and the president to agree on a spending plan. Then, still more time is needed to put the plan into action. By the time the money is spent, the state of the economy may have changed. Another problem is the difficulty in judging if a stimulus has worked. After the 2009 stimulus package, unemployment was held lower than in some earlier recessions. As a result, many economists agreed that the stimulus package saved jobs. They could not identify exactly how many jobs were saved, though. Finally, the effects of fiscal policy are not entirely predictable. The economy is huge and complex. Any action might not be Reading Strategy: Summarizing To summarize, you find the main idea of a passage and restate it, reducing the number of details. Read about the problems with fiscal policy. On a separate sheet of paper, summarize the reading in one or two sentences. 618 Financing the Government automatic stabilizer any economic feature that works to increase or preserve income without additional government action PHOTO: Bill Pugliano/Getty Images Problems with Fiscal Policy strong enough to have the desired effect or effects, or it might have unexpected effects—perhaps even negative ones. Automatic Stabilizers Why It MATTERS Government Spending For these reasons, the government likes to use programs called automatic stabilizers. These programs work to increase or preserve income without the need for the government to take additional action. Since automatic stabilizers increase income, they can boost demand and spur economic growth. The two most important stabilizers are unemployment insurance and the progressive income tax system. A big advantage of both is that they are always in place. As a result, they begin to work automatically whenever the economy starts to slow down. Think about how unemployment insurance works. In a recession, millions of people lose their jobs. When they are unemployed, they become eligible to receive unemployment insurance payments. Using these insurance payments, unemployed workers can then pay their bills and meet their basic needs, such as food and shelter, until they are rehired or find a new job. Because the federal income tax is progressive, it also works as a stabilizer. When people work less or even lose their jobs, their income goes down. The less income people earn, the less they pay in taxes.They are taxed at a lower rate and can keep a larger percentage of their income. This partly offsets the loss of income. When the economy recovers and they go back to work, they begin to make more money. Then, when they can better afford it, they are again taxed at a higher rate. That, in turn, helps lower the deficit caused by the recession. When Congress works on a stimulus package, your local representative often works to get federal funding for programs in your area. Think of a local program or project that you think would benefit your community. Then write a few lines to your member of Congress explaining why you think your community should get federal funding for it. SS.7.C.2.3 PROGRESS CHECK Analyzing Cause and Effect Under what conditions does the government use fiscal policy? Why? LESSON 2 REVIEW Review Vocabulary 1. What are the differences among a balanced budget, a budget deficit, and a budget surplus? LA.7.1.6.1 2. How are budget deficits related to debt? LA.7.1.6.1 3. How are automatic stabilizers related to fiscal policy? LA.7.1.6.1 Answer the Guiding Questions 4. Contrasting How do state and federal governments react to an unbalanced budget? SS.7.E.1.2 5. Synthesizing What policy can Congress and the president use to influence the economy? How effective is it? SS.7.E.1.2 6. PERSUASIVE WRITING As a member of Congress, you must consider a bill sent by the president cutting income taxes in the hope of stimulating the economy during a tough recession. Write a short speech for or against the president’s plan. Give reasons for your position. SS.7.E.2.1 Lesson 2 619