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Promoting health in an environment challenged by climate change: Water Dr Bettina Menne, Arezzo 23.11.2010 [email protected] Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Multiple, complex, causal pathways McMichael et al. 2003 Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Climate change and water: Too little, too much, too dirty Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Water resource management and access • Total water abstraction in EU expected to decrease by 10% between 2000 – 2030 • Precipitation decrease by 10% • Differential access in Europe: e.g. urban rural; east west • Adaptation requires: Projected change in mean annual and seasonal river flow between the climate change scenario (SRES A1B, 2071-2100) and the control period (1961-1990). Simulations with LISFLOOD based on an ensemble of 11 RCMs. – Safe reuse of waste water – Desalinization practices – Increasing resilience of supply Water supply 29% Rural in-house Rural other 71% Source: Rojas et al. 2012/JRC Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Less time between extreme events on average Projected return periods for the maximum daily temperature that was exceeded on average once during a 20-year period in the late 20th century (1981–2000) (IPCC, SREX, 2011). Projected return periods for a daily precipitation event that was exceeded in the late 20th century on average once during a 20-year period (1981–2000) (IPCC, SREX, 2011). Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Health and floods 250 • Disruption of routine hospital care 200 • Rise in infectious disease incidence 150 • Food shortages • Safe water shortages • Mental health problems • Injuries • Carbon monoxide poisoning Total number of floods 100 50 0 1900-09 1910-19 1920-29 1930-39 1940-49 1950-59 1960-69 1970-79 1980-89 1990-99 2000-09 Number of floods 300 Decade Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Emerging water-related diseases 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 Cryptosporidiosis Campylobacteriosis Giardiasis Legionellosis Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] An international challenge ahead 80% 50% 20% Dr Bettina Menne Adapted from Parry, 2008 [email protected] Estimating resources for adaptation Table 1. Estimated global annual cost of climate change adaptation (US$ billion): Sector World Bank (2005 prices) UNFCCC (2007 prices) Period or time point 2010-2050 2030 Health sector 2.0 3.8 - 4.4 Water supply 13.7 9.0 - 11.0 Agriculture, forestry and fisheries 7.6 14.0 Extreme weather 6.7 - Total health-related 30.0 26.8 - 29.4 Total (all) 89.6 56.8 - 193.4 % health-related 33.4% 13.8 - 47.1% Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Ministerial Conferences on Environment and Health: the pillars of the process • The first Ministerial Conference was held in Frankfurt in 1989, followed by Helsinki in 1994, London in 1999 and Budapest in 2004 • As an intermediate milestone, in 2007 an intergovernmental meeting reviewed progress in the implementation of the Budapest commitments • The Fifth Ministerial Conference took place in Parma on 10-12 March 2010. Dr Bettina Menne 11 [email protected] Protecting health from climate change in an environment challenged by climate change 1. Health in other policies 2. Strengthen health systems 3. Raise awareness 4. Greening health services 5. Research, innovation, development Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Adaptation to climate change New? Better? More? Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Small scale water supply • • • • • • • 80 % of health facilities in country do not have adequate quantity of running water 2 pilot sites chosen for developing Water Safety Plans One hospital site having water safety plan, including repair and installation of safe water delivery system Training on water safety planning Workshop for facilitators team of 13 professionals from Ministry of Health, for Water Safety Plan in pilot villages Training of trainers for hospital plumbing National advocacy seminar for 40 decision makers and potential donors Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Increasing expenditures on prevention Less than 5 % is spent on primary prevention despite huge potential to reduce the growth in health expenditures. US $ 5.3 Trillion Prevention < 5% Environment Illicit drugs Physical Inactivity Tobacco Alcohol Unsafe Sex Treatment & Overhead Other • 1% life expectancy increase = 6% GDP growth (OECD) • 10% decrease in CVD = 1% per capita income growth (2009) Factors influencing health World-wide health expenditures Source: Estimated from OECD, WHO, and Prevention Institute data Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] A few examples Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Tackling the old and new • Strengthen disease surveillance – Emerging diseases – Vaccine preventable diseases – Neglected diseases: helminthes • Cooperation between ML Agreements – IHR and health security – Disaster preparedness and response – Water Protocol • Thu 12 Jan 2012 Focus on win – win – win - win 17 Menne Dr Bettina [email protected] Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Opportunities to link to other regional and global policy processes Health Health Environment Environment European Environment and Health Process European Environment and Health Process European Environment and Health Process European Union MSs Health2020 International Health Regulation Prevention Prevention of NCDs of NCDs Rio +20 Multilateral Environmental Agreements Rio +20 Environment for Europe Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] Any questions? Contact details: Dr Bettina Menne Program Manager Climate change, green health services and sustainable development program WHO Regional Office for Europe + 39 2288150422 Email: menneb@who. int http://www.euro.who.int/globalchange Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] • • More than 894 million; 15% older than 65 years old; 70% live in cities 22% GDP growth fall of 28% in carbon emissions between 1990 and 2008 • 1/5 of burden of disease is caused by environmental pollution • More than 86% of deaths are from non communicable diseases; • Growing levels of obesity and infectious disease outbreaks • • Rising levels of inequalities Increasing financial pressures on health and welfare systems • Important social and technological transformations • Geopolitical shifts 21 Menne Dr Bettina [email protected] Dr Bettina Menne [email protected] www.euro.who.int [email protected] 23