Survey
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
* Your assessment is very important for improving the workof artificial intelligence, which forms the content of this project
turban_tutor04_W180-W182-hr 29-01-2009 Tutorial 4 11:24 Page W-180 Business Intelligence Content T4.1 T4.2 W-180 The Importance of Business Intelligence and Data Mining Improving Intelligence with Widgets turban_tutor04_W180-W182-hr 29-01-2009 11:24 Page W-181 T4.1 The Importance of Business Intelligence and Data Mining T4.1 W-181 The Importance of Business Intelligence and Data Mining Business intelligence (BI) is a broad term that refers to a collection of processes, tools, and technologies that help an enterprise to ultimately increase performance (or profitability) by improving sales, service, or the productivity of one or more business functions. BI is a competency that an enterprise may develop to leverage knowledge management and data mining capabilities for the purpose of business performance improvement. With the help of BI methods, an enterprise’s data is organized, analyzed, and then formatted into useful knowledge or actionable information to support profitable business actions. DATA MINING BI typically involves some type of data mining to make sense of the data. Data mining is a combination of artificial intelligence (AI) and statistical analysis to discover information that is “hidden” in the data, such as the following: • Associations: e.g., linking purchase of diapers with beer • Sequences: e.g., linking events in order or together, such as graduating from college and buying a new car • Classifications: e.g., recognizing patterns, such as the signs of customers who are most likely to leave the company for a competitor • Forecasting: e.g., predicting buying habits of customers based on past patterns Data mining is a rapidly growing field that is concerned with developing techniques to assist managers to make intelligent use of these repositories. Data mining applications include credit rating, fraud detection, database marketing, customer relationship management, and stock market investments. Business uses of data mining include the following: Classification • Classify the riskiness of credit applicants as low, medium, or high risk. • Classify the nature of insurance claims as normal or suspicious. Estimation • Estimate the probability of positive response to a direct mail campaign. • Estimate customers’ lifetime value to the enterprise. Prediction • Predict customers who are likely to attrite. • Predict the number of customers who will accept an introductory zero interest credit card offer and not repay within the time limit of the offer. Data that have relevance for managerial decisions are accumulating at an incredible rate because of e-commerce, electronic banking, point-of-sale devices, bar-code readers, and so forth. Such data are often stored in data warehouses and data marts specifically intended for management decision support. BUSINESS PERFORMANCE IMPROVEMENTS It is important to recognize that BI techniques, such as data mining, are only a means to an end. That is, the goal of BI is not to mine stored data and then create reports, but to generate intelligence that helps improve performance. Business performance improvements can stem from two types of improvements: 1. Procedural improvements. Procedural tasks or processes are relatively well defined, structured, and/or repeatable. For example, a manufacturing company may estimate that an $80 million investment in a robotic system will increase production output by at least 50 units per hour. The impact on the bottom line for an estimated number of years is relatively easy to calculate—although other critical issues also need to be considered that are not well defined (those issues require knowledge, as discussed in #2).This example illustrates that procedural improvements are reasonably straightforward using turban_tutor04_W180-W182-hr W-182 29-01-2009 11:24 Page W-182 Tutorial 4 Business Intelligence optimization methods or other management science models. Optimization methods can determine an optimal allocation of resources or investments for a firm that produces multiple goods with limited resources. 2. Knowledge-based improvements. Knowledge work deals with more complex and less structured relationships than procedures. Knowledge involves experience and collaboration with others to determine what should be done next; for example, deciding how to increase sales in a particular market segment. Compared to procedural improvements, knowledge-based improvements are more challenging. That is, it is a much greater challenge to estimate how a small price adjustment to a product in a particular market segment might affect all of the following: a. Unit sales and availability b. Plant utilization c. Overall profitability Consider that the decision to invest in robotics, which would increase the number of units produced, is related to the decision related to increasing sales. Increasing the quantity of units produced will not improve profitability if those units are not sold, and reducing prices to increase demand will fail if an adequate supply is not available. These examples illustrate the importance of intelligence to improve decision making that can result from the use of BI. BI can help marketing and financial managers make informed decisions, such as how to best position the business or how best to increase demand. T4.2 Improving Intelligence with Widgets In 2008, MicroStrategy Inc. (microstrategy.com), a major provider of BI software, introduced advanced visualization widgets for improved data comprehension and decision making. The widgets add to the capabilities of its Dynamic Enterprise Dashboards. These dashboards enable large volumes of data to be displayed and understood in ways that cannot be accomplished with standard graph or table formats. Visualization widgets present data in an interactive manner to augment data comprehension and enhance decision making. MicroStrategy leveraged Adobe Flash to incorporate visualization, interactivity, and animation into its widgets. For example, the Interactive Bubble Graph widget allows time series data to be displayed as a data-driven movie, showing how data change over time. Managers can use Adobe Flex 2 and Flex 3 to create their own visualization widgets to include in dashboards and reports. Some of the advanced visualization widgets include • The Bubble Grid widget, which enables users to plot metric values as bubbles of different colors and sizes within a grid • The Funnel widget, a variation of a stacked percent bar chart in a funnel shape, which is well-suited for a variety of business purposes, including pipeline analyses for sales forecasts and sales process analysis • The Waterfall widget, which displays a series of increments and decrements that users can modify to perform a scenario analysis on the data and identify causes for fluctuations in the business To see a demonstration of MicroStrategy’s Dynamic Enterprise Dashboards and the advanced visualization capabilities, visit microstrategy.com/digital-dashboard/ demos.asp. Reference “MicroStrategy Announces New Visualization Widgets,” B-Eye Network, August 27, 2008, b-eye-network.com/view/8407 (accessed August 2008).